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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #28,101
  • Nov 16, 2016 9:24am Nov 16, 2016 9:24am
It works so far..
1st wave was coward, 3rd wave was crazy and 5 of 3rd is extented, so 5th wave will be extented too..

Morning's chart is here: http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...6&d=1479291441

Quoting TurkishBear
DAX 10700 Needs sideways actually time..then the 5th wave to complete the pattern..3rd wave looks extended so 4th waves suit the pattern. If it works DAX will touch above 10800.. {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tvc_f046d6379e2c2eae631a0e37130b8b32.png Size: 55 KB
BEAR
  • #28,102
  • Nov 16, 2016 9:38am Nov 16, 2016 9:38am
I should have just left my position open and continue to
run up. We will probably be green again soon. Sold too early
  • #28,103
  • Nov 16, 2016 9:39am Nov 16, 2016 9:39am
Is Turkey middle eastern economy?
The top exports of Turkey are Cars ($7.95B), Vehicle Parts ($4.73B), Raw Iron Bars ($4.28B), Delivery Trucks ($4.15B) and Jewellery ($4.06B). Its top imports are Refined Petroleum ($15.7B), Cars ($7.94B), Gold($7.51B), Scrap Iron ($6.65B) and Petroleum Gas ($6.56B).

I dont think so


Quoting stylinex
{quote} Sad but salaries in most middle eastern countries are pretty bad and low A lot of stuff in the Middle East is imported so most jobs do not require high paying jobs I suppose and when job salaries are that low it makes the ones which should highly paid also receive low salaries. Thailand and Taiwan are like that as well.
BEAR
  • #28,104
  • Nov 16, 2016 9:48am Nov 16, 2016 9:48am
I am looking DAX sentiment in XM. 3 hours ago it was 55/45(L/S) now it is 27/73(L/S)
BEAR
  • #28,105
  • Nov 16, 2016 9:53am Nov 16, 2016 9:53am
This is second day DOW is weaker than SP and NAS. Is Trump rally ended up?
At weekend, i looked all 30 components of Dow, some of them are amazing but some is dead in terms of trend. This weekend, i ll chart all of them again, I want to be sure about my scenario.
BEAR
  • #28,106
  • Nov 16, 2016 10:03am Nov 16, 2016 10:03am
Turkish bear ... Interest rate hike in December is almost 100% likely.

Trump getting into power will add so much political & financial uncertainty that the first part of his presedency won't be bullish... There is a lot of fear in the business worldwide of him getting into power....

i I personally think 2017 will start in much of the same way as 2016 with the top being made this week...

a surge in buy volume after trump but normality has resumed and there is much uncertainty going forward... The market doesn't like uncertainty.

distribution has been taking place over the last 5 trading days and will continue up too the fed meeting.

but IMO to think that it will rise into the president elect's reign is nigh on impossible... But, once the longer term dust settles it will create a buy oppertunity. no doubt.
Que Sera
  • #28,107
  • Nov 16, 2016 10:06am Nov 16, 2016 10:06am
It is sometimes hard to remember when things are so bullish that nothing goes up in a straight line & if this isn't a sign of volitile ty I don't know what is.
Que Sera
  • #28,108
  • Nov 16, 2016 10:21am Nov 16, 2016 10:21am
I am a bear, I want rate hike so much, if it happens in december, it will be uber super for me BUT I dont think so. Do you have rate hike probability/bet chart?

Quoting Catempire
Turkish bear ... Interest rate hike in December is almost 100% likely. Trump getting into power will add so much political & financial uncertainty that the first part of his presedency won't be bullish... There is a lot of fear in the business worldwide of him getting into power.... i I personally think 2017 will start in much of the same way as 2016 with the top being made this week... a surge in buy volume after trump but normality has resumed and there is much uncertainty going forward... The market doesn't like uncertainty. distribution has...
BEAR
  • #28,109
  • Nov 16, 2016 10:25am Nov 16, 2016 10:25am
I dont like markets today. Closed all trading positions.. I should find another good trade set up to enter..
BEAR
  • #28,110
  • Nov 16, 2016 10:28am Nov 16, 2016 10:28am
Quoting TurkishBear
I I am a bear, I want rate hike so much, if it happens in december, it will be uber super for me BUT I dont think so. Do you have rate hike probability/bet chart?
No just hours of personal reading.. No other option makes as much sense.

most analysis also changed their stance.

Time me will tell eh, I will be very surprised if we see new highs before next year.
Que Sera
  • #28,111
  • Nov 16, 2016 11:50am Nov 16, 2016 11:50am
Quoting Catempire
{quote} No just hours of personal reading.. No other option makes as much sense. most analysis also changed their stance. Time me will tell eh, I will be very surprised if we see new highs before next year.
I will be surprised if they do not
Hey thats what makes markets
Different opinions ☺
  • #28,112
  • Nov 16, 2016 12:01pm Nov 16, 2016 12:01pm
Quoting wbemsms
{quote} I will be surprised if they do not Hey thats what makes markets Different opinions ☺
Aye. For sure. ile buy you a pint of I'm wrong.
Que Sera
  • #28,113
  • Nov 16, 2016 2:02pm Nov 16, 2016 2:02pm
DOW 1H Chart [link]:
Long 18843
SL 18818 [-25] Edit: Now BE
TP 18980 [+97]
Cheers, U2

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...13#post9259313
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #28,114
  • Nov 16, 2016 2:19pm Nov 16, 2016 2:19pm
Quoting Uturn2
DOW 1H Chart [link]: Long 18843 SL 18818 [-25] Edit: Now BE TP 18980 [+97] Cheers, U2 http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...13#post9259313
DOW 2H Chart:
Looks like it's turned up.
Cheers, U2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW 161116 2H [1].png Size: 80 KB
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #28,115
  • Edited 3:14am Nov 17, 2016 2:18am | Edited 3:14am
DOW MA lines flat/sideways to up

S&P MA lines still little bullish to sideways

DAX/CAC40/EUROSTOX MA lines Bearish and waiting for US move (down hopefully)
All Eurex markets have a pockets to fill below, but can't go down because of US markets
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: YM ES Nov 17.JPG Size: 107 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,116
  • Edited 3:06am Nov 17, 2016 2:25am | Edited 3:06am
US Markets on their Weekly TPO peaks. No edge to go long or short. (expect some scalping now and then)
(My DOW MA lines all gathered, so no direction anymore)

EUREX markets already way below their Weekly TPO tops (bearish) and look for an opportunity to fill below pockets.
(CAC40 TPO chart exact the same as DAX and EUROSTOXX)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: WEEKLY TPO Now 17.JPG Size: 366 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,117
  • Edited 4:11am Nov 17, 2016 3:26am | Edited 4:11am
Yellen will speak/testify)later today. Maybe her last time?

Could give a clue re possible rate increase.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,118
  • Edited 4:34am Nov 17, 2016 4:13am | Edited 4:34am
DAX Short
T1 +11p
+11p locked in
FLAT +15p last lot

600 support
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #28,119
  • Nov 17, 2016 4:28am Nov 17, 2016 4:28am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX Short T1 +11p +11p locked in 600 support {image}
2 days in a row agressive front run of 600
Buyers at lows create New lows
  • #28,120
  • Nov 17, 2016 4:49am Nov 17, 2016 4:49am
I bought the dip and just closed my position
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_1298.JPG Size: 180 KB
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