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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #60,601
  • Jul 11, 2016 8:23pm Jul 11, 2016 8:23pm
Quoting Geppy
This just in and why I think something big could be brewing: {image} source: http://news.forexlive.com/!/japan-pm...today-20160712 There is nothing these two would be discussing except for some crazy ass bazooka type stimulus. Whether it happens or not is anyone's guess, but if it does...
When Big Ben Bernanke is in town, you know things are going down!

Abe asking the godfather of QE for advice before unleashing stimulus on an expectant market is actually hilarious. What could possibly go wrong here?

USD/JPY longs, you've been warned.
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  • #60,602
  • Jul 11, 2016 8:31pm Jul 11, 2016 8:31pm
The USDJPY breaks above the 103.00 level, lets see if it reaches the 104.00 level or if it gets to the 100.00 level.
  • #60,603
  • Jul 11, 2016 9:14pm Jul 11, 2016 9:14pm
Quoting Ecb
{quote} When Big Ben Bernanke is in town, you know things are going down! Abe asking the godfather of QE for advice before unleashing stimulus on an expectant market is actually hilarious. What could possibly go wrong here? USD/JPY longs, you've been warned.
Buy the rumor, sell the fact man. Pretty damn simple.
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  • #60,604
  • Jul 12, 2016 1:18am Jul 12, 2016 1:18am
I insert a buy stop order just beyond the 61.8% FR with
EL: 103.951
TP: 105.102
SL: 103.75

Looking at the graph there are not strong resistence between 103.80 and about 105.00
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  • #60,605
  • Jul 12, 2016 2:17am Jul 12, 2016 2:17am
Uj & EJ will retrace most if not all of the "Brexit" drop.
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Without having an understanding of down, you can never appreciate up.
  • #60,606
  • Jul 12, 2016 2:51am Jul 12, 2016 2:51am
If JPY pushes lower more I think we will see a massive short squeeze which can lift the USD/JPY toward 105-107 easily...
There's no harm in being smtm wrong especially if one is promptly found out
  • #60,607
  • Jul 12, 2016 3:00am Jul 12, 2016 3:00am
bull movement to around 106 ​


confirm break at H1 Previous High ,D1 MA21
  • #60,608
  • Jul 12, 2016 3:11am Jul 12, 2016 3:11am
Quoting salifx
If JPY pushes lower more I think we will see a massive short squeeze which can lift the USD/JPY toward 105-107 easily...
I still have quite a few positions on this YEN. I had bought more this morning. Wish I bought a lot more. This is one of my positions I bought at this morning.
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  • #60,609
  • Jul 12, 2016 5:25am Jul 12, 2016 5:25am
Having cleared short-term imp resistance-confluence, the USDJPY seems all set to witness 104.80-85.
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  • #60,610
  • Jul 12, 2016 5:27am Jul 12, 2016 5:27am
short 103.90, stops above 104, looking for sub 102
  • #60,611
  • Jul 12, 2016 6:40am Jul 12, 2016 6:40am
Quoting Devart
I insert a buy stop order just beyond the 61.8% FR with EL: 103.951 TP: 105.102 SL: 103.75 Looking at the graph there are not strong resistence between 103.80 and about 105.00 {image} {image}
Looks like you were right, nearly put this trade on , just starting with limited funds, so caution made me monitor it .. well done..
  • #60,612
  • Jul 12, 2016 7:07am Jul 12, 2016 7:07am
Quoting pgburty
{quote} Looks like you were right, nearly put this trade on , just starting with limited funds, so caution made me monitor it .. well done..
Thank you.
For now I insert the SL a little bit up the Entry Level so I should be covered by strong bear movement.
Hwv looking at the graph I have seen the the possible TP could be the 107.00 (more or less) because here there is the upside of white channel, the 100% retracement of the fall of 23.06.2016 and the 61.8 % retracement of the movement started 30.05.2016.

Let see it
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  • #60,613
  • Jul 12, 2016 9:55am Jul 12, 2016 9:55am
105 is the level we should watch more seriously...
There's no harm in being smtm wrong especially if one is promptly found out
  • #60,614
  • Jul 12, 2016 10:32am Jul 12, 2016 10:32am
Quoting salifx
105 is the level we should watch more seriously...
It seems BOJ is in the pit maybe 105 will be like butter.
  • #60,615
  • Jul 12, 2016 11:02am Jul 12, 2016 11:02am
Selling 1 now for TP @ 103.82 no stops with 1 order to sell @ 105.3 with same TP @ 103.82.
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  • #60,616
  • Jul 12, 2016 11:07am Jul 12, 2016 11:07am
For me begin speculation on the downside, I see usd/jpy at 95.00 for the 27/07 and then on up to 110.00. What do you think?
  • #60,617
  • Jul 12, 2016 11:18am Jul 12, 2016 11:18am
Quoting MBTrading74
For me begin speculation on the downside, I see usd/jpy at 95.00 for the 27/07 and then on up to 110.00. What do you think?
BOJ is in the pit. Don't think on that (95 for the 27/07)
  • #60,618
  • Jul 12, 2016 2:28pm Jul 12, 2016 2:28pm
Quoting Exodus
{quote} Correct. Just because it is declared does not mean it will happen any time soon. The last time I was watching the intervention, UJ moved about 500 pips during the American session when Japan were all in bed. Talk is cheap, assume nothing.
Well.....

Looks as though we more-or-less had 450 pips movement, but at a slightly more leisurely pace.
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  • #60,619
  • Jul 12, 2016 8:55pm Jul 12, 2016 8:55pm
Via ForexLive: "Japan spokesman says its not true that govt is considering helicopter money."

USD/JPY off its highs but starting to rebound now.

Are you looking to short into this strength?
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  • #60,620
  • Jul 12, 2016 10:08pm Jul 12, 2016 10:08pm
Quoting Vantage FX
Via ForexLive: "Japan spokesman says its not true that govt is considering helicopter money." USD/JPY off its highs but starting to rebound now. Are you looking to short into this strength? {image}
yes..always sell usdjpy...my target 95
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