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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #26,381
  • Oct 1, 2016 11:57pm Oct 1, 2016 11:57pm
Which indices indicate the "direction" of the next move ?? Dow Transport and NDX ?!

Sixer
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: D-NDX(90)-30.9.16.gif Size: 59 KB
  • #26,382
  • Oct 2, 2016 10:53am Oct 2, 2016 10:53am
Milan (AFN)-
Deutsche bank is officially indicted this weekend for the derivatives scandal at the Italian Banco Monte dei Paschi di Siena. The troubled financial group has a new worry.
A judge in Milan has the request of the Italian justice to initiate a criminal case against Deutsche Bank, an employee of the company and five former directors, assigned.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,383
  • Oct 2, 2016 1:25pm Oct 2, 2016 1:25pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax 02102016 analysis 1.jpg Size: 108 KB
We err, and err, and err again, but less.
  • #26,384
  • Edited 7:26am Oct 3, 2016 2:04am | Edited 7:26am
EUREX markets closed today / Bank Holiday.

Short DOW @ 18.224
T1 +11 points x 2 lot (+$ 110.00)
1 to go
Flat BE last lot

Target 18.200 Few Friday single TPO blocks left to cover

Longer term Up target a Naked POC of September 22 @ 18.320
Longer term Down target: 18.135/18.090 (Naked POC of last week Thursday (Sept 29) not tested yet)

Dow in the middle of those 2 POC's. Need news to move the market(s) to up or down target.

Oil sideways, but MA lines bullish

(Future Prices)
Attached Images
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,385
  • Oct 3, 2016 3:31am Oct 3, 2016 3:31am
Long us oil,stop 15 pts
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  • #26,386
  • Oct 3, 2016 3:34am Oct 3, 2016 3:34am
DOW and S&P are right up to their Friday POC's. Lets see if they want to cross these levels to the upside
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW SP Monday morning.JPG Size: 111 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,387
  • Edited 7:25am Oct 3, 2016 4:07am | Edited 7:25am
CAC40 (French) moves down a little

EURO STOXX moves a little down/ Rejected the 3000 level so far.
Short @ 2992 2 lot
T1 +6 points (E 60,00)
1 lot to go
FLAT +8 points
(totally +E 140,00)

Friday single TPO blocks down to 2976

DAX also has Friday singles to cover down to 10.435 but closed today.
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,388
  • Oct 3, 2016 5:59am Oct 3, 2016 5:59am
DAX in "Trend Limbo".

Source: http://jlfmi.tumblr.com/post/1511872...in-trend-limbo

Sixer
Attached Images
  • #26,389
  • Edited 7:07am Oct 3, 2016 6:01am | Edited 7:07am
DOW Short again @ 18.230

Rejected the Friday POC (so far)
Target 18.200 Few Friday single TPO blocks left to cover

T1 +11 points 1 lot
1 lot to go. Sl BE
FLAT +31 points last lot
(+$210.00)

Friday single TPO blocks covered. (down to 18.198)
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,390
  • Oct 3, 2016 8:18am Oct 3, 2016 8:18am
DOW and YM have 2 GAP's to close.

1 Up to Friday close
1 down to Thursday close

Right in the middle of those 2 GAP's now

MA lines still Bullish, so there could be a pop (but expect the unexpected/No Prediction)

S&P
Upper GAP @2159
Lower Gap @ 2148.50 (also the Thursday POC and last week POC

DOW
Upper GAP @ 18.208
Lower GAP @ 18.100 (also Thursday POC)

CDF price S&P 6 points higher then Futures
CDF price DOW 85 points higher then Futures.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,391
  • Oct 3, 2016 8:32am Oct 3, 2016 8:32am
Both US markets on bottom of Friday 60 Min. Opening Range (IB)

US markets try to close the lower Thursday GAP first
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,392
  • Edited 8:58am Oct 3, 2016 8:48am | Edited 8:58am
S&P Long @ 2149.00

Almost closed its Thursday GAP.
Maybe to early, but lets see.
Counter, so 1 lot only
Added 1 lot @ 2150.00 (Fridays OR low)

T1 +1.5 points x 1 lot
1 lot to go
SL BE @ 2149.00

Last Week POC @ 2148.50.

Could still go down to close the GAP @ 2148.50 (or lower)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,393
  • Edited 9:17am Oct 3, 2016 9:00am | Edited 9:17am
If US markets remain this low or lower, DAX could drop to 10.440/450 zone. (I changed DAX will drop into DAX could drop. Otherwise it sounds like a prediction)

Single TPO's to cover from Friday and pocket/ to fill from Thursday @ same level
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 12-16 (15 Min) 30-9-2016.jpg Size: 82 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,394
  • Edited 9:18am Oct 3, 2016 9:01am | Edited 9:18am
DOW Long @18.126

T1 +21 points x 3 lot
1 to go
+31 points locked in last lot/trailing
FLAT +31 points last lot
(Totally $ 470,00)
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,395
  • Oct 3, 2016 9:02am Oct 3, 2016 9:02am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
S&P Long @ 2149.00 Almost closed its Thursday GAP. Maybe to early, but lets see. Counter, so 1 lot only Added 1 lot @ 2150.00 (Fridays OR low) T1 +1.5 points x 1 lot 1 lot to go SL BE @ 2149.00 Last Week POC @ 2148.50. Could still go down to close the GAP @ 2148.50 (or lower)
S&P +4 locked in last lot
FLAT +4 points ($200,00)
T1 +1.5 points x 1 lot ($75,00)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,396
  • Oct 3, 2016 9:55am Oct 3, 2016 9:55am
Dutchy,

Once again thanks for the updates. I noticed you seem to be able to pick up trends reversals/momentum. Do you use anything aside from gaps/TPO line/ VAH VAL and MA lines? I'm finding myself lacking the conviction to take on trades and ride the trend.

For example, from my market profile chart Im looking at SP filling the gaps from last Thursday (Huge gap), but after it has finished filling the gap, I suppose you would be using POC lines as your reference for the next move. But there are POC lines at the top and bottom. How should I proceed from there?

My MA lines seem to lag behind the actual price movement by alot. And sometimes the trend would end by the time my MA lines points me to a direction (By then again, all MA lines are laggards)
  • #26,397
  • Oct 3, 2016 10:28am Oct 3, 2016 10:28am
Quoting dontknowwhy
Dutchy, Once again thanks for the updates. I noticed you seem to be able to pick up trends reversals/momentum. Do you use anything aside from gaps/TPO line/ VAH VAL and MA lines? I'm finding myself lacking the conviction to take on trades and ride the trend. For example, from my market profile chart Im looking at SP filling the gaps from last Thursday (Huge gap), but after it has finished filling the gap, I suppose you would be using POC lines as your reference for the next move. But there are POC lines at the top and bottom. How should I proceed...
I will come back on your questions in 1 or 2 days.
Tonight I have to go out and therefore no time now.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,398
  • Edited 1:08am Oct 4, 2016 12:57am | Edited 1:08am
Reminder

Daily GAP to fill up to 10.615 zone
Pocket to fill down to 10.460/435 zone

Thursday POC @ 10.506 (also Friday close)
Last week POC @ 10.380
Friday POC @ 10.277
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 12-16 (15 Min) 30-9-2016.jpg Size: 100 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #26,399
  • Oct 4, 2016 1:39am Oct 4, 2016 1:39am
China on Holiday this week. Taiwan on Holiday October 8th,9th & 10th
  • #26,400
  • Oct 4, 2016 1:45am Oct 4, 2016 1:45am
No news today.
Extreem low Volume overnight S&P. 29K only.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
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