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AUD/USD

  • #98,621
  • Aug 17, 2016 5:05am Aug 17, 2016 5:05am
PO long 7641
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #98,622
  • Aug 17, 2016 7:36am Aug 17, 2016 7:36am
Morgan Stanley forecast drop in iron ore price as Chinese winter approaches.


http://www.miningweekly.com/article/...16/rep_id:3650
  • #98,623
  • Aug 17, 2016 7:42am Aug 17, 2016 7:42am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Looked like my chart tp will be around .76000 I've already cut and made some nice profits with a series of mini lots It could now pull up to .76700 but see further falls to sub .76
😊 seeing the same. Closed a few myself for a decent profit and put limit order at .76800.
  • #98,624
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:02am Aug 17, 2016 9:02am
Quoting Gdhall59
{quote} 😊 seeing the same. Closed a few myself for a decent profit and put limit order at .76800.
Inserted Video
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,625
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:06am Aug 17, 2016 9:06am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJ_F...ature=youtu.be
What in the hell is the point of that video, all I see is jumping around a chart for a few seconds?
  • #98,626
  • Aug 17, 2016 11:11am Aug 17, 2016 11:11am
Testing a critical point of convergence - 4hr 100ma also now at 7619.
I really wonder whether this support will hold, given that its already come 100pips down today.
If FOMC minutes ring a dovish tone, AUD may easily shoot back above 7660.
If hawkish, 4hr 200ma should be the next key support 7576, followed by 7570. But again as has been the recent behavior of the markets, gonna be ultra cautious of it reversing completely after that.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #98,627
  • Aug 17, 2016 6:42pm Aug 17, 2016 6:42pm
Quoting Starcraftmaz
{quote} What in the hell is the point of that video, all I see is jumping around a chart for a few seconds?
just something to do was tesing out "screen-cast-o-matic" see how it works.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,628
  • Aug 17, 2016 6:45pm Aug 17, 2016 6:45pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Looked like my chart tp will be around .76000 I've already cut and made some nice profits with a series of mini lots It could now pull up to .76700 but see further falls to sub .76
Now back to .76700
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,629
  • Aug 17, 2016 6:49pm Aug 17, 2016 6:49pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Now back to .76700
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,630
  • Aug 17, 2016 6:54pm Aug 17, 2016 6:54pm
employment numbers due in 1.5 hours
  • #98,631
  • Aug 17, 2016 8:54pm Aug 17, 2016 8:54pm
Too much talk of a bearish AUD got me blind sighted. after the initial spike to 7680, i chose the pain trade to sell in. lost instead 20 pips. was thinking that the huge increase in part-time employment will suggest a rethink in whether or not it's really a good report...and looking for a fade in the second move. oh how wrong i was.
AUD is now firmly back in the bullish trend. looking at it technically, the rejection from the downside was much much sharper than the rejection from the upside.
  • #98,632
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:02pm Aug 17, 2016 9:02pm
Quoting ell3
Too much talk of a bearish AUD got me blind sighted. after the initial spike to 7680, i chose the pain trade to sell in. lost instead 20 pips. was thinking that the huge increase in part-time employment will suggest a rethink in whether or not it's really a good report...and looking for a fade in the second move. oh how wrong i was. AUD is now firmly back in the bullish trend. looking at it technically, the rejection from the downside was much much sharper than the rejection from the upside.
I made almost the same mistake, I lost 22 pips in 4 entries.

I made this stupid mistake even when I was listening to the radio that numbers were too much better than expected.

I hated when I go against the market stupidly

I gotta stop doing that or I'll keep losing pips!!!
A good strategy for trading is... the opposite of having a bad strategy.
  • #98,633
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:10pm Aug 17, 2016 9:10pm
Quoting PowerTrade
{quote} I made almost the same mistake, I lost 22 pips in 4 entries. I made this stupid mistake even when I was listening to the radio that numbers were too much better than expected. I hated when I go against the market stupidly I gotta stop doing that or I'll keep losing pips!!!
yeah i feel you totally. i made quite a good tally this week so far but have been losing in the large numbers in the last 3 trades to cut into my profits. well, take a break and come back fresh and try again friend!
  • #98,634
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:23pm Aug 17, 2016 9:23pm
Finally i closed my position with 90 pips profit on this crasy AUDUSD and i should never ever trade on this pair
This pair dont move realy

GBP is better for me
I can find my position win or loss
in the SHORT time!
  • #98,635
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:32pm Aug 17, 2016 9:32pm
Quoting ell3
{quote} yeah i feel you totally. i made quite a good tally this week so far but have been losing in the large numbers in the last 3 trades to cut into my profits. well, take a break and come back fresh and try again friend!
Yes, the books I've read and the people who's taught me, they've said the same to me, when you screw it up a few times in a row, take a break and think about it, and come back with a better strategy.

I'll do it of course
A good strategy for trading is... the opposite of having a bad strategy.
  • #98,636
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:33pm Aug 17, 2016 9:33pm
Quoting hamidabdiyan
Finally i closed my position with 90 pips profit on this crasy AUDUSD and i should never ever trade on this pair This pair dont move realy GBP is better for me I can find my position win or loss in the SHORT time!
Then you entered way before today news, right?

I think todays rally doesn't make 90 pips.
A good strategy for trading is... the opposite of having a bad strategy.
  • #98,637
  • Aug 17, 2016 9:58pm Aug 17, 2016 9:58pm
Quoting hamidabdiyan
Finally i closed my position with 90 pips profit on this crasy AUDUSD and i should never ever trade on this pair This pair dont move realy GBP is better for me I can find my position win or loss in the SHORT time!
Yes aud is a slow mover but that has its benefits too
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,638
  • Aug 17, 2016 10:14pm Aug 17, 2016 10:14pm
AUD has been an erratic bitch for about a week. Friday's close was below the 4HR uptrend then it seesawed up and down wildly below that, and has now poked back up into the bottom of the uptrend channel on employment numbers. I agree with ell3 that these numbers don't look so good on close inspection. with 45,000 full time jobs lost, compensated for by 71,00 part time jobs created. To me the positive reaction seems over done. A loss of 45,000 full time jobs is a big negative. I'm thinking that by the end of the day the price bar back up into the uptrend channel may just be a temporary spike. Just an attempt to regain the trend it was knocked out of. I've shorted at 71.01
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  • #98,639
  • Aug 17, 2016 11:45pm Aug 17, 2016 11:45pm
Quoting Blackopal
AUD has been an erratic bitch for about a week. Friday's close was below the 4HR uptrend then it seesawed up and down wildly below that, and has now poked back up into the bottom of the uptrend channel on employment numbers. I agree with ell3 that these numbers don't look so good on close inspection. with 45,000 full time jobs lost, compensated for by 71,00 part time jobs created. To me the positive reaction seems over done. A loss of 45,000 full time jobs is a big negative. I'm thinking that by the end of the day the price bar back up into the...
You mean .77100 right?

Good entry.. I missed it
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,640
  • Aug 18, 2016 12:29am Aug 18, 2016 12:29am
This is going one way. UP. London open again.
Not sure why youd short here. i get it its in supply zone but so what? Its buy buy buy on every factor possible. Just waiting on better price and confirmations then boom. Should get a great trade soon 5:1 or more especially if you compound it. Good luck all.
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