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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #61,521
  • Sep 1, 2016 10:42am Sep 1, 2016 10:42am
Quoting PipMaxzz
That's a huge pullback....All running to safe haven? There is no reason for Yen to strengthen...looks to be a setup for huge USD run tomorrow after NFP. Staying on the sidelines until get clarity! BTW, don't dream Japanese will throw money now...they'll do when it is least expected.
yellen expected to speak during jackson hole meet and yemen rocket strike on saudi facilities news at the same time and UJ reaction to that

see how quickly markets can be manipulated
  • #61,522
  • Sep 1, 2016 10:51am Sep 1, 2016 10:51am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} yellen expected to speak during jackson hole meet and yemen rocket strike on saudi facilities news at the same time and UJ reaction to that see how quickly markets can be manipulated
anyways i am done for this week, not going to risk my profits at these levels and on nfp day

unless h4 momentum turns bearish
  • #61,523
  • Sep 1, 2016 10:55am Sep 1, 2016 10:55am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} yellen expected to speak during jackson hole meet and yemen rocket strike on saudi facilities news at the same time and UJ reaction to that see how quickly markets can be manipulated
Exactly...see sometimes irrelevant news posted as Breaking News...sometimes rumors or old news suddenly surfaces!
God, is this market is completely manipulated?
  • #61,524
  • Sep 1, 2016 2:57pm Sep 1, 2016 2:57pm
Quoting PipMaxzz
That's a huge pullback....All running to safe haven? There is no reason for Yen to strengthen...looks to be a setup for huge USD run tomorrow after NFP. Staying on the sidelines until get clarity! BTW, don't dream Japanese will throw money now...they'll do when it is least expected.
I don't think there will be helicopter money. It's unjapanese style. Even when Abe badly wants it, the system will not allow it.

So, at most they can do is to bark at speculators. Eventually Abe will be tired, and let it go below 100.
  • #61,525
  • Sep 1, 2016 3:03pm Sep 1, 2016 3:03pm
But for now, Yellen gets the attention. I think she will hike the rate this month. So, USD will be strong this month.
  • #61,526
  • Sep 1, 2016 5:29pm Sep 1, 2016 5:29pm
Quoting frx_trader
But for now, Yellen gets the attention. I think she will hike the rate this month. So, USD will be strong this month.
yep - this time it looks like there's finally a chance that the fed might hike, although the uber-dove Yellen might play the dovish card once again - we will wait and see
  • #61,527
  • Sep 1, 2016 9:36pm Sep 1, 2016 9:36pm
if nfp > 200k ; fed gets a reason to hike rates ; uj climbs to 105+

if nfp < 200k ; fed gets no reason to hike rates ; uj drops below 100

on ism news usd bulls booked profits awaiting nfp for fresh clues


either way i am on weekend
  • #61,528
  • Sep 1, 2016 10:10pm Sep 1, 2016 10:10pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} i am able to do that because i started this week with a new 5 usd account, touching 42 usd now on a larger account i would not have taken this kind of risk
What madness is this. 5 to 42 = 740 % How do you decide on your entries????
Gentlemen always play by the rules, if they can't, they change them.
  • #61,529
  • Sep 1, 2016 10:34pm Sep 1, 2016 10:34pm
Quoting Bsmile44
{quote} What madness is this. 5 to 42 = 740 % How do you decide on your entries????
http://www.forexfactory.com/search.p...rchid=21703920

i just trade with care and when i want lol
  • #61,530
  • Sep 1, 2016 10:42pm Sep 1, 2016 10:42pm
seems situation remain unclear..
looking for clue.. for now watch mode on..
no OP unless PA show the direction.. i dont care up or down..
what i care is do not trap and go to wrong sideline..


green pips to you all..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #61,531
  • Sep 1, 2016 11:52pm Sep 1, 2016 11:52pm
Later today, US NFP in August to be due.
Upcoming report will not have heavy impact on markets as it did before as the recent advance in jobs creation seems like on the back of seasonal factor.
Buck may slide, along with a rising yen should drag down USDJPY.
Before this day, UJ built up around 203 pips since August 26, uhm, substantial move.
Betting that this pair will fall back down significantly.
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  • #61,532
  • Sep 2, 2016 12:40am Sep 2, 2016 12:40am
my view for today :
as long as we below 103.41 down move is more likely..
but if 103.13 hold its side way ..
lets see what market choose..

note :
NFP will change the situation up or down
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #61,533
  • Sep 2, 2016 1:09am Sep 2, 2016 1:09am
Quoting mied
my view for today : as long as we below 103.41 down move is more likely.. but if 103.13 hold its side way .. lets see what market choose.. note : NFP will change the situation up or down
bull take control again..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #61,534
  • Sep 2, 2016 2:05am Sep 2, 2016 2:05am
Quoting mied
{quote} bull take control again..
targeting yesterday high.. if break this will be interesting..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #61,535
  • Sep 2, 2016 3:28am Sep 2, 2016 3:28am
Quoting mied
{quote} targeting yesterday high.. if break this will be interesting..
Going long?
  • #61,536
  • Sep 2, 2016 4:06am Sep 2, 2016 4:06am
Quoting nozomi
{quote} Going long?
right now im going long.. but quick in and out..
i dont have ball to hold because PA still in grey situation

the only reason im going with bull side is
4H and 1H in my view indicates bull still in domination..
but nearly exhausted..
i can relax if we break at least 103.71 and stay above..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #61,537
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:33am Sep 2, 2016 7:33am
Quoting PatienceFx
if nfp > 200k ; fed gets a reason to hike rates ; uj climbs to 105+ if nfp < 200k ; fed gets no reason to hike rates ; uj drops below 100 on ism news usd bulls booked profits awaiting nfp for fresh clues either way i am on weekend
verdict is out, there will be no sept rate hike , uj should fall
  • #61,538
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:35am Sep 2, 2016 7:35am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} verdict is out, there will be no sept rate hike , uj should fall
went short after nfp at 103 will hold it
  • #61,539
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:46am Sep 2, 2016 7:46am
this nfp is big joke.. just SL hunting.. now back to the scratch again.. still same no clear direction atm..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #61,540
  • Sep 2, 2016 7:50am Sep 2, 2016 7:50am
Expected to be a worst month based on historical data for this month. But the results are not so bad. US recovery is on track, averaging out the quarter.
Will BOJ and Fed together set the direction now, as Yellen commented on 'co-ordinated effort'?

Looks like it...but wait for candles for the light
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