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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #24,961
  • Edited 8:43am Aug 15, 2016 8:21am | Edited 8:43am
CL (WTI Crude Light) still going up. $45.00 now.

50 points locked in.
FLAT +50 trailer
T1 +11 1 lot
45.55 Last Month POC and Close July 20.
Only 15 points to go.

Lifting oil, lifts the US markets as well.
Oil is only lifting on the hope that Oli producers will reach an agreement.
Russia/Arabia/venezuela need money urgently. Agreement will never happen
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CL 09-16 (30 Min) 15-8-2016.jpg Size: 142 KB
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  • #24,962
  • Edited 8:55am Aug 15, 2016 8:45am | Edited 8:55am
For Shorts in the DAx we need to cross the 10.700 first.
To many support levels there.

ES (S&P) makes new rec Higs.

Was to busy with oli trade. Missed the up move US markets.

DAX still in the middle of it's OR (Opening Range)
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  • #24,963
  • Edited 9:58am Aug 15, 2016 9:28am | Edited 9:58am
Re entry on pull back Oil.
T1 +11 p 1 Lot
1 lot trailing
40 points locked in trailer

CL needs to break out its OR @ 45.44
Then we could reach the Monthly POC @ 45.57
There is the M POC

GAP to close @ 45.73

Still pushing up the US markets.
Attached Image
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  • #24,964
  • Edited 10:29am Aug 15, 2016 9:57am | Edited 10:29am
DAX short @ 10.739, but still inside OR and above the 710 levels.
1 Lot only. Scalping
SL 745 (+/- 50% middle OR)
FLAT BE. No PA

ES can't break out its OR @ 2189.50 so far. It tries but on rec High.

Markets expect more Japanese helicopter money and delaying of the US rate hike to the end of the year instead of September after disapointing numbers last week.
Oil recovery helped as well to push up the US markets.

EUREX Closed
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  • #24,965
  • Aug 16, 2016 1:40am Aug 16, 2016 1:40am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX short @ 10.739, but still inside OR and above the 710 levels. 1 Lot only. Scalping SL 745 (+/- 50% middle OR) FLAT BE. No PA ES can't break out its OR @ 2189.50 so far. It tries but on rec High. Markets expect more Japanese helicopter money and delaying of the US rate hike to the end of the year instead of September after disapointing numbers last week. Oil recovery helped as well to push up the US markets. EUREX Closed
looks like that was a good short entry at 10739👍

Are you short or bullish on oil now? Any open positions now? Oil is close to expiration this month. This Friday I believe is expirations
  • #24,966
  • Edited 2:21am Aug 16, 2016 2:00am | Edited 2:21am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} looks like that was a good short entry at 10739�� Are you short or bullish on oil now? Any open positions now? Oil is close to expiration this month. This Friday I believe is expirations
I'm short Over Night from 10.740. DAX closed below all my MA lines, which means we changed direction.
DAX expieration september 16.
Tomorrow FOMC. 7/8 of the 10 times the markets pull back (or stall here) ahead of FOMC. Lets see now.

CL bullish Almost $46,00
Roll over in 2 days indeed.
We reached 2 important POC zones. Weekly and Monthly as mentioned Y. 45..55 and 45.80
Now see where it will go to.

Don't forget: This oil pop is only based on the HOPE that there will be a prodution reduce agreement.
Do you see that happen? I'm not a believer in that .
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #24,967
  • Edited 2:40am Aug 16, 2016 2:03am | Edited 2:40am
DAX down target
Tues/Wed lows @ 10.630

Lot of last week Weekly single TPO blocks to cover below that 630.

As you can see we opened lower and there are single TPO blocks from 700/710.
We could pop to cover them/fill that Gap and take a dive again.
Attached Image
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  • #24,968
  • Aug 16, 2016 2:22am Aug 16, 2016 2:22am
DAX almost on the 630 (edge where the single TPO blocks start)
50 is a hesitation zone as well.
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  • #24,969
  • Edited 2:49am Aug 16, 2016 2:29am | Edited 2:49am
Oil buying the dips.

T1 +11 1 lot
1 lot trailing

Need to cross the $46.00
Attached Images
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  • #24,970
  • Aug 16, 2016 2:35am Aug 16, 2016 2:35am
DAX hestitates on the 50 zone to decide to go up to the 700 zone, or dive to cover the single blocks below 730
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  • #24,971
  • Aug 16, 2016 2:49am Aug 16, 2016 2:49am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
Oil buying the dips. T1 +11 1 lot 1 lot trailing Need to cross the $46.00 {image} {image}
FLAT Trailer +16
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  • #24,972
  • Aug 16, 2016 2:58am Aug 16, 2016 2:58am
Dutchy Daxy,

Any view on ES?
  • #24,973
  • Edited 3:23am Aug 16, 2016 3:02am | Edited 3:23am
DAX OR 10.641/688.
47 points small range again. Summer trading.

Singles below are calling, but ES could be on a jumping up point here. 2180 is a support zone in ES

ZEW in 45 minutes. Expected higher. Probably waiting for that.

Took +5 p only on 2 lot. Don't trust it here because of higher ZEW expectation.
SL 650

FLAT Trailer -/+ BE
Attached Image
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  • #24,974
  • Edited 3:52am Aug 16, 2016 3:21am | Edited 3:52am
No expectations for the S&P (ES)
I never forecast the markets. Nobody can. I just try to find/detect the levels where the market could go to!

All depends on FOMC tomorrow.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES 09-16 (30 Min) 16-8-2016.jpg Size: 116 KB
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  • #24,975
  • Aug 16, 2016 3:28am Aug 16, 2016 3:28am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
Oil buying the dips. T1 +11 1 lot 1 lot trailing Need to cross the $46.00 {image} {image}
CL (oil) on $46,00 now.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #24,976
  • Edited 4:27am Aug 16, 2016 4:03am | Edited 4:27am
Rejection of the OR floor. Back to 50% middle OR

T1 +11
1 Lot trailing
40 points locked in
50 points locked in
60 points locked in. FLAT Trailer +60 points


Possible up target 705/710
Outside OR

715 Last week WEEKLY POC
Y GAP to close @ 747
Now waiting for more buyers to lift it to the Y Close @ 747


ZEW lower then forecast, but higher then last number

Now we slowly transit to US markets.
ES & YM & CL (S&P /DOW/Oil) still bullish
Attached Image
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  • #24,977
  • Aug 16, 2016 5:07am Aug 16, 2016 5:07am
Thanks Dutchy for all the tpos

dax long target for me 11300..
practising coitus interruptus
  • #24,978
  • Aug 16, 2016 5:19am Aug 16, 2016 5:19am
Quoting avibe
Thanks Dutchy for all the tpos dax long target for me 11300..
I don't think that far yet.
We first need to cross the 2015 TPO mountain (Mount Everest ) from 10.750 to 11.050.
We are in camp 2 now at 800. (700 was the first camp)

When we can cross the 11.050, the next TPO tops are 11300 and 11.500, but a lot of things can happen on the way up.
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  • #24,979
  • Aug 16, 2016 6:50am Aug 16, 2016 6:50am
ES (S&P) has 2 GAPS to close. Mondays 2186 and Fridays @ 2180.
Right in the middle of these 2 closes now.

Since the DAX has become (a little) bearish, I think we could close the lower GAP first.
Yet, ES is still bullish.
No prediction. Just a feeling/speculation which is worth nothing.

Same for YM (DOW)

Gold popped the last few days $15,00. Money floating from stocks to Gold?
Attached Image
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  • #24,980
  • Edited 7:50am Aug 16, 2016 6:55am | Edited 7:50am
Post lunch trade.
DAX on floor OR now (640). Lets see.......
Flat +2 Bounced of the OR floor

Flat ES 1 point 1 lot ($50,00)
Just a scalp

Oli stilll very strong. May hold the US markets high.
Tomorrow FOMC. Often a pull back/drop ahead of the FOMC. We know tomorrow.

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