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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #3,721
  • Oct 28, 2016 5:36am Oct 28, 2016 5:36am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,722
  • Oct 28, 2016 5:38am Oct 28, 2016 5:38am
Quoting vvFish
{image}
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  • #3,723
  • Oct 28, 2016 5:49am Oct 28, 2016 5:49am
Quoting Travel63
{quote} {image}
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,724
  • Oct 28, 2016 5:51am Oct 28, 2016 5:51am
open on m5 chart
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  • #3,725
  • Oct 28, 2016 6:00am Oct 28, 2016 6:00am
everyone good weekend

Inserted Video
  • #3,726
  • Oct 28, 2016 6:06am Oct 28, 2016 6:06am
Great weekend to everyone.
Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,727
  • Oct 28, 2016 10:27pm Oct 28, 2016 10:27pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Top events in November: meeting of the Fed, the US elections!

Changing times, the Fed gradually coming to further tighten monetary policy, Britain is leaving the EU, and Barack Obama will retire on 8 November US presidential election.
His events of November is not going to give way by October, and that's just what we know, in addition to possible surprises ...
Nov. 1
AU Cash Rate [Reserve Bank of Australia decides on rates]
CA GDP [GDP data from Canada, on a background of terrible volatile CAD]

November 2
NZ Unemployment Rate [Quarterly, and this before a meeting of the RBNZ this month]
Federal Funds Rate [Fed meeting, no comment]

the 3rd of November
UK BOE Inflation Report [meeting of the Bank of England]

November 4
US Non-Farm Employment Change [nonfarmy penultimate before the intended increase in the Fed rate in December!]

November 8
UK Inflation Report Hearings [quarterly report of economic forecasts of England]
US Presidential Election

November 9
NZ Official Cash Rate [RBNZ meeting, everyone expects that reduce]

15th of November
NZ Retail Sales [Quarterly]
US Core Retail Sales [favorite American retail]

November 17th
AU Employment Change [the labor market in Australia]
US Core CPI [inflation pushes rates]

November 22
CA Core Retail Sales

23 November
US FOMC Meeting Minutes [A detailed report of the meeting FOMC, here is the last marina before the December meeting]


November 25
UK Second Estimate GDP [clarification on quarterly GDP]

29th of November
US Prelim GDP [clarification on quarterly GDP]

November 30th
CA GDP [Canada is unique frequency of the publication of GDP]
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,728
  • Oct 28, 2016 10:35pm Oct 28, 2016 10:35pm
Tuesday
6:30
11/1/16
AU Interest HOT!
(AU Cash Rate), Australia, the AUDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 55.00 points in the first minute after the release.
35% probability trades.

Tuesday
12:30
11/1/16
GB Industry Activity Index GOOD
(GB Manufacturing PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Tuesday
15:30
11/1/16
CA GDP growth GOOD
(CA GDP), Canada, USDCAD
Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Tuesday
17:00
11/1/16
US ISM index of business optimism
(US ISM Manufacturing PMI), USA, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,729
  • Oct 29, 2016 5:40am Oct 29, 2016 5:40am
vvFish, what are the setup for wheelbarrel?
thanks
  • #3,730
  • Oct 29, 2016 6:01am Oct 29, 2016 6:01am
vvFish, what are the setup for wheelbarrel?
thanks
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,731
  • Oct 31, 2016 9:19am Oct 31, 2016 9:19am
Thoughts on "smart traders"
5:30
AU Cash Rate
The market does not expect a decline in interest rates. This time, perhaps, we can agree with him on 98%. In numbers, the probability of a rate cut (that is to RBA) is 4%. At the same time, Bloomberg has surveyed 23 economists, 6 of which involve reduction of the rate during this release. And here it is worth to take this time ...
Simply do not miss the publication. Yes, the RBA and the famous - the effect of a surprise, is not alien to them. There is a good reason to get up early and spend the day cheerfully.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,732
  • Oct 31, 2016 12:47pm Oct 31, 2016 12:47pm
For now focus is less on the prospects of the Fed increasing interest rates. Major attention is on the US elections as fears are rising that Donald Trump would eventually win.
  • #3,733
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:33pm Oct 31, 2016 8:33pm
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  • #3,734
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:37pm Oct 31, 2016 8:37pm
Quoting vvFish
Thoughts on "smart traders" 5:30 AU Cash Rate The market does not expect a decline in interest rates. This time, perhaps, we can agree with him on 98%. In numbers, the probability of a rate cut (that is to RBA) is 4%. At the same time, Bloomberg has surveyed 23 economists, 6 of which involve reduction of the rate during this release. And here it is worth to take this time ... Simply do not miss the publication. Yes, the RBA and the famous - the effect of a surprise, is not alien to them. There is a good reason to get up early and spend the day cheerfully....


Great analysis, this helped me back my conviction to only go long among other reasons.
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HMSR
  • #3,735
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:38pm Oct 31, 2016 8:38pm
Quoting Travel63
{image}
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,736
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:38pm Oct 31, 2016 8:38pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,737
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:44pm Oct 31, 2016 8:44pm
Quoting Hmsr
{quote} Great analysis, this helped me back my conviction to only go long among other reasons. {image}
All thanks to http://www.fxnewskiller.com/dashboard
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,738
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:48pm Oct 31, 2016 8:48pm
[Цитата = vvFish; 9228528] {образ} [/ цитата]

  • #3,739
  • Oct 31, 2016 8:49pm Oct 31, 2016 8:49pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"
GB Manufacturing PMI
11:30
Before the release of such factors can be noted for the intensity of trading pairs:
- Uncertainty relation to the pound this release
- Sufficient value of the projected figure (54.5), which allows the index to remain above comfort zone (50)
- Press after the weekend, which exaggerated the topic probable "retirement" Mark Carney and application Theresa May that "Carney - the best person for the management of the Bank during this period" (this is exactly the reason why the pound jumped at 50P on Monday evening. ).
- Message from the FBI, the resumption of testing emails Hillary Clinton, who forwarded via a private server. And other policy statements, for example, the leader of the Democrats that the FBI has "explosive information" against Trump, but resumes proceedings against E-mail ....
What conclusions can we draw from all of this - is to keep themselves and their better not expect much at this time.
If the data indicate "higher than expected", in this case, we have a traditional Brexit risk and the factor that optimism indicator has been tried before, to overcome the Rubicon "50" (which took place in September).
If the data indicate "below expectations", the main question is "how much much?" The indicator will be difficult to hold on to at least a transit line (above the forecast of 54.5, that "okolomaksimum" last year).
In addition, too many events this week ... and the Bank of England meets on Thursday ...
The main thing - follow the pound before the auction, his sharp circulation before the publication can burn fuel motion for release.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,740
  • Nov 1, 2016 12:19am Nov 1, 2016 12:19am
Quoting vvFish
Thoughts on "smart traders" GB Manufacturing PMI 11:30 Before the release of such factors can be noted for the intensity of trading pairs: - Uncertainty relation to the pound this release - Sufficient value of the projected figure (54.5), which allows the index to remain above comfort zone (50) - Press after the weekend, which exaggerated the topic probable "retirement" Mark Carney and application Theresa May that "Carney - the best person for the management of the Bank during this period" (this is exactly the reason why the pound jumped at 50P...

The GBP PMI seems like a mediocre trade opportunity in comparison to the CAD GDP tonight/today.



Quoting vvFish
{quote} All thanks to http://www.fxnewskiller.com/dashboard
Is this your website?
HMSR
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vvFish