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AUD/USD

  • #99,201
  • Oct 19, 2016 10:50am Oct 19, 2016 10:50am
Quoting dstinkt
What just happened?
Im just as lost
  • #99,202
  • Oct 19, 2016 10:58am Oct 19, 2016 10:58am
Quoting Balmain Boy
{quote} If you have both a Bought & Sold position of equal size then you don't have any exposure to the market whatsoever - you're just kidding yourself.
that's exactly the plan. cos i was expecting it to go higher. yet i was worried it may just drop. so if it dropped, at least i had no exposure.
now that it's shot up, at least i've profited on the way up...and now i can enter short from above again. will probably take a loss on the short, but both added together net profit.


Quoting dondealova
Nice spot {image}
that was an obvious consolidation pattern. but what eventually pushed it...........no idea. higher gold maybe? or a short squeeze prior to aussie employment data in a few hours' time. stops tripped as well. next target = 7729, if we do get to there. but i suspect the market has had enough for today. the employment data tomorrow will decide for us.
  • #99,203
  • Oct 19, 2016 11:49am Oct 19, 2016 11:49am
Quoting skyhok
{quote} Based on Elliott Wave structure, here on the daily chart, 5th wave (v) of the ending diagonal c red will likely terminate at least the Fibonacci ratio of a 100% x wave (iii) @ 0.7851, and therefore terminate this larger correction 4 red, before resuming down trend. {image}
Pushing up on an impulse wave 3 red, probable TP @ 0.7800s
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1 20Oct16.png Size: 59 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #99,204
  • Oct 19, 2016 5:02pm Oct 19, 2016 5:02pm
Quoting dstinkt
What just happened?
The usual. Spikes before the "surprisssseeee".
As far as i read the market, and all stuff, the job news tonight will be good. 14-18 thousand. Tiny push up and drop afterwards....
7720 now
Â
As always, trade this ..... Âat your risk
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #99,205
  • Oct 19, 2016 5:58pm Oct 19, 2016 5:58pm
Quoting ell3
{quote} that's exactly the plan. cos i was expecting it to go higher. yet i was worried it may just drop. so if it dropped, at least i had no exposure. now that it's shot up, at least i've profited on the way up...and now i can enter short from above again. will probably take a loss on the short, but both added together net profit. {quote} that was an obvious consolidation pattern. but what eventually pushed it...........no idea. higher gold maybe? or a short squeeze prior to aussie employment data in a few hours' time. stops tripped as well. next...
AU tends to correlate strongly with CAD.

Initial CAD explosion after the rate announcement likely got the ball rolling for the Aussie.

Cad follows oil, although that correlation has broken down a little bit recently. US inventory massive 7 million barrel miss to the downside gave oil a major price pop which likely added more fuel to the Aussie fire (with the expectation that CAD might lead the parade).

However, before CAD could potentially follow oil price pop, Mr. Poloz's gum flapping comment about the possibility of more CAD stimulus was announced which quickly destroyed big CAD initial price pop. Too late Aussie made its move. CAD subsequently crashes back to earth. Aussie dumps its correlation with CAD and remains firm at new levels.

In a nutshell
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #99,206
  • Oct 19, 2016 7:22pm Oct 19, 2016 7:22pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} The usual. Spikes before the "surprisssseeee". As far as i read the market, and all stuff, the job news tonight will be good. 14-18 thousand. Tiny push up and drop afterwards.... 7720 now As always, trade this ..... at your risk
Thinking you're right cuz I'd be surprised A/U goes much higher from here, especially with E/A at 1.42 and A/C over 1.01. I know news is coming up but maybe today's NY move up was a pump up. Maybe the print wI'll be good or in range but the rate goes up.
Enter Signature
  • #99,207
  • Oct 19, 2016 7:36pm Oct 19, 2016 7:36pm
Employment figures not so great for the AUD...

All AUD pairs are heading south for the time being...
  • #99,208
  • Oct 19, 2016 8:20pm Oct 19, 2016 8:20pm
RBA Governor stated that if Unemployment deteriorates he will decrease interest rates.

Lets see if he keeps his promise.

Former Governor had a different stance .
  • #99,209
  • Oct 19, 2016 8:24pm Oct 19, 2016 8:24pm
Quoting lasty
RBA Governor stated that if Unemployment deteriorates he will decrease interest rates. Lets see if he keeps his promise. Former Governor had a different stance .
Will see how CPI comes in next week, I feel another cut is coming.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,210
  • Oct 19, 2016 8:29pm Oct 19, 2016 8:29pm
Quoting lasty
RBA Governor stated that if Unemployment deteriorates he will decrease interest rates. Lets see if he keeps his promise. Former Governor had a different stance .
Rates will be heading down 100%....
Im working in the field of logistics and exports from Australia have decreased by a massive 40% since last year...
  • #99,211
  • Oct 19, 2016 8:34pm Oct 19, 2016 8:34pm
My TA says: Yesterday was a break of a year long falling TL (start daily 14/5/2015). It may workout to be a FO but imo the line has been challenged too many times previously. A pullback to the 0.766 region is likely, potentially tails exceeding this level. A break below would open the path for LL's. If the bulls stay on board however, it may create LT momentum. Currently watching for bounce @0.768 for strengths and weaknesses.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd #94.png Size: 72 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #99,212
  • Oct 19, 2016 8:51pm Oct 19, 2016 8:51pm
Also using the correlated EA 30m 200MA falling TL to establish direction. A break below the rising 200MA on the 15m AU (currently at 0.7686) may also create a significant ST pullback.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #99,213
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:23pm Oct 19, 2016 9:23pm
Quoting Matts Micro
Also using the correlated EA 30m 200MA falling TL to establish direction. A break below the rising 200MA on the 15m AU (currently at 0.7686) may also create a significant ST pullback.
I will agree with you and i dont even know what u mean lol
  • #99,214
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:27pm Oct 19, 2016 9:27pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU.png Size: 135 KB

audusd sell tp 7595/600 sl 7650

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  • #99,215
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:31pm Oct 19, 2016 9:31pm
Quoting jpcashflow
{quote} I will agree with you and i dont even know what u mean lol
Heh here's a couple of pics to make it easier. The EURAUD chart has potential to make or break the AUDUSD Long Term and the AU pic is a Short Term possibility.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraud #26.png Size: 55 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd #95.png Size: 58 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #99,216
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:45pm Oct 19, 2016 9:45pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Heh here's a couple of pics to make it easier. The EURAUD chart has potential to make or break the AUDUSD Long Term and the AU pic is a Short Term possibility. {image} {image}
On your chart E/A shows active double bottom, looks like price could head back up to previous daily support at 1.44500
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,217
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:50pm Oct 19, 2016 9:50pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} On your chart E/A shows active double bottom, looks like price could head back up to previous daily support at 1.44500
Possibly but I'm not a huge fan of double tops/bottoms unless exact drawn like a pair of boobs. I will wait for euro session to begin before making any choices today.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #99,218
  • Oct 19, 2016 9:52pm Oct 19, 2016 9:52pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Possibly but I'm not a huge fan of double tops/bottoms unless exact drawn like a pair of boobs. I will wait for euro session to begin before making any choices today.
Let the eur lead they way
I do the same thing.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,219
  • Edited 11:07pm Oct 19, 2016 10:51pm | Edited 11:07pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Possibly but I'm not a huge fan of double tops/bottoms unless exact drawn like a pair of boobs. I will wait for euro session to begin before making any choices today.
Â
I'd say 1.4650 for E/A. Takes a week.
Â
Maybe wishful thinking.... But nothing will make me buy or even touch A/U.....
When i die, on my tombstone they'll put "Aussie free since 2-0-1-3" nice ring to it.
Â
That said, yes all counties experience slowdown, so what's up with all Aussie up move? Is it purely technical?? Is it carry trade?? Who knows....
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #99,220
  • Oct 19, 2016 11:11pm Oct 19, 2016 11:11pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} I'd say 1.4650 for E/A. Takes a week. Maybe wishful thinking.... But nothing will make me buy or even touch A/U..... When i die, on my tombstone they'll put "Aussie free since 2-0-1-3" nice ring to it. That said, yes all counties experience slowdown, so what's up with all Aussie up move? Is it purely technical?? Is it carry trade?? Who knows....
Its probably an easy currency to move around. a trade of 200 million and have a major effect on the aussie.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
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