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  • #1,078,361
  • Oct 19, 2016 11:47pm Oct 19, 2016 11:47pm
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday View Simple as that, E/U technically going down Intraday S/R: Support: 1.0950 (as Daily_S1) and channel TL (chart); Resistance: psycho 1.1000; Mind the EU rates/conference, if 1.0950(daily key support, see Brexit lows!) broken, E/U is doomed! Play intraday range until rates/conference! Good tradin' you all! {image}

I fully agree with your analysis. It should be choppy until rates/conference and the US election theme is not helping.
  • #1,078,362
  • Oct 19, 2016 11:55pm Oct 19, 2016 11:55pm
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} I fully agree with your analysis. It should be choppy until rates/conference and the US election theme is not helping.
The ECB's rates will remain unchanged, everybody knows that.

But the conference it's the most important event today!
.....if they (Draghi) will come up with the slightest hint
about tapering (holding/slowing the QE programme) ...we will see 1.1130 today !!!

And I say is very possible to see ECB speculating in the way of strengthening the euro just because is reaching the Brexit lows!!!
Member
  • #1,078,363
  • Oct 20, 2016 12:01am Oct 20, 2016 12:01am
2:57 = 1.09 67 Low=1.0951 SL at 1.09 50 was just lucky. . . crew.

Tudor, where have you been for some days...??? Good you are back buddy. ! Yeap , 1.09 50 is critical , if violated.
  • #1,078,364
  • Oct 20, 2016 12:04am Oct 20, 2016 12:04am
Quoting yanitsa
Good Morning ! It looks like my model will not give any trades today . Maybe after ECB , dont know . Maybe GBP/NZD short , but it looks tricky ..... For EUR , I would short a rally to 1.0980-90 , but its time dependant , dont want to hold a trade during Mario Draghi speech !
The oportunity for short GBP/NZD is gone , it entered teh no man's land
  • #1,078,365
  • Oct 20, 2016 12:22am Oct 20, 2016 12:22am
Quoting F.g
2:57 = 1.09 67 Low=1.0951 SL at 1.09 50 was just lucky. . . crew. Tudor, where have you been for some days...??? Good you are back buddy. ! Yeap , 1.09 50 is critical , if violated.
Thnx. Personal issues, I'm fine.
Well, I remeber Draghi at the March 10th this year rates/conference
...after E/U droped, on lazy economy, ECB lowed the rates further more (0.05 -> 0,00%)
and that boosted E/U for a while
Now we're pretty much low with everything on euro side.... so, what Draghi will do this time?!?!?!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Member
  • #1,078,366
  • Edited 1:01am Oct 20, 2016 12:34am | Edited 1:01am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Thnx. Personal issues, I'm fine. Well, I remeber Draghi at the March 10th this year rates/conference ...after E/U droped, on lazy economy, ECB lowed the rates further more (0.05 -> 0,00%) and that boosted E/U for a while Now we're pretty much low with everything on euro side.... so, what Draghi will do this time?!?!?! {image}
Hi Tudor
Hi all
Trade safe
Â
Draghi is ok with the low euro....so maybe taper.... Maybe 1140..... Will draw chart in office.
My long term model shows 1.0985. Hmm. That's why I'm hesitant to open/close.
If we go above 1.0981 the bull case is strong.
Â
My view on the misery E/A was slightly confirmed bloody aussies. Now expect 1.4650. And further to 1.60 to close all and forget this bollocking currency.
....
The 2nd chart is from 01st September. ÂWhy i didn't follow my strategy??? to the end. ÂI know why. The apparent bull moves and fake strength fooled me. They sure know how to pump a currency.Â
Stay safeÂ
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Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,078,367
  • Oct 20, 2016 12:58am Oct 20, 2016 12:58am
Quoting Matts Micro
Looks like a potential swing day. Multiple charts at important levels that could trigger reversals. Haven't posted for a while, what is up with new format... so hard to use...

Nope. It looks very very simple...
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The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #1,078,368
  • Oct 20, 2016 12:59am Oct 20, 2016 12:59am
0978 look like strong resistance.. will see
  • #1,078,369
  • Edited 1:12am Oct 20, 2016 1:00am | Edited 1:12am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Hi Tudor Hi all Trade safe Draghi is ok with the low euro....so maybe taper.... Maybe 1140..... Will draw chart in office. My long term model shows 1.0985. Hmm. That's why I'm hesitant to open/close. If we go above 1.0981 the bull case is strong. My view on the misery E/A was slightly confirmed bloody aussies. Now expect 1.4650. And further to 1.60 to close all and forget this bollocking currency. {image}
Yea, Draghi is ok with a weak euro but not with a weak economy.
Nice chart, Not! Luv'it!

Anyway, we don't expect any new announcements from the ECB.
We know ahead the conference the Mario Draghi today's bla-bla-bla :
"-Risks to the Eurozone growth outlook are still heading to the downside;
-QE will be kept until March or longer if needed;
-rates will remain on current levels for an extended period and can still be lowered;
-ECB will use all the tools available within its mandate"
...and more bla-bla
...even if EURUSD has come under selling pressure due to broad USD strength, E/U will not go under 1.0950, .......I guess
Member
  • #1,078,370
  • Oct 20, 2016 1:02am Oct 20, 2016 1:02am
Quoting antoe
0978 look like strong resistance.. will see
looks?
1.0978-1.0980 is strong resistane/support..works both way


Long from 1.0964 SL 48 TP Open
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #1,078,371
  • Oct 20, 2016 1:03am Oct 20, 2016 1:03am
Quoting antoe
0978 look like strong resistance.. will see
It's the Daily_Pivot
Member
  • #1,078,372
  • Oct 20, 2016 2:13am Oct 20, 2016 2:13am
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/eur..._share_twitter
  • #1,078,373
  • Oct 20, 2016 3:48am Oct 20, 2016 3:48am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} The oportunity for short GBP/NZD is gone , it entered teh no man's land
It gave the trade after all
  • #1,078,374
  • Oct 20, 2016 4:35am Oct 20, 2016 4:35am
7:35 = 1.09 84 Not bad as a start..... I raise my SL at 1.09 69 as Palpite does...
  • #1,078,375
  • Oct 20, 2016 4:37am Oct 20, 2016 4:37am
Up Stop Loss to 1.0970 - as F.g and Palpite does
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,078,376
  • Oct 20, 2016 4:37am Oct 20, 2016 4:37am
Lets gamble, Long EA 1.4325.
  • #1,078,377
  • Oct 20, 2016 4:39am Oct 20, 2016 4:39am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} It gave the trade after all
GU, 2700? 200EMA + cup and handle?

EDIT: That, or a VERY long way south..
I still need a trading break soon!!! "Loose some to win more" --Baher A.
  • #1,078,378
  • Oct 20, 2016 4:49am Oct 20, 2016 4:49am
Quoting Vorex
Lets gamble, Long EA 1.4325.

Why gamble Aussie numbers were very bad!? I am still in the AU short..
I still need a trading break soon!!! "Loose some to win more" --Baher A.
  • #1,078,379
  • Oct 20, 2016 4:52am Oct 20, 2016 4:52am
Quoting baherhosni
{quote} GU, 2700? 200EMA + cup and handle? EDIT: That, or a VERY long way south..
No idea , really
GBP/NZD short was the only trade I saw
  • #1,078,380
  • Oct 20, 2016 5:01am Oct 20, 2016 5:01am
If any trader on this thread is tracking the EURJPY, they may like to note that the pair is now on an upward retracement within the channel on the 4H time frame. The immediate target is likely to be the upper trendline of the channel, which is proximal to the 76.4 and 61.8 Fib levels. I may be wrong. Trade safe.

KP

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