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  • #1,076,801
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:38am Sep 30, 2016 3:38am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} You/we were lucky this time just because Deutsche Bank may start a global crash edit: if the German government will step in, I'm a bull again
Not sure if the German govt are able to cover $47 Trillion in derivatives exposure... 20 x German GDP? Nah, don't think so. DB is the Euro - DB is over 60% of the ECB. Europe's banking sector is almost twice as large as the US. And right at the center of it all? Deutsche Bank....

Game on.
If you're not in the 5% yet it's because you have to try 95% harder.
  • #1,076,802
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:46am Sep 30, 2016 3:46am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} Not sure if the German govt are able to cover $47 Trillion in derivatives exposure... 20 x German GDP? Nah, don't think so. DB is the Euro - DB is over 60% of the ECB. Europe's banking sector is almost twice as large as the US. And right at the center of it all? Deutsche Bank.... Game on.
Huge withdrawals from DB. So it's a real possibility to start a financial turmoil there?
Member
  • #1,076,803
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:47am Sep 30, 2016 3:47am
MY TRADE FORECAST FOR TODAY-EU
ENJOY!
Inserted Video
  • #1,076,804
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:53am Sep 30, 2016 3:53am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} Not sure if the German govt are able to cover $47 Trillion in derivatives exposure... 20 x German GDP? Nah, don't think so. DB is the Euro - DB is over 60% of the ECB. Europe's banking sector is almost twice as large as the US. And right at the center of it all? Deutsche Bank.... Game on.
Can you provide some source material for the 60% figure?
  • #1,076,805
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:54am Sep 30, 2016 3:54am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Huge withdrawals from DB. So it's a real possibility to start a financial turmoil there?
DB share price lower than twitter? Airbnb? Could be.....

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If you're not in the 5% yet it's because you have to try 95% harder.
  • #1,076,806
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:57am Sep 30, 2016 3:57am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} DB share price lower than twitter? Airbnb? Could be..... {image} {image} {image}
Hoho, maybe it's time for a scenario review of Lehman Bros. history ...just to refresh our memories
Member
  • #1,076,807
  • Sep 30, 2016 3:58am Sep 30, 2016 3:58am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Hoho, maybe it's time for a scenario review of Lehman Bros. history
Nah, nothing like Lehman. Much, much worse.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...teral-exposure
If you're not in the 5% yet it's because you have to try 95% harder.
  • #1,076,808
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:01am Sep 30, 2016 4:01am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} Nah, nothing like Lehman. Much, much worse.
...then I'll become an economic refugee any ideas where? ...fly in Hong Kong ...oh, Belize, sure! LOL
Member
  • #1,076,809
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:03am Sep 30, 2016 4:03am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} ...then I'll become a economic refugee any ideas where? ...fly in Hong Kong
Anywhere they have plenty of popcorn!

Attached Image
If you're not in the 5% yet it's because you have to try 95% harder.
  • #1,076,810
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:05am Sep 30, 2016 4:05am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} Anywhere they have plenty of popcorn!
they have enough popcorn in Belize? hihi
Member
  • #1,076,811
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:10am Sep 30, 2016 4:10am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} they have enough popcorn in Belize? hihi
No. There is no popcorn in Belize. There is nothing in Belize. Do not come here. It's awful. Snows all of the time. Nothing to do. Nothing to see. Stay away, it's for your own good.
If you're not in the 5% yet it's because you have to try 95% harder.
  • #1,076,812
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:11am Sep 30, 2016 4:11am
When I said EU bear supported, it means shorting it to a turning point area,I have 1.08-1.07 area in view before longing Big
Follow the Flow and Grow
  • #1,076,813
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:15am Sep 30, 2016 4:15am
are we gonna go back on 1.119-1.124 area. it doesnt seem like a clear break of 1.119 yet
  • #1,076,814
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:20am Sep 30, 2016 4:20am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} No. There is no popcorn in Belize. There is nothing in Belize. Do not come here. It's awful. Snows all of the time. Nothing to do. Nothing to see. Stay away, it's for your own good.
Really?! Got your photo ...it's snowing indeed
I'll bring my friends with me. ...and some Syrian friends too. You will love us
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Member
  • #1,076,815
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:26am Sep 30, 2016 4:26am
The price is testing the support at 1.11718. If the price will continue to move down then it goes to the point of 1.11609, as already done before. And if the price is not strong enough to break through the support then the price will move up to the point of 1.11980.
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  • #1,076,816
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:33am Sep 30, 2016 4:33am
Quoting Dr.Octagon
{quote} Not sure if the German govt are able to cover $47 Trillion in derivatives exposure... 20 x German GDP? Nah, don't think so. DB is the Euro - DB is over 60% of the ECB. Europe's banking sector is almost twice as large as the US. And right at the center of it all? Deutsche Bank.... Game on.
Derivates dont have to be covered by cash from taxpayers its the capital shortfall thats the problem from deposit run if it happens and the rest of capital hole on balance sheet. The number could be as large as 300 bil but technically that could be extracted from taxpayers if needed it all depends whether there is agenda to push DB over the cliff or not, like it was in case of Lehman. Lehman could be easily saved by 50 bil injection, but it was agenda not to save it, thus we shall see.
  • #1,076,817
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:42am Sep 30, 2016 4:42am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Derivates dont have to be covered by cash from taxpayers its the capital shortfall thats the problem from deposit run if it happens and the rest of capital hole on balance sheet. The number could be as large as 300 bil but technically that could be extracted from taxpayers if needed it all depends whether there is agenda to push DB over the cliff or not, like it was in case of Lehman. Lehman could be easily saved by 50 bil injection, but it was agenda not to save it, thus we shall see.
Better explained. My style was maybe too ...colored.
Member
  • #1,076,818
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:54am Sep 30, 2016 4:54am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Derivates dont have to be covered by cash from taxpayers its the capital shortfall thats the problem from deposit run if it happens and the rest of capital hole on balance sheet. The number could be as large as 300 bil but technically that could be extracted from taxpayers if needed it all depends whether there is agenda to push DB over the cliff or not, like it was in case of Lehman. Lehman could be easily saved by 50 bil injection, but it was agenda not to save it, thus we shall see.
Was being facetious. Yep, could be bail in time. In the short term, yes, under cap is the issue, and as you say - a bailout/in could solve the short term gap. But if there are any further problems, the exposure to derivs will nail DB, and very likely many others.
If you're not in the 5% yet it's because you have to try 95% harder.
  • #1,076,819
  • Sep 30, 2016 4:55am Sep 30, 2016 4:55am
Quoting pytaz
That's it for me, just closed my shorts, added additional long, i think it should go up now... GL
Yesterday market got me, all week holding my additional shorts with tp 1.1157, and today i think it will hit that level
yep, sometimes it happens in forex
to Tudor: next week we should have 1.13xx
GL for all
(It's not an advise, use your own head..)
  • #1,076,820
  • Sep 30, 2016 5:05am Sep 30, 2016 5:05am
6:00 = 1.11 75 I lower my SL to 1.11 27

Crew, all your posts are extremely interesting . However , do not underestimate the decisiveness of the downmove

and the bearish POTENTIAL. . . . [ I got this habit from Palpite... ]
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