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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #60,801
  • Aug 3, 2016 9:35am Aug 3, 2016 9:35am
Quoting PatienceFx
i had no intentions to design an underwear, macd did that {image}
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #60,802
  • Aug 3, 2016 8:44pm Aug 3, 2016 8:44pm
90% chance that uj will retrace with 101 as support, lets see

h1 50 sma will decide
do not follow me 99.9999999% of times, rest you can lol
  • #60,803
  • Aug 3, 2016 9:00pm Aug 3, 2016 9:00pm
Quoting PatienceFx
90% chance that uj will retrace with 101 as support, lets see h1 50 sma will decide
I'm watching this myself, although I'd like to see price get closer to 100 before playing a bounce. We'll see soon enough though
  • #60,804
  • Aug 3, 2016 9:37pm Aug 3, 2016 9:37pm
so far every hit has been a death blow, 101.49 decision level

Attached Image
do not follow me 99.9999999% of times, rest you can lol
  • #60,805
  • Aug 3, 2016 10:25pm Aug 3, 2016 10:25pm
The price has broken the Asian high. Expect further retracement up.
Intraday only.
  • #60,806
  • Aug 3, 2016 10:28pm Aug 3, 2016 10:28pm
Quoting PatienceFx
so far every hit has been a death blow, 101.49 decision level {image}
going long 101.40 now its a go
do not follow me 99.9999999% of times, rest you can lol
  • #60,807
  • Edited 2:36am Aug 4, 2016 12:30am | Edited 2:36am
I put a buy stop order at 102

Edit: the orders will be cancelled at 11:50 am (italian time) if not triggered
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  • #60,808
  • Aug 4, 2016 7:08am Aug 4, 2016 7:08am
i thought and thought and thought

100.75 is a line in the sand for 3 months now

might have gone below it for some time but retraced very fast for big moves

so i really wish to see how it reacts this time
do not follow me 99.9999999% of times, rest you can lol
  • #60,809
  • Aug 4, 2016 7:21am Aug 4, 2016 7:21am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ 4 hour.png Size: 72 KB
  • #60,810
  • Edited 7:57am Aug 4, 2016 7:36am | Edited 7:57am
dependant on data tomorrow
100.8x and 7x last before 100.4x before LL, waiting on GU, NU 0,7280 AU 0.768 ish, don't have laptop for numbers but thats what i can remember, ill check and post charts when fixed
  • #60,811
  • Aug 4, 2016 3:13pm Aug 4, 2016 3:13pm
  •  akatz
  • | Joined Apr 2015 | Status: stimulating the global economy | 10 Posts
Well, when I look at the charts, I see a long-term (months) downtrend, and I think this is all that matters, in my opinion. Perhaps not the case for those of you trading shorter timeframes though.

Like old man Partridge in Reminiscences of a Stock Operator...
  • #60,812
  • Aug 4, 2016 11:15pm Aug 4, 2016 11:15pm
Quoting akatz
Well, when I look at the charts, I see a long-term (months) downtrend, and I think this is all that matters, in my opinion. Perhaps not the case for those of you trading shorter timeframes though. Like old man Partridge in Reminiscences of a Stock Operator...
The Japanese have returned to generating electricity from their nuclear facilities. This has returned their economy to being a nett exporter.

Whatever happens, the long term trend is for a stronger Yen. Evidence to the contrary will appear in the monthly balance of trade figures.

Perhaps they should join the Euro.....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #60,813
  • Aug 4, 2016 11:17pm Aug 4, 2016 11:17pm
Quoting Devart
I put a buy stop order at 102 Edit: the orders will be cancelled at 11:50 am (italian time) if not triggered {image} {image}
how in God's name are you able to trade like that with your chart so cluttered up with Junk?
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  • #60,814
  • Aug 4, 2016 11:43pm Aug 4, 2016 11:43pm
101 is being defended.
Won't go below for now. might consider good longs here
  • #60,815
  • Aug 5, 2016 1:20am Aug 5, 2016 1:20am
not going to comment on that shape price made

Attached Image
do not follow me 99.9999999% of times, rest you can lol
  • #60,816
  • Aug 5, 2016 3:10am Aug 5, 2016 3:10am
It's still trying to break below 101.00 but I guess we'll have to wait until the NFP to see whether it will succeed.
  • #60,817
  • Aug 5, 2016 4:42am Aug 5, 2016 4:42am
The word from Bloomberg (and others) regarding this morning's NFP numbers:

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A screenshot of the USDJPY last night (1H):
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Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-08-05 - NFP - USDJPY - Chart 1 - Thursday night, 11 pm - a tight range.png Size: 45 KB


A screenshot from just before 7 am (NY time):
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Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-08-05 - NFP - USDJPY - Chart 2 - Friday morning, 658 am - a tight range.png Size: 47 KB
HELL IS EMPTY, ALL THE DEVILS ARE HERE. -- Shakespeare
  • #60,818
  • Aug 5, 2016 5:10am Aug 5, 2016 5:10am
A REMINDER: The last two months' predictions were way off (graphic from Zero Hedge):

Attached Image


Source: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...aking-bets-nfp
HELL IS EMPTY, ALL THE DEVILS ARE HERE. -- Shakespeare
  • #60,819
  • Aug 5, 2016 5:43am Aug 5, 2016 5:43am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} The Japanese have returned to generating electricity from their nuclear facilities. This has returned their economy to being a nett exporter. Whatever happens, the long term trend is for a stronger Yen. Evidence to the contrary will appear in the monthly balance of trade figures. Perhaps they should join the Euro.....
Nuke power is very secondary to their massive debt to gdp ratio. They will still be stuck in their 2 decade old stagnation unless they do something this.
  • #60,820
  • Aug 5, 2016 5:49am Aug 5, 2016 5:49am
N.B. The third column of numbers represents the actual announced figures:

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HELL IS EMPTY, ALL THE DEVILS ARE HERE. -- Shakespeare
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