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  • Post #22,461
  • Quote
  • Nov 7, 2016 8:51pm Nov 7, 2016 8:51pm
  •  Gbp/jpy
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: CHART HACKER | 2,454 Posts
good reading here...I have a model of the US dollar going down till Nov 17....then a bump and more down
 
 
  • Post #22,462
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 3:08am Nov 8, 2016 3:08am
  •  PayTheLimit
  • Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Ride the Pig | 31,178 Posts
I'd like a chance to buy the damn things at 127.96 this week...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
 
 
  • Post #22,463
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  • Nov 8, 2016 3:58am Nov 8, 2016 3:58am
  •  bshappens
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 227 Posts
Quoting bigboss
Disliked
{quote} Of course, that scenario is valid for the US coupled pairs. In the spcific GBPJPY pair, I think both countries are US partners, but GB economy is more inter-dependant of US. So, if Trump win will be a SELL, and if Hillary wins will be a BUY too. Movment will be strong, but not as strong as the US coupled pairs. Biger movment in the pair will be if FED decide to rise interest rates in a strong percentage (wich is probably after the Trumps win scenario). That is my analysis.
Ignored

I hear ya!

Although non of the two owns FED or creates it's rules (both will have to comply to decisions "MONEY" will make for them). Therefore... the question is what FED wants. Do they want to make turmoil in US economy or do they want it to prosper... unless.... unless the printing of the $ was in the hands of US government... naaahhh no chance... Kennedy tried that back in the days and rather 'unfortunately' failed to complete the mission.
 
 
  • Post #22,464
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  • Nov 8, 2016 5:04am Nov 8, 2016 5:04am
  •  Mpt
  • Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 2,582 Posts
4hr. Going over 131 destroys it. Under 128.3 sets up a picture perfect reversal pattern for at least 124 with bounce circa 126. Retest 128.3 to 129

edit not taking it though. Just watching
 
 
  • Post #22,465
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  • Nov 8, 2016 5:54am Nov 8, 2016 5:54am
  •  bigboss
  • | Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Member | 200 Posts
Quoting bshappens
Disliked
{quote} I hear ya! Although non of the two owns FED or creates it's rules (both will have to comply to decisions "MONEY" will make for them). Therefore... the question is what FED wants. Do they want to make turmoil in US economy or do they want it to prosper... unless.... unless the printing of the $ was in the hands of US government... naaahhh no chance... Kennedy tried that back in the days and rather 'unfortunately' failed to complete the mission.
Ignored
Why so many this days plays to be a conspiranoic...??... Is a fashion...?... FED is not there to kill US economy, but to improve it. Sometimes they badly mistake and has to make corrections, but if US fall, they will fall.
 
 
  • Post #22,466
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  • Nov 8, 2016 5:57am Nov 8, 2016 5:57am
  •  MixiFX
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Next stop could be 132.20 area. And then retest of 123.80 maybe ?
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  • Post #22,467
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  • Nov 8, 2016 6:33am Nov 8, 2016 6:33am
  •  MixiFX
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Quoting Gbp/jpy
Disliked
good reading here...I have a model of the US dollar going down till Nov 17....then a bump and more down
Ignored
Could you give some levels if you may ?
 
 
  • Post #22,468
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  • Nov 8, 2016 6:57am Nov 8, 2016 6:57am
  •  bshappens
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 227 Posts
Quoting bigboss
Disliked
{quote} Why so many this days plays to be a conspiranoic...??... Is a fashion...?... FED is not there to kill US economy, but to improve it. Sometimes they badly mistake and has to make corrections, but if US fall, they will fall.
Ignored
I went a bit off topic... sorry. But hey, they're the bank right? So "sell loans with interest and buy everything cheap" when the loan repayment fails applies to them too? But then again I may be wrong.

Back to the dragon. It seems it goes up regardless all the mumbo-jumbo going on between the oceans.
 
 
  • Post #22,469
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  • Nov 8, 2016 7:19am Nov 8, 2016 7:19am
  •  pet
  • | Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Member | 241 Posts
US Election day
GBP/JPY:
Current price is 129.88, sell to target 128.80 initially , sl @ 130.15

that's a 27pips risk for 100pips profit.

EURGBP:
buy @0.8905 to target 0.8978 initially, stoploss @0.8877

More pips to all.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: GBPJPYH4 08Nov.png
Size: 47 KB
 
 
  • Post #22,470
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  • Nov 8, 2016 7:44am Nov 8, 2016 7:44am
  •  MixiFX
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Quoting pet
Disliked
US Election day GBP/JPY: Current price is 129.88, sell to target 128.80 initially , sl @ 130.15 that's a 27pips risk for 100pips profit. EURGBP: buy @0.8905 to target 0.8978 initially, stoploss @0.8877 More pips to all. {image}
Ignored
I don't think we will see 128.80 anytime soon, or at least not before 130.70-131 is visited. But it could go as high as 132.20 IMO, and then reverse.
 
 
  • Post #22,471
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  • Nov 8, 2016 9:57am Nov 8, 2016 9:57am
  •  Ksth
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Member | 889 Posts
Quoting pet
Disliked
US Election day GBP/JPY: Current price is 129.88, sell to target 128.80 initially , sl @ 130.15 that's a 27pips risk for 100pips profit. EURGBP: buy @0.8905 to target 0.8978 initially, stoploss @0.8877 More pips to all. {image}
Ignored
first target 128.8 very nice. should down to 127.934 or more since got US election .

Good luck to us..
 
 
  • Post #22,472
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  • Nov 8, 2016 10:00am Nov 8, 2016 10:00am
  •  Ksth
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Member | 889 Posts
Quoting MixiFX
Disliked
{quote} I don't think we will see 128.80 anytime soon, or at least not before 130.70-131 is visited. But it could go as high as 132.20 IMO, and then reverse.
Ignored
remember put stoploss. It may be bull trap.

Good luck.
 
1
  • Post #22,473
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 11:53am Nov 8, 2016 11:53am
  •  MixiFX
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
It might get interesting now. double top on H1/H4 charts
 
 
  • Post #22,474
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  • Nov 8, 2016 7:18pm Nov 8, 2016 7:18pm
  •  Quickiepip
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: forextradestoamillion | 527 Posts
Most brokers have adjust leverage to 1:100 lol no gambling for the gamblers
I'll pick up the crumbs don't need the whole pie
 
 
  • Post #22,475
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  • Nov 8, 2016 7:30pm Nov 8, 2016 7:30pm
  •  goldgirl
  • Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
Quoting Gbp/jpy
Disliked
good reading here...I have a model of the US dollar going down till Nov 17....then a bump and more down
Ignored
Donna Trump win and dollar will continue to slide. GJ going up coz GU up.
 
 
  • Post #22,476
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:24pm Nov 8, 2016 9:24pm
  •  Gbp/jpy
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: CHART HACKER | 2,454 Posts
hey there...it's Robert P. Balan


US Dollar:
We have linked the US Dollar with the US 3-year yield, which we know to have very large impact on the valuation of the US Dollar. The USD is a very "noisy" variable and difficult to model, but changes in USD do correlate well with changes in the US 3yr short-term rate. So we used the short term rate as proxy for the USD, the added attraction being the very good correlation between changes in liquidity and changes in short term rates.
The Liquidity Models suggest that we could have seen a peak in the USD TWI last week. The models also suggest that another peak in USD should be expected during the period November 14-22. This could even be a higher high. The subsequent USD decline should persist



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Quoting MixiFX
Disliked
{quote} Could you give some levels if you may ?
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #22,477
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:46pm Nov 8, 2016 9:46pm
  •  Gbp/jpy
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: CHART HACKER | 2,454 Posts
100 pips in 5 minutes....what a pair to trade....
 
 
  • Post #22,478
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:11pm Nov 8, 2016 10:11pm
  •  bigboss
  • | Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Member | 200 Posts
Trump wining in the partial data. Dollar falling, GBP falling. As expected.

Months to come will be as ugly as the Brexit.

FED will do his job rising taxes big time, to stop the dollar falling. But Trumpīs big mouth will not make things easier. Evry stupidity coming from him, will come from presidentīs mouth, not from a lunatic guy in a Tv. show.

Bad news. Very bad.



.
 
 
  • Post #22,479
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:15pm Nov 8, 2016 10:15pm
  •  bigboss
  • | Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Member | 200 Posts
Perfect time to buy bonds.
 
 
  • Post #22,480
  • Quote
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:57pm Nov 8, 2016 10:57pm
  •  Gbp/jpy
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: CHART HACKER | 2,454 Posts
I'm buying hemp penny stocks....

I'm worried to death it'll be a Clinton....IDK....
 
 
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