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AUD/USD

  • #98,721
  • Aug 22, 2016 12:29pm Aug 22, 2016 12:29pm
Quoting venividivici
{quote} ive never been into fundamentals at all..technicals only.
Aah m8! You need the fuel of fundamentals to power your overall technical outlook for consistent profitability.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #98,722
  • Aug 22, 2016 1:32pm Aug 22, 2016 1:32pm
Quoting venividivici
{quote} ive never been into fundamentals at all..technicals only.
Hi,

I'd like your opinion on this:

http://education.forexlive.com/!/the...ay-00-20160820

I'm not arguing with you, just want your opinion.

I used to trade just with technical analysis, but I feel that I've improved since I started fundamental analysis.
A good strategy for trading is... the opposite of having a bad strategy.
  • #98,723
  • Aug 22, 2016 1:41pm Aug 22, 2016 1:41pm
Quoting PowerTrade
{quote} Hi, I'd like your opinion on this: http://education.forexlive.com/!/the...ay-00-20160820 I'm not arguing with you, just want your opinion. I used to trade just with technical analysis, but I feel that I've improved since I started fundamental analysis.
Im not really worried about what others do. If you trust that the experts are telling you to hold longs do it. best of luck
  • #98,724
  • Aug 22, 2016 1:45pm Aug 22, 2016 1:45pm
Quoting PowerTrade
{quote} Hi, I'd like your opinion on this: http://education.forexlive.com/!/the...ay-00-20160820 I'm not arguing with you, just want your opinion. I used to trade just with technical analysis, but I feel that I've improved since I started fundamental analysis.


However, I disagreed with the writer's conclusion to discount technicals. We need both, and to be used strategically.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #98,725
  • Aug 22, 2016 3:01pm Aug 22, 2016 3:01pm
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} However, I disagreed with the writer's conclusion to discount technicals. We need both, and to be used strategically. KP
I agree 100% with you!
A good strategy for trading is... the opposite of having a bad strategy.
  • #98,726
  • Aug 22, 2016 9:32pm Aug 22, 2016 9:32pm
Quoting PowerTrade
{quote} No, I don't trade like that but I came just to share my opinion, and hoping somebody tell me wtf am I doing wrong? Everything points for longs, from fundamentals to general criteria in the forums, but when I look at the charts I'm seeing that long is losing strenght, volume is decreasing, MACD is showing wear, what I see is that long is losing it's fuel rapidly. What do or any of the other people in this forums think? What am I not seeing?
As ive learnt through the years, two things -

1) Keep it simple - many technical indicators are just...indicators...they don't predict the future. So don't place too much hope in them. (the forexlive article actually speaks quite a lot of truth!). Personally, i stick to trend lines, moving averages and support & resistance lines...and i use them to determine when to enter or exit a trade.

2) You can hold on to a view, whether bullish or bearish, but don't "marry" it. It's pretty easy to identify support and resistance lines. So if you believe it's going up, but yet it falls through support zones, you may want to think about getting out first, stepping aside, then deciding when to go long from again later when it has settled. it's no point insisting "It should go up!!" when it's showing you in your face that it's falling.

I'm no pro, i have days when i go "what the hell is happening in the markets??? im losing money again!!". but i've generally found success in the long run trading full time and making consistent returns. these two points have worked for me. good luck pal!
  • #98,727
  • Aug 22, 2016 9:38pm Aug 22, 2016 9:38pm
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} However, I disagreed with the writer's conclusion to discount technicals. We need both, and to be used strategically. KP
  • #98,728
  • Aug 22, 2016 10:39pm Aug 22, 2016 10:39pm
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} However, I disagreed with the writer's conclusion to discount technicals. We need both, and to be used strategically. KP

we need both cant rely purely on one
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,729
  • Aug 23, 2016 4:24am Aug 23, 2016 4:24am
After flat to the point of 0.76494 the trend will move towards the resistance line to the point of 0.76836.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #98,730
  • Aug 23, 2016 7:49am Aug 23, 2016 7:49am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} we need both cant rely purely on one
Hey bro what you doing now with our local currency
  • #98,731
  • Aug 23, 2016 8:09am Aug 23, 2016 8:09am
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} Hey bro what you doing now with our local currency
No trades on atm but could be another short entry at around .76700, like zahhr13 pointed out. But the COT numbers have me spooked haha

Got my eye on the kiwi now for shorts
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,732
  • Aug 23, 2016 8:18am Aug 23, 2016 8:18am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} No trades on atm but could be another short entry at around .76700, like zahhr13 pointed out. But the COT numbers have me spooked haha Got my eye on the kiwi now for shorts
Few scalps on au keeps Centrelink away not a bad tactic . I'm fully unemployed as well and Centrelink won't even accept me .
.7670 easy done will wait .
  • #98,733
  • Aug 24, 2016 3:26am Aug 24, 2016 3:26am
still looks like bearish PA overall to me (particularly the weekly)
A closed daily/weekly break of red TL would be encouraging
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #98,734
  • Aug 24, 2016 3:27am Aug 24, 2016 3:27am
Quoting PowerTrade
{quote} No, I don't trade like that but I came just to share my opinion, and hoping somebody tell me wtf am I doing wrong? Everything points for longs, from fundamentals to general criteria in the forums, but when I look at the charts I'm seeing that long is losing strenght, volume is decreasing, MACD is showing wear, what I see is that long is losing it's fuel rapidly. What do or any of the other people in this forums think? What am I not seeing?
What fundamentals point to longs on AUD/USD?
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #98,735
  • Aug 24, 2016 4:38am Aug 24, 2016 4:38am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} What fundamentals point to longs on AUD/USD?
Good question, but I think the better question is...what fundamentals point to definitive longs on the USD?
  • #98,736
  • Aug 24, 2016 4:46am Aug 24, 2016 4:46am
Quoting ell3
{quote} Good question, but I think the better question is...what fundamentals point to definitive longs on the USD?
I know nothing about definitives' in forex, but with diverging policies on interest rates and green US employment data lately, I would say probabilities are with USD longs against AUD.

I am also watching 19000 area on the DOW for long term bearish signs which, if plays out, will strengthen USD
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #98,737
  • Aug 24, 2016 5:49am Aug 24, 2016 5:49am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} I know nothing about definitives' in forex, but with diverging policies on interest rates and green US employment data lately, I would say probabilities are with USD longs against AUD. I am also watching 19000 area on the DOW for long term bearish signs which, if plays out, will strengthen USD
Hmm, the difference between both sides is that one has some certainty in its actions whereas the other has been wishy-washy for the longest time ever. The market doesn't seem to bother with the uncertainty anymore I feel.
  • #98,738
  • Aug 24, 2016 6:16am Aug 24, 2016 6:16am
Quoting ell3
{quote} Hmm, the difference between both sides is that one has some certainty in its actions whereas the other has been wishy-washy for the longest time ever. The market doesn't seem to bother with the uncertainty anymore I feel.
If you're talking about the certainty of the RBAs' actions in cutting interest rates, I don't see this as a positive for AUD regardless of how you spin it...
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #98,739
  • Aug 24, 2016 6:37am Aug 24, 2016 6:37am
Quoting ell3
{quote} Hmm, the difference between both sides is that one has some certainty in its actions whereas the other has been wishy-washy for the longest time ever. The market doesn't seem to bother with the uncertainty anymore I feel.
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} If you're talking about the certainty of the RBAs' actions in cutting interest rates, I don't see this as a positive for AUD regardless of how you spin it...
Im with commonwealth bank and my interest rate was just cut from 4.6 to 4.47. If banks are passing it on you can guess there will be more cuts to come. A couple of the big banks suggest the cash rate will be cut to 1% . Im not sure it will go that low but who knows. RBNZ are looking at cutting another .35%. So yes something is happening for them to keep cutting and its not a positive sign.

The market is in volatile times and the reason why its volatile because its uncertain.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,740
  • Aug 24, 2016 8:05am Aug 24, 2016 8:05am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} What fundamentals point to longs on AUD/USD?
I read it somewhere, I think that in Forexlive, but I didn't save the post =/
A good strategy for trading is... the opposite of having a bad strategy.
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