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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #28,041
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:39am Nov 15, 2016 2:39am
Quoting StrayDog
Lil' DAX scalp... I tend to close these to early. Entry 736, banked only 13 pts, for 1:1 R/R. {image} I keep telling myself - that if mofo has a ~170 pts ATR (currently), than in that case good daytrade should be 1/3 of that, i.e. 50-60 pts - everything above that should be considered as a homerun trade, while scalps should be 20-25 pts. Always feel like a god damn idiot banking less than 20 pts.
Try closing in parts,one half can cover the stop
  • #28,042
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:40am Nov 15, 2016 2:40am
dax actual
my question is if the crazy market forces an outbreak out of the weekly range further upsides (10'820 > ) or tend it to swing within this weekly range (~10'730 - ~10'240) any longer...
I didn't know how much greed could be at the CEO's this year.

dax, weekly, 2016 november 15
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  • #28,043
  • Nov 15, 2016 3:21am Nov 15, 2016 3:21am
Quoting stoqn4444
{quote} Try closing in parts,one half can cover the stop
Yeah, I see plenty of people here doing exactly that, I never found that to be more profitable in trading futures, compared to holding for bigger gains. But, it is a legitimate strategy, almost a hedging. Probably best in some cases. No pressure on the second part. IMO, everyone has to find his own way and that has to became a second nature to the trader. I used to trade stocks on my local market, and always exiting in parts, sometimes even in 1/5 of the position... Similarly I was adding to winners, which I almost never do in futures, probably because I just day trade them, while I used to hold stocks for weeks. Anyways, thnx for the reply.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #28,044
  • Nov 15, 2016 3:54am Nov 15, 2016 3:54am
Dax H1 - my chart say divergence on ADX slopes and all other indi sliding from top. So we should go slowly down.
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Per aspera ad astra
  • #28,045
  • Nov 15, 2016 3:55am Nov 15, 2016 3:55am
Won't buy this until it breaks out and holds 10850. holding short positions. intraday target set at 10615.
  • #28,046
  • Nov 15, 2016 4:50am Nov 15, 2016 4:50am
We need at least a clear 30m candle close above 10730 to say that bullish trend will continue. Till then nothing to trade on DAX.

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #28,047
  • Nov 15, 2016 6:44am Nov 15, 2016 6:44am
Anyone else here think they will raise interest rates in December ?
Que Sera
  • #28,048
  • Nov 15, 2016 8:22am Nov 15, 2016 8:22am
CRUDE OIL
New BUY 44.60 it is just for fast trade targeted above 45.00
Trend is so good so far. I think it will be touched above 46.00 this week..
I am holding Brent as well.
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BEAR
  • #28,049
  • Nov 15, 2016 8:26am Nov 15, 2016 8:26am
I dont wait rate hike in december, february will be hot but i dont wait in february too. March is 75%, May is 101% for me.

Quoting Catempire
Anyone else here think they will raise interest rates in December ?
BEAR
  • #28,050
  • Nov 15, 2016 8:34am Nov 15, 2016 8:34am
This is the first time after election DOW opens weaker than SP and Nasdaq (i dont remember the opposite situation)
AGAIN: There should be one more UP wave in SP500..It will make me comfortable..
BEAR
  • #28,051
  • Nov 15, 2016 8:49am Nov 15, 2016 8:49am
Quoting TurkishBear
I dont wait rate hike in december, february will be hot but i dont wait in february too. March is 75%, May is 101% for me. {quote}
Any reason?

i think they would want to make the most of the good GDP growth now as it is unlikely to be so good next year... Also the us market is at all time highs... Even if it lost 15-20% it would still be high.
Que Sera
  • #28,052
  • Nov 15, 2016 8:54am Nov 15, 2016 8:54am
Yes I would see further upsides above 11250 but there is not so much place to go for US markets. it limits DAX according to my projection..

This is possible scenario for me..



Quoting Forexcube
dax actual my question is if the crazy market forces an outbreak out of the weekly range further upsides (10'820 > ) or tend it to swing within this weekly range (~10'730 - ~10'240) any longer... I didn't know how much greed could be at the CEO's this year. dax, weekly, 2016 november 15 {image}
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BEAR
  • #28,053
  • Nov 15, 2016 8:59am Nov 15, 2016 8:59am
This is my drawing and the price



Quoting TurkishBear
CRUDE OIL New BUY 44.60 it is just for fast trade targeted above 45.00 Trend is so good so far. I think it will be touched above 46.00 this week.. I am holding Brent as well. {image}
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BEAR
  • #28,054
  • Nov 15, 2016 9:10am Nov 15, 2016 9:10am
Quoting TurkishBear
CRUDE OIL New BUY 44.60 it is just for fast trade targeted above 45.00 Trend is so good so far. I think it will be touched above 46.00 this week.. I am holding Brent as well. {image}
Good call there
  • #28,055
  • Nov 15, 2016 9:24am Nov 15, 2016 9:24am
Simply Trump will be at oval office in January(20th). If US is going to switch from monetary policy to fiscal policy, it is a big event, Fed must wait Trump. Because of this, the possibility of december is very low, february is low. March 51% BUT May 101%. Fed will follow the market as always. They will manage it for march or may. This is my expectation.. we will see it..


Quoting Catempire
{quote} Any reason? i think they would want to make the most of the good GDP growth now as it is unlikely to be so good next year... Also the us market is at all time highs... Even if it lost 15-20% it would still be high.
BEAR
  • #28,056
  • Nov 15, 2016 9:29am Nov 15, 2016 9:29am
TP 45.15 (55 pips enough for fast trade)

Now I am holding 1/2 wti and 1/2 brent (for next week-hope-)

Quoting TurkishBear
CRUDE OIL New BUY 44.60 it is just for fast trade targeted above 45.00 Trend is so good so far. I think it will be touched above 46.00 this week.. I am holding Brent as well. {image}
BEAR
  • #28,057
  • Nov 15, 2016 9:35am Nov 15, 2016 9:35am
Quoting TurkishBear
Simply Trump will be at oval office in January(20th). If US is going to switch from monetary policy to fiscal policy, it is a big event, Fed must wait Trump. Because of this, the possibility of december is very low, february is low. March 51% BUT May 101%. Fed will follow the market as always. They will manage it for march or may. This is my expectation.. we will see it.. {quote}
but it will be months till any policy has been changed. Donald cannot do much without congress.

we will see but to me it seems to make sense to do it in December.
Que Sera
  • #28,058
  • Nov 15, 2016 9:41am Nov 15, 2016 9:41am
Waiting correction like this..If it works, i will enter again for fast trade. Then try to short with SL..
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BEAR
  • #28,059
  • Nov 15, 2016 10:17am Nov 15, 2016 10:17am
SP500 (now 2171) must go above 2182 and then 2193 in order to complete impulsive pattern(s).
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BEAR
  • #28,060
  • Nov 15, 2016 10:57am Nov 15, 2016 10:57am
Quoting TurkishBear
Yes I would see further upsides above 11250 but there is not so much place to go for US markets. it limits DAX according to my projection.. This is possible scenario for me.. {quote} {image}
#28'053


dreams are ten a penny?
yes, us market seems very high, ...except where it could be up to its absolutely new historical high ...~20'000?
...& so we could also see the dax still higher ~12'500?
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