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  • #1,080,481
  • Edited 4:01pm Nov 16, 2016 3:44pm | Edited 4:01pm
Quoting pipshaman
{quote} Why do you try to buy since there is no confirmation of a bottom, what drives you to catch this falling knife!!!??? Regards!
if i get it right it's not a falling knife anymore,
the reason is because usd already hitted weekly resistance and US react accordingly so i expecting short-term/mid-term bounce from here ... but this resistance seem need to be tested by london so maybe safer to wait for london reaction

usdx - weekly
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  • #1,080,482
  • Nov 16, 2016 3:47pm Nov 16, 2016 3:47pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} i hadnt actually got a fib on those numbers... but what i have is 1.06439... it meets with a 1.0651 target i posted a long time ago... around brexit... IF they combine and the monthly trend line and divergences show... then we could be in for major reversal..... watch out for some potential signs of tapering/extension on monetary policy by ECB.... if tapered, we will see a decent 100-200 pip move to start things off
We shall see soon I guess, our numbers may differ but kinda surprised to see that much of a difference.
I am taking 1.0506 2015 December bottom and 2016 year high 1.1616 and get the 85.7 ret.
Anyway. Talk to you tomorrow mate! The other thread - Gator's - is too quiet and saw you were posting here so wanted to check the good old EUR thread, not much changed apparently
Sleep tight!
  • #1,080,483
  • Nov 16, 2016 3:50pm Nov 16, 2016 3:50pm
Quoting Connors
{quote} We shall see soon I guess, our numbers may differ but kinda surprised to see that much of a difference. I am taking 1.0506 2015 December bottom and 2016 year high 1.1616 and get the 85.7 ret. Anyway. Talk to you tomorrow mate! The other thread - Gator's - is too quiet and saw you were posting here so wanted to check the good old EUR thread, not much changed apparently Sleep tight!
nope

and i use 88.6

sent you PM - you should get around 1.058x on that level from the same swing drawn
  • #1,080,484
  • Nov 16, 2016 4:08pm Nov 16, 2016 4:08pm
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} I am sorry for your loss mate. Honestly I do not understand the concept behind "stop loss". To me this looks like a suicide. There should a better way to set up a trading strategy. Trade safe buddy. NaT
thx,
but it's gone with tiny weeny profit not loss though
  • #1,080,485
  • Edited 5:19pm Nov 16, 2016 4:47pm | Edited 5:19pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} nope and i use 88.6 sent you PM - you should get around 1.058x on that level from the same swing drawn
1.0711/1.0708

sometimes a Q resistance stalls - 1.0702/3

100.6 is perfect double top on USD chart on investing.com...

i doubt asia will be the ones to breach that... see what london brings around 7pm UK time... its the time the move started this morning

hourly Trend line might get tested... 1.0720/1.0715
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  • #1,080,486
  • Edited 5:39pm Nov 16, 2016 5:20pm | Edited 5:39pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} 1.0711/1.0708 sometimes a Q resistance stalls - 1.0702/3 100.6 is perfect double top on USD chart on investing.com... i doubt asia will be the ones to breach that... see what london brings around 7pm UK time... its the time the move started this morning hourly Trend line might get tested... 1.0720/1.0715 {image}
and there is the break right on time...

check the higher TL next...

UJ closed bearish... something about government defending the 0 level in the bonds... its gone over it for the first time in a while?

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-1...nk-japan-again







see if the H4 closes bullish in EU...


everything on the chart may not be that hard if dollar's double top is in... tapering etc etc, no hikes? explosion north and catching all the parity party lot sleeping...


of course this is all premature, but its before the fact at least
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  • #1,080,487
  • Nov 16, 2016 5:54pm Nov 16, 2016 5:54pm
Just exited @ 1.07 10 nicely...and going to bed...
  • #1,080,488
  • Nov 16, 2016 5:57pm Nov 16, 2016 5:57pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} 1.0711/1.0708 {image}


1.0711 is setting up for a LL... altough it may have usual retrace to 1.0688/86

without 14 its lower... setting up...oh 1.0643? thats a coincidence
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  • #1,080,489
  • Nov 16, 2016 11:06pm Nov 16, 2016 11:06pm
8 red daily candles in a row. Last time this happened was 4 years ago.
  • #1,080,490
  • Nov 16, 2016 11:46pm Nov 16, 2016 11:46pm
Shorted USD/CAD 1.3429
On alert for possible GBP/CAD short .
Good Morning !
  • #1,080,491
  • Nov 17, 2016 12:15am Nov 17, 2016 12:15am
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  • #1,080,492
  • Nov 17, 2016 12:17am Nov 17, 2016 12:17am
My Intraday View

Another day in some pretty accurate descending channels.
Small correction in sight ...but USD looks like gets stronger.
I guess even important US data today and Yellen's testify will hardly change the downtrend.

My Intraday S/Rs:
- resistance: 1.0770 - 1.0800(+Monthly_S1) area;
- support: 1.0650;

If there will not be any seriously recovery on London sess.,
more selling opportunities for me: 1.0710, 1.0740, 1.0660;

Good trading you all!
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Member
  • #1,080,493
  • Nov 17, 2016 12:26am Nov 17, 2016 12:26am
A bit better picture today .
Above the box , 1.0714 or so , EUR should be a buy
Sell is not a option to me as it allready covered more than 600 pips this month ......
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  • #1,080,494
  • Nov 17, 2016 12:36am Nov 17, 2016 12:36am
Quoting yanitsa
A bit better picture today . Above the box , 1.0714 or so , EUR should be a buy Sell is not a option to me as it allready covered more than 600 pips this month ...... {image}
No offence Yani, you're a good trader, but you keep saying this, ...E/U dropped too much, E/U oversteatched... oversold
But still, E/U keeps dropping!

Those fake recoveries on my chart are the technical buyers like you,
it's ok, you can be a bull all the time ...if you know when to stop

Good trading to you!
Member
  • #1,080,495
  • Nov 17, 2016 12:50am Nov 17, 2016 12:50am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} No offence Yani, you're a good trader, but you keep saying this, ...E/U dropped too much, E/U oversteatched... oversold But still, E/U keeps dropping! Those fake recoveries on my chart are the technical buyers like you, it's ok, you can be a bull all the time ...if you know when to stop Good trading to you!
Non taken !
I have bought once !
1.0719 with stop 1.0680 .Didnt bother to close a portion for 30 pips at 1.0750 as it was pure gambling posi.
1/3 size .
I am neither a bull nor a bear .....and trying to do some EUR analisys more as a hobby ...as You know .
  • #1,080,496
  • Edited 3:58am Nov 17, 2016 1:00am | Edited 3:58am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} Non taken ! I have bought once ! 1.0719 with stop 1.0680 .Didnt bother to close a portion for 30 pips at 1.0750 as it was pure gambling posi. 1/3 size . I am neither a bull nor a bear .....and trying to do some EUR analisys more as a hobby ...as You know .
I never really thought you're a bull all the time, you seem better than such a limited trader who stubbornly trading one direction only
You were a bit disappointed of this pair some time ago ...now what you think, E/U it's a tradeble pair?
Member
  • #1,080,497
  • Nov 17, 2016 1:07am Nov 17, 2016 1:07am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Never really thought you're a bull all the time, you seem more than such a limited trader who stubbornly trading one direction only You were a bit disappointed of this pair some time ago ...now what you think, E/U it's a tradeble pair?
Yesterday gave me the oportunity to sell at 1.0695 for test of lows , 20 pips profit .
It's rubish .
Yes , I am a limited trader , trading everything apart from EUR .

  • #1,080,498
  • Edited 1:30am Nov 17, 2016 1:19am | Edited 1:30am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} Yesterday gave me the oportunity to sell at 1.0695 for test of lows , 20 pips profit . It's rubish . Yes , I am a limited trader , trading everything apart from EUR .
1. 20 pips shouldn't be considered rubish ...if you bet 3 Lots on 20pps. on a fine analyze safe shot it's 600$ !
Well, I don't pay my bills with pips ...size counts
2. I "secretly" trade non-USD pairs, they're making orderly tidy channable trends, easy to analyze
3. E/U it's a tradeble pair? ...never mind, it was a rhetorical question

Quoting yanitsa
{quote} I play 2 lots max ....for now . In january might be 3 , it depends on what I make by the end of the year .......
Ok. Good luck!
Member
  • #1,080,499
  • Nov 17, 2016 1:24am Nov 17, 2016 1:24am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} 1. 20 pips shouldn't be considered rubish ...if you bet 3 Lots on 20pps. on a fine analyze safe shot it's 600$ ! Well, I don't pay my bills with pips ...size counts 2. I "secretly" trade non-USD pairs, they're making orderly tidy channable trends, easy to analyze 3. E/U it's a tradeble pair? ...never mind, it was a rhetorical question
I play 2 lots max ....for now .
In january might be 3 , it depends on what I make by the end of the year .......
  • #1,080,500
  • Nov 17, 2016 1:26am Nov 17, 2016 1:26am
Quoting Connors
OK my final attempt to benefit a long EUR setup. Long @1.0701 SL @1.0630 1.TP @1.0770 and 2.TP 1.0929 Again, there is the risk of testing the long term level 1.0667 but willing to take the risk.

Closed @1.0690 and flat.
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