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  • #1,072,781
  • Jul 28, 2016 1:52am Jul 28, 2016 1:52am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} Looks like EUR/USD wants to test that 50% Fibonacci retracement @ 1.1170. I'm that it does, opened my long @ 1.1035 .
Well, good luck to you, Jon!

But I'd be cautious:
1. Other pairs doesn't budge any higher aginst the USD;
2. Up to 1.1170 there is a strong 1.1147 Mothly_Pivot (maybe better as a target);
3. 1.1100 can resist longer than you would like;

Edit: I'd rather see it bearish now
......but don't listen to me. use your guts, skill and feeling
Member
  • #1,072,782
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:10am Jul 28, 2016 2:10am
Quoting Devart
Hi guys I have placed another buy order, aggressive. On 4 hours TF the OBV indicates bull (very weak). We are in a bull gartley pattern and we have broken the upside of 2 lateral channels (4 hours) and (1 hour) {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
As I said few days ago, the gartley bull is started.
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  • #1,072,783
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:16am Jul 28, 2016 2:16am
Quoting Devart
{quote} As I said few days ago, the gartley bull is started. {image}
Hi, Dev! Cool gartley pattern!
What do you think, if Fed's weren't perceived as dovish(instead hawkish as expected, that's right, supriseee!)
the gartley bull pattern could have been working still as valid?
Member
  • #1,072,784
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:20am Jul 28, 2016 2:20am
Quoting TudorIoan
yupieeee, flying high, resistance at 1.1095 Daily_R1 already hit ...1.1100 obssesive round-up number coming up next
And 1.1100 hit! Heading 1.1147-50 ...this time AUD/USD plays along
Member
  • #1,072,785
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:24am Jul 28, 2016 2:24am
The EUR/USD is trading higher after the FED decided to leave the rates unchanged. The pair went from 1.0961 to a current market price of 1.1109. First resistance is seen at 1.1140, while first support is found at 1.1020.
  • #1,072,786
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:36am Jul 28, 2016 2:36am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Hi, Dev! Cool gartley pattern! What do you think, if Fed's weren't perceived as dovish(instead hawkish as expected, that's right, supriseee!) the gartley bull pattern could have been working still as valid?
Wait wait.
My view was simple. My general idea is that the long term trend is bear.
About medium short term, considering that FED was not intentioned to start an "aggressive policy" and seeing that we were in a area so rich of very strong supports ecc ecc I inserted the famous buy order.
If fed was perceived in the opposite way I dunno lol. I suppose that my SL had been hitten eheh for sure. Secondly considering the supports mmm, the down trend would had taken some time to start.
I am closing the last positions in few mins by now.
I am a intraday traders, on long term I have not a sooo deep knowledge of macroeconomics etc.
However looking at weekly TF, I see that we are in a triangle and above us from 1.1200-1.1300 there many many resistences and some very important fibonacci retracement (violet is for bull trend, choco for bear trend).
Maybe the cross could move until 1.12 but right where we are now there are to resisteances originated by the gartley of my chart plus some fibonacci.
For now I am out, I do not know if it will go down or up.
I suppose the 1.12XX could be tested.
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  • #1,072,787
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:38am Jul 28, 2016 2:38am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} And 1.1100 hit! Heading 1.1147-50 ...this time AUD/USD plays along
good call. Don't trust AUD though...
Quoting Not-KPMG
Thank you. Great help. Keep it up I'll take the opposite position. 1.1040 first target. 1.1080 1130 next.
1.1130 to 1145 for me. But I need correction i think now they are jerking up to shake some bears only. I'm buying more if it goes 1070
Some 200MA around price now, beware.
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,072,788
  • Edited 2:57am Jul 28, 2016 2:39am | Edited 2:57am
  •  jmmn
  • | Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Learning while making money... | 647 Posts
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} Looks like EUR/USD wants to test that 50% Fibonacci retracement @ 1.1170. I'm that it does, opened my long @ 1.1035 .
Hi, I do not think that eurusd will go up more than 1,1154 (200 ema) or 1,1164 (strong R).

I mean today.

All the best. Jos
  • #1,072,789
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:45am Jul 28, 2016 2:45am
Quoting Devart
{quote} Wait wait. My view was simple. My general idea is that the long term trend is bear. About medium short term, considering that FED was not intentioned to start an "aggressive policy" and seeing that we were in a area so rich of very strong supports ecc ecc I inserted the famous buy order. If fed was perceived in the opposite way I dunno lol. I suppose that my SL had been hitten eheh for sure. Secondly considering the supports mmm, the down trend would had taken some time to start. I am closing the last positions in few mins by now. I am a...
Yep. On long term the trend looks bearish.
And the boost now I see it as a speculative bubble ...pale signals on other USD pairs
Is possible that bubble to be deflated soon
...I wouldn't count on the bulls to much from now on
...will see
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} good call. Don't trust AUD though... {quote}
Thnx, but I think bulls running out of steam now, I wouldn't count on them for long now...will see
Member
  • #1,072,790
  • Jul 28, 2016 2:51am Jul 28, 2016 2:51am
everything is possible ...

we can have a new channel after the RED one is invalid
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"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #1,072,791
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:27am Jul 28, 2016 3:27am
Quoting jmmn
{quote} Hi, I do not think that eurusd will go up more than 1,1154 (200 ema) or 1,1164 (strong R). I mean today. All the best. Jos
I have the same vieuw.

More shorts to come.

I still don't believe in long euro,every time i buy i lose money.Not home yesterday during FOMC.

Shorts for me.
  • #1,072,792
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:40am Jul 28, 2016 3:40am
1150-1180 should be good for short....just opinion!
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  • #1,072,793
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:50am Jul 28, 2016 3:50am
Quoting Beli
1150-1180 should be good for short....just opinion! {image}
Got a sell limit at 1.1147 Mothly_Pivot as a resistance. Seem good for a short to me
...but, oh, no! ...I'm not sure anymore, ...can't focus on anything else than your Belgrade girls
Member
  • #1,072,794
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:51am Jul 28, 2016 3:51am
I expect more shorts... price now reacting around this lvl ... we will see if it will works
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"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #1,072,795
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:55am Jul 28, 2016 3:55am
Quoting Malchi
I expect more shorts... price now reacting around this lvl ... we will see if it will works {image}
Pretty nice channel. Nice view on H4, thnx for sharing. Noted
...edit: the upper line, not bad for a short!
Member
  • #1,072,796
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:57am Jul 28, 2016 3:57am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Pretty nice channel. Nice view on H4, thnx for sharing. Noted ...edit: not bad for a short!
y. but everything is confusing ... D1 is like short channel with PRICE GOING up ....after FOMC strong bullish move and trend day after that... h4 bearish too ... but we will see...
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #1,072,797
  • Jul 28, 2016 3:59am Jul 28, 2016 3:59am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Pretty nice channel. Nice view on H4, thnx for sharing. Noted ...edit: the upper line, not bad for a short!
can it be like flag ? + - ? ... xD
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #1,072,798
  • Jul 28, 2016 4:01am Jul 28, 2016 4:01am
m1 triangle.

edit: 30 minutes 2x inside candle.
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"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #1,072,799
  • Edited 4:45am Jul 28, 2016 4:24am | Edited 4:45am
Quoting Malchi
m1 triangle. edit: 30 minutes 2x inside candle. {image}
Yep, got clear pennons on small TF.
=> E/U possible on halt around 1.1100 until Claims

edit: ...or as I mentioned above, the speculative bubble on a dovish Fed starts to deflate now
(even though pennons are usualy a continuation pattern)
Member
  • #1,072,800
  • Jul 28, 2016 4:51am Jul 28, 2016 4:51am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Yep, got clear pennons on small TF. => E/U possible on halt around 1.1100 until Claims edit: ...or as I mentioned above, the speculative bubble on a dovish Fed starts to deflate now (even though pennons are usualy a continuation pattern)

I am kind of with the bubble theory!
I still need a trading break soon!!! "Loose some to win more" --Baher A.
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