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The Really Useless Thread

  • #144,981
  • Nov 8, 2016 11:20pm Nov 8, 2016 11:20pm
Quoting The Fool
Call me crazy, but if Michigan turns back to HRC then the path I see is DJT ends up with 269....day late and a dollar short. If Trump carries WA I will be butthurt on side bets...
MI and PA still within 20,000 votes or so of a dead heat.....if they both turn blue to close the night, we end up in a tie @ 269
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,982
  • Nov 8, 2016 11:47pm Nov 8, 2016 11:47pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}MI and PA still within 20,000 votes or so of a dead heat.....if they both turn blue to close the night, we end up in a tie @ 269
Which is a Trump win I believe.
  • #144,983
  • Nov 9, 2016 12:01am Nov 9, 2016 12:01am
The end of the game! Trump wins.
  • #144,984
  • Nov 9, 2016 12:02am Nov 9, 2016 12:02am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}life goes on....now we can start scratching heads about what the Fed will do again...after it's all said and done we will prolly just get a deeper btfd opportunity....
indeed bro...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #144,985
  • Nov 9, 2016 12:16am Nov 9, 2016 12:16am
Build11 called it. All about the silents.
Oh and what I was saying about the gambling sites being accurate predictors and all that? Yeah.uh, never mind.
  • #144,986
  • Nov 9, 2016 12:19am Nov 9, 2016 12:19am
longterm EU levels....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #144,987
  • Nov 9, 2016 12:40am Nov 9, 2016 12:40am
No. 1 Google search trending now: "Canada Immigration"....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,988
  • Nov 9, 2016 12:54am Nov 9, 2016 12:54am
Ay, Caramba!
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,989
  • Nov 9, 2016 1:02am Nov 9, 2016 1:02am
For almost 10 days I've been waiting for EA to go back to 1.415x so that I buy it, I even had a pending but cancelled it because I had to go out, so pissed, missed on 700 pips!
Edit : I would most likely have taken profit when hit 500 pips lol.
  • #144,990
  • Nov 9, 2016 1:08am Nov 9, 2016 1:08am
Quoting The Fool
life goes on....now we can start scratching heads about what the Fed will do again...after it's all said and done we will prolly just get a deeper btfd opportunity....
shit, you blink & miss it on these VIX spikes anymore. I need to see the thing elevate for a day or so, at least. Do the markets care who is President? Could be the Trump win feeds more do-nothing from the Fed, which could be a relief? Well. we'll see...
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,991
  • Nov 9, 2016 1:32am Nov 9, 2016 1:32am
Very bad work from the political analysts around . Not exactly inline with expectations. Big overshoot. They got the miracle.

Are in to gold. Looking position in EUR/USD
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #144,992
  • Nov 9, 2016 2:32am Nov 9, 2016 2:32am
Markets behaving as anticipated completing the initial knee jerk reaction a few hours before the rest of the mortal and the main media outlets declared the winner. As widely expected all in perfect areas for the European opening.

It's a big US news, Europe will be timid without NY at least opening today and won't set in motion anything beyond covering the air left in between from the measured knee jerk reaction moves.

Expecting talking heads and mass hysteria of celebration and shock for others to be noisier than any market reaction beyond the current levels. We jumped from 91% chances DEC hike to 45% on the initial reactions in London open but it will settle down[up] after the next few sessions to get back as business as usual for the rest of the year.

For the real impact of the election. US equities with a mid and long term high in play for Q4. Sadly the global economy and free trade outlook for next year and beyond look rather bleak with the 2 largest free trading blocks in the world under attack from next year. Major outlooks updates cooking for the US this week.

For now is just the election hangover first, jitters from the unaware, celebrations from those who think they got a golden goose instead of a turd and discomfort and caution for the rest of the mortals.

Tracking closely the rest of the European session and for those in Euro 1.111x as anticipated last night is the one in play.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,993
  • Nov 9, 2016 2:52am Nov 9, 2016 2:52am
Quoting sisse
We jumped from 91% chances DEC hike to 45% on the initial reactions in London open but it will settle down after the next few sessions to get back as business as usual for the rest of the year. For the real impact of the election. US equities with a [u]mid and long term high in play for Q4.
/VX popped 16 to 24 and now back to 17, by the time I can pull my options dick out my pants the vol spike booty will be gone. In the very short term this election result may end up being almost a non-event, but as you suggest, that is bound to change. I am going to take some vitamins and do some extra bong hits to see if I can figure out how to anticipate that...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,994
  • Nov 9, 2016 2:56am Nov 9, 2016 2:56am
Quoting The Fool
In the very short term this election result may end up being almost a non-event...
omg usnoozeulooze and /ES looks to be heading for a no net change
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,995
  • Nov 9, 2016 2:58am Nov 9, 2016 2:58am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}life goes on....now we can start scratching heads about what the Fed will do again...after it's all said and done we will prolly just get a deeper btfd opportunity....
well said, most likely very few things will change and for our daily trading a bit of volatility will not be a bad thing
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #144,996
  • Nov 9, 2016 4:22am Nov 9, 2016 4:22am
ECB stands ready to intervene in an emergency says Nowotny

This maybe change something short term. Has perhaps already happened and was what pushed below 1.1110 level directly. Do you know what we can expect here Sisse?
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #144,997
  • Nov 9, 2016 4:37am Nov 9, 2016 4:37am
Quoting Earleone
ECB stands ready to intervene in an emergency says Nowotny This maybe change something short term. Has perhaps already happened and was what pushed below 1.1110 level directly. Do you know what we can expect here Sisse?
hi hope every one is fine in the thread ...

if this news is from ecb .... which clearly shows that still ecb wants to lower the value .... rest sisse will take it ...
Re-Incarnated
  • #144,998
  • Nov 9, 2016 5:23am Nov 9, 2016 5:23am
Took eu shorts at 1245 last night stops at 1335. Tp1 1145 (stop loss order on 30% of the position sitting there) tp 2 at 0974 tp 3 tbd. Not real confident the map I've got applies to the new world but it's the map I got so...

Other than that still flat.
  • #144,999
  • Nov 9, 2016 5:44am Nov 9, 2016 5:44am
Election sending shockwaves across Europe. Lots of action taking place under the table, also projections and expectations radically changing for next year and beyond.

Still NY and the US to come but is confirmed. GAME CHANGER in play!!!. For those not familiar with a major game changer, it very seldom happens this year we have two in both sides of the Atlantic and will bring major changes across all markets correlations and asset classes.

Lots of action and outlooks updates coming and as usual in those major market events they will start form the macro to the micro in a domino effect (like is panning out with Brexit).

  1. Very important first update after US election

--> Changing long term outlook in Dollar from Buy to Neutral

sisse

Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #145,000
  • Nov 9, 2016 5:56am Nov 9, 2016 5:56am

  1. Second important update from US election

--> Changing long term outlook in OIL from Neutral to Buy

sisse

Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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