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USD/RUB

  • #721
  • Jun 30, 2016 5:11am Jun 30, 2016 5:11am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} I am not sure I manage to get filled this week. I see the strong resistance also at 64.80 level ( MA 100 4H ) and fib 50 the brexit leg + structure. So will watch that area too. {image}
One level to initiate a part of a short position is around here, specifically at 64.46 followed by 64.85 if we see it
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #722
  • Jun 30, 2016 5:15am Jun 30, 2016 5:15am
Quoting manosk
{quote} One level to initiate a part of a short position is around here, specifically at 64.46 followed by 64.85 if we see it
I try to wait. Look the USD Index. ( And crude oil that bounced of 50 level )
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  • #723
  • Jul 2, 2016 2:37pm Jul 2, 2016 2:37pm
Weekly

D.P.
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Hunting High and Low
  • #724
  • Jul 5, 2016 5:30am Jul 5, 2016 5:30am
Quoting manosk
{quote} One level to initiate a part of a short position is around here, specifically at 64.46 followed by 64.85 if we see it
Should have gone in earlier as you did. Has taken a short now at 64.25 . with 1/3 off my full position. Will average down and hope non farm can spike up.
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  • #725
  • Jul 5, 2016 8:12am Jul 5, 2016 8:12am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Should have gone in earlier as you did. Has taken a short now at 64.25 . with 1/3 off my full position. Will average down and hope non farm can spike up.
Great minds think alike . I wanted to write that I added 1/3 now at 64.58 and I saw your post. Strong resistance above on the hourly chart, hopefully oil will stop falling. It has already fallen to 46.60 so I dont expect oil to fall much further. Let's see how it plays out
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #726
  • Jul 7, 2016 6:57am Jul 7, 2016 6:57am
Quoting manosk
{quote} Great minds think alike . I wanted to write that I added 1/3 now at 64.58 and I saw your post. Strong resistance above on the hourly chart, hopefully oil will stop falling. It has already fallen to 46.60 so I dont expect oil to fall much further. Let's see how it plays out


D.P.
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Hunting High and Low
  • #727
  • Edited 3:29am Jul 8, 2016 1:57am | Edited 3:29am
Quoting manosk
{quote} Great minds think alike . I wanted to write that I added 1/3 now at 64.58 and I saw your post. Strong resistance above on the hourly chart, hopefully oil will stop falling. It has already fallen to 46.60 so I dont expect oil to fall much further. Let's see how it plays out
Was taking out my position now in small profit. It was not the best entry I got. Try to get in again on spikes up. Oil dropping but Rubel showing strength. Also USD is showing strength . So for now on the sideline. Possible death x on 4H for oil. So if oil dont head north quickly we will have a death X. ( The golden X on 4H tf we had in the end of february this year)
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  • #728
  • Jul 8, 2016 2:04pm Jul 8, 2016 2:04pm
according to predictions of analytiks oil reserves had to go down to 2.5 million, but it reduced to 6,7 million yesterday.. yesterday rub falled..from 63,8 to 64,6 in three hours...and I was at work at this time....
  • #729
  • Jul 13, 2016 4:52am Jul 13, 2016 4:52am
Short update on the USD/RUB short trade: In both the daily and weekly time frame the trade looks good. There is the level of 63.39 that needs to be broken but considering the weakness of oil at the moment it is difficult to expect USD/RUB to forcefully go through it. In the meantime we are making good overnight money. The longer term good news is that once oil resumes the uptrend we will see USD/RUB below 60. Patience and low leverage is the key
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #730
  • Jul 13, 2016 8:21am Jul 13, 2016 8:21am
@manosk
Just curious how many pips does your platform pay you daily. Mine gives 1.6pip per day. or at current rate of 64, $2.45. Of course they charge $4.01 for long.
  • #731
  • Jul 13, 2016 8:35am Jul 13, 2016 8:35am
Quoting lsg168
@manosk Just curious how many pips does your platform pay you daily. Mine gives 1.6pip per day. or at current rate of 64, $2.45. Of course they charge $4.01 for long.
1.45 pips, I get paid 22.6 USD per standard lot. You have better rates than me
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #732
  • Jul 13, 2016 8:35am Jul 13, 2016 8:35am
USD/RUB trapped between 63.5-64.5 roughly.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #733
  • Jul 14, 2016 6:36am Jul 14, 2016 6:36am
we might get a slight bounce now at 63, but not to worry. The downmove is intact
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #734
  • Jul 14, 2016 8:41am Jul 14, 2016 8:41am
Any reason for the 62.8 area move right now? Oil did not go up that much today.

RUB is heading towards the "fair market" value now?
  • #735
  • Jul 14, 2016 1:39pm Jul 14, 2016 1:39pm
it jumped down rather good today, I didn't expected it. It seems that it's the good moment to sell rub...I think the line will rise in a few days
  • #736
  • Jul 21, 2016 7:07am Jul 21, 2016 7:07am
I added 25% to my position at 64. The downmove is still intact
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #737
  • Jul 21, 2016 7:12am Jul 21, 2016 7:12am
Quoting BaskurtAi
it jumped down rather good today, I didn't expected it. It seems that it's the good moment to sell rub...I think the line will rise in a few days
Good call, if I understood correctly that you wanted to buy USD/RUB after the drop to 62.8, although I didnt see anything in my charts that would have justified closing the short in USD/RUB. By the way, my monthly chart is about to give a sell signal, something we havent seen since 2013 when the USD started rising against the RUB getting away from the 32-35 range.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #738
  • Jul 25, 2016 1:30am Jul 25, 2016 1:30am
Started to scale in/ average down to positions again. only in with 1/3 . Oil is in strong sell on all tf technical and US Index strong. So saving bullets to higher levels. Waiting for turn on minimum 4H tf to add more positions.
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  • #739
  • Jul 26, 2016 12:05am Jul 26, 2016 12:05am
Actually the USD Index and USD/RUB do not have any strong correlation long term. It is Oil that prevail.


Correlation table here:
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  • #740
  • Jul 26, 2016 1:28am Jul 26, 2016 1:28am
And here is support. So lets see. Hold or break. Has added a sell limit for additional position at USDRUB just above 66. If we get a clear break I will consider hedge my open positions in USD RUB with shorts Oil. Actually get positive swap from shorts oil too
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