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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #28,021
  • Nov 14, 2016 9:16am Nov 14, 2016 9:16am
NOW I am trading just Crude oil.(Holding SHORTs in US markets but not trading)

This is why I am buying Crude. Yes there will be one more wave down but this level is quite good to start long..

CRUDE LONG @42.87



Quoting TurkishBear
CL-Crude OIL It looks good to me..There will be very good correction, i am open for comments especially crude data news etc. {image}
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BEAR
  • #28,022
  • Nov 14, 2016 9:27am Nov 14, 2016 9:27am
it is much..Trump will negotiate with Putin, I dont wait below 40s. Pay attention to DXY. It will burn if it doesnt stop, it must be relax for some time which powers OIL..This is my expectation.

Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Bro., oil is down at least to $36. GL!
BEAR
  • #28,023
  • Nov 14, 2016 9:47am Nov 14, 2016 9:47am
It looks like perfect which Dax waits for Cac to complete its corrective pattern..Alternatively it will be bigger triangle but i ll later think about it.
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BEAR
  • #28,024
  • Nov 14, 2016 9:49am Nov 14, 2016 9:49am
This doesnt feel good. If the Dow goes down then the short trade would be to easy to call. My experience tells me there is no easy trades. Would like to hear your opinion.

I want to also ad that 90% of the cmcmarkets customer sentiment is short in dow. The majority almost never wins.
  • #28,025
  • Nov 14, 2016 10:05am Nov 14, 2016 10:05am
Quoting KoJoxx
This doesnt feel good. If the Dow goes down then the short trade would be to easy to call. My experience tells me there is no easy trades. Would like to hear your opinion. I want to also ad that 90% of the cmcmarkets customer sentiment is short in dow. The majority almost never wins.
Am short in Dow from 18905. Rejection at today's highs notable. plus daily is stretched too. So a possible 300 point move to the downside here.
Dax shorts continuing, added more at 10750 today after H4 RSI turned bearish; 3rd rejection today at a lower level since recent highs at 10800+
  • #28,026
  • Nov 14, 2016 10:32am Nov 14, 2016 10:32am
Big boys (Hedge Funds) unloading Apple shares. BOJ intervening to weaken currency and boost index. Oil,Gold and Silver being pushed down in America.
  • #28,027
  • Nov 14, 2016 10:44am Nov 14, 2016 10:44am
I agree with you. I think the same as you about sentiments. But dont forget, retail investors play for small profits, if the market gives 1-2% correction, they will give their shorts back to big hands. if the market makes new highs, most of them will be stopped out, they will give shorts back with loss to big money again. Dont afraid about sentiment, it changes every week. This time the game is not between the small and the big money. This is between big hands. They will fight.
Trump will use fiscal policy instead of monetary. It means government will spend because people dont spend in US(EU too) Fiscal policy means more debts, more debts means higher rates. Higher rates lowers asset values. NO WAY OUT. We will see ASSET CRASH. More or Less but we will see. If market goes above 2222/19333 I will close some, if it goes above 2250/19600 i will close half...Apply pyramid method, close and open again, never ever give up..

Quoting KoJoxx
This doesnt feel good. If the Dow goes down then the short trade would be to easy to call. My experience tells me there is no easy trades. Would like to hear your opinion. I want to also ad that 90% of the cmcmarkets customer sentiment is short in dow. The majority almost never wins.
BEAR
  • #28,028
  • Nov 14, 2016 11:05am Nov 14, 2016 11:05am
This is not good. I dont like and closed half. I will wait bounce above 42.57 to enter new trade. Otherwise falling knife story..
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BEAR
  • #28,029
  • Nov 14, 2016 12:49pm Nov 14, 2016 12:49pm
Ultra super bounce to me..
ADD
Buy 42.45
Buy 42.46
PLUS
Buy Brent 43.99

I will trade 2/4 and hold 2/4 for next days..



Quoting TurkishBear
This is not good. I dont like and closed half. I will wait bounce above 42.57 to enter new trade. Otherwise falling knife story.. {image}
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BEAR
  • #28,030
  • Nov 14, 2016 10:09pm Nov 14, 2016 10:09pm
Quoting TurkishBear
I agree with you. I think the same as you about sentiments. But dont forget, retail investors play for small profits, if the market gives 1-2% correction, they will give their shorts back to big hands. if the market makes new highs, most of them will be stopped out, they will give shorts back with loss to big money again. Dont afraid about sentiment, it changes every week. This time the game is not between the small and the big money. This is between big hands. They will fight. Trump will use fiscal policy instead of monetary. It means government...
We should get quite a correction
Ronald Reagan can tell us a lot about what the economy will look like under Trump - Business Insider
https://apple.news/A_MH37vwDQci0UxD4Qtd12Q
  • #28,031
  • Nov 15, 2016 12:44am Nov 15, 2016 12:44am
Possible Gap down today? I have one short just in place, tp 50 pips.
Per aspera ad astra
  • #28,032
  • Nov 15, 2016 12:55am Nov 15, 2016 12:55am
Quoting jpadvisor
Possible Gap down today? I have one short just in place, tp 50 pips.
Gap up, it was 10750 30 minutes ago.
  • #28,033
  • Nov 15, 2016 1:27am Nov 15, 2016 1:27am
So short @10710 TP 50. TWT
Per aspera ad astra
  • #28,034
  • Nov 15, 2016 1:56am Nov 15, 2016 1:56am
Long dax,market open+ round number,stop10 pts,1/2 closed +15
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  • #28,035
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:01am Nov 15, 2016 2:01am
Stop +1
  • #28,036
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:16am Nov 15, 2016 2:16am
Quoting stoqn4444
Long dax,market open+ round number,stop10 pts,1/2 closed +15 {image}
Stop +9
  • #28,037
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:30am Nov 15, 2016 2:30am
Lil' DAX scalp... I tend to close these to early. Entry 736, banked only 13 pts, for 1:1 R/R.

Attached Image


I keep telling myself - that if mofo has a ~170 pts ATR (currently), than in that case good daytrade should be 1/3 of that, i.e. 50-60 pts - everything above that should be considered as a homerun trade, while scalps should be 20-25 pts. Always feel like a god damn idiot banking less than 20 pts.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #28,038
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:32am Nov 15, 2016 2:32am
Quoting TurkishBear
NOW I am trading just Crude oil.(Holding SHORTs in US markets but not trading) This is why I am buying Crude. Yes there will be one more wave down but this level is quite good to start long.. CRUDE LONG @42.87 {quote} {image}
#28'022

43.0...was also my favored order.

...& just now to put more wood on the fire
if the daily hammer holds so also longs around ~44.25 should deliver a profit, too.
  • #28,039
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:36am Nov 15, 2016 2:36am
Quoting jpadvisor
So short @10710 TP 50. TWT
Reloaded short Dax.
Per aspera ad astra
  • #28,040
  • Nov 15, 2016 2:36am Nov 15, 2016 2:36am
I expect a volatile market at dax before christmas time but in the end (till 31.12.2016) we could see eventually more than 11'250,
9'310 ...in between times ... also possible,
that's my by rule of thumb risk range,
let's see!
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