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  • #1,071,701
  • Jul 8, 2016 1:01am Jul 8, 2016 1:01am
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Euro had tried to go on best point for short yesterday, but it couldn't. I think that maximum what we got yesterday will resistance today and now price should go to down. Balance is short
  • #1,071,702
  • Jul 8, 2016 1:12am Jul 8, 2016 1:12am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Early Hours View 50 points range is maybe too much until NFP... resistance: 1.1091WP; 1.1094DR1; 1.1100 as round up; (1.10837 daily-mid as an indecision moment, always in the way) support: 1.1073DP; 1.1052W-mid; 1.1039DS1; - there are 2 obvious TLs + the regression parallel TL, watch them for some S/R levels; - 1.1091 - 1.1100 selling opportunity zone ...if we expect a range until the payrolls; Green to all! {image}
No point trading it ahead of NFP , which I think will cause spike up ......or not .
Entry after NFP for EUR pairs .
GBP/YEN is another story , we might be given an oportunity to short it in an hour or two .
Same for GBP/NZD
  • #1,071,703
  • Edited 1:33am Jul 8, 2016 1:14am | Edited 1:33am
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} No point trading it ahead of NFP , which I think will cause spike up ......or not . Entry after NFP for EUR pairs . GBP/YEN is another story , we might be given an oportunity to short it in an hour or two . Same for GBP/NZD
Maybe you're right about EU ...but I hope to get some points until NFP cose it's really wanna come down ...or maybe not
Thank you for the GBP/JPY, or GBP/NZD ideas

Quoting Aleksbuk
{image} Euro had tried to go on best point for short yesterday, but it couldn't. I think that maximum what we got yesterday will resistance today and now price should go to down. Balance is short
Yep, is pretty down.
I hope you're aware that's good only until NFP
There is a visible TL above pushing down also with the Weekly_Pivot, Daily_R1, and round up 1.11.
Already sold 1.1083 after an hourly Doji, aiming support zone
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Member
  • #1,071,704
  • Jul 8, 2016 1:28am Jul 8, 2016 1:28am
Hello everybody,
Just decided to enter a short on H1
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If it can happen and it is bad for you, then it will happen...
  • #1,071,705
  • Jul 8, 2016 1:50am Jul 8, 2016 1:50am
Fundie data gives hope for more bearish today:

- unexpected solid data from the US economy like very strong ISM, and decent ADP yesterday;
- a pullback in US equities is negative for the EURUSD as well

NFP expected at 180K (source:bblg)
...if more even brings hike on the table once again?
Member
  • #1,071,706
  • Jul 8, 2016 2:32am Jul 8, 2016 2:32am
The EUR/USD is trading relatively unchanged since yesterday's session. Today we have the NFP and Jobs report in less than 5 hours. The most important news for the month are bound to stir the calm market today.
  • #1,071,707
  • Jul 8, 2016 2:37am Jul 8, 2016 2:37am
...yea,yea, Stocks up now for an hour ...E/U fails to drop for now
Member
  • #1,071,708
  • Jul 8, 2016 2:43am Jul 8, 2016 2:43am
Quoting TudorIoan
Fundie data gives hope for more bearish today: - unexpected solid data from the US economy like very strong ISM, and decent ADP yesterday; - a pullback in US equities is negative for the EURUSD as well NFP expected at 180K (source:bblg) ...if more even brings hike on the table once again?
Good point, but the bombshell from Brexit to the economy may well be significant, although difficult to predict, in addition the potential stimulus by the Bank of England (BoE) as soon as August may set on hold any interest hike for this year by the Fed.
  • #1,071,709
  • Jul 8, 2016 2:47am Jul 8, 2016 2:47am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} Good point, but the bombshell from Brexit to the economy may well be significant, although difficult to predict, in addition the potential stimulus by the Bank of England (BoE) as soon as August may set on hold any interest hike for this year by the Fed.
I know that. I was just an overbidder on the hike idea
Member
  • #1,071,710
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:30am Jul 8, 2016 3:30am
1070 holding well...1055 good bottom...will we see 1185 today?

EDIT: Seeing that everyone seems to be shorting in here, the chances are even better for it.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,071,711
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:35am Jul 8, 2016 3:35am
Quoting OnlineAddict
...will we see 1185 today?
1185? Sure! .....if NFP 180K, Average Hourly Earnings 0.3% , Unemployment Rate 4.5%
Member
  • #1,071,712
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:37am Jul 8, 2016 3:37am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} 1185 before or after NFP?
After, there is no power to do a move like that before.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,071,713
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:43am Jul 8, 2016 3:43am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} 1185? Sure! .....if NFP 180K, Average Hourly Earnings 0.3% , Unemployment Rate 4.5%
I really don't care about the numbers...PA wants to go up since yesterday, the last hours of yesterday showed today's plan. News numbers can only slow it down or speed it up, they don't change it, if the numbers are bad, it will speed up very fast and can easily break 1200. We will see.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,071,714
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:44am Jul 8, 2016 3:44am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} After, there is no power to do a move like that before.
the powers may swing it in 80pip range, hitting 1.11 again.
Why do people expect high payrolls??
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,071,715
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:45am Jul 8, 2016 3:45am
Awaiting on flat the US data, any small data can mean a thing ..like Goods Trade Balance positive for GBP pulling up E/U a little (contagion), hopefully not for long
Member
  • #1,071,716
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:47am Jul 8, 2016 3:47am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} the powers may swing it in 80pip range, hitting 1.11 again. Why do people expect high payrolls??
1.11 is very close...London might do that job.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,071,717
  • Edited 4:13am Jul 8, 2016 3:56am | Edited 4:13am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Why do people expect high payrolls??
I think that's why ...slightly neutral/positive big boys rumors:
Barclays: For the June US employment report, we expect nonfarm payrolls to rise by 175k, private payrolls to increase by 170k, and government payrolls to rise by 5k. A number in line with our expectation would represent a modest rebound in hiring relative to the May employment report after adjusting for the effects of the Verizon strike.
TD Bank: We expect the sharp downdraft in employment to partially reverse in June, with a forecasted increase of 175k jobs. This print will be supported by the return of 34k Verizon workers who were on strike in May. In addition to the rebound in the telecom sector, a bounce back in the wholesale, manufacturing and construction sectors should also bolster the headline print.
Goldman: We forecast that nonfarm payroll growth rebounded to +210k in June from just +38k in May. In part the pickup reflects the conclusion of a strike at Verizon Communicationsthis alone accounts for 70k of the month-over-month swing.

efxnews.com
Member
  • #1,071,718
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:59am Jul 8, 2016 3:59am
Good morning traders, this is my supply / demand zones setup for today's trading. Expected market moves are quite clear today, I expect more pullbacks until the fundamental news from US and Canada will be released, then some significant breakout might happen. Overall we are in side way market, but especially resistance at 1.1095 - 1.1100 and support at 1.1053 - 1.1057 could bring some nice pullbacks.

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Acta non verba
  • #1,071,719
  • Jul 8, 2016 4:00am Jul 8, 2016 4:00am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} I really don't care about the numbers...PA wants to go up since yesterday, the last hours of yesterday showed today's plan. News numbers can only slow it down or speed it up, they don't change it, if the numbers are bad, it will speed up very fast and can easily break 1200. We will see.
I dont care about numbers either, but it was just a random example ...the idea was that if you want 1.1185 (100points up-move) today only high numbers like that can do it.
EDIT: sorry, the same idea but ...the other way round
...if we want 1.1185 today we need negative releases on NFP, Average Hourly Earnings and Unemployment Rate
Member
  • #1,071,720
  • Jul 8, 2016 4:11am Jul 8, 2016 4:11am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} I dont care about numbers either, but it was just a random example ...the idea was that if you want 1.1185 (100points up-move) today only high numbers like that can do it. EDIT: sorry, the same idea but ...the other way round
Big boys already know what the numbers are going to look like...they mostly get ready(open trades) one day ahead of big news. As for me, I will have to play it safe and set a SL before the news...hopefully it will be in BE or profit then.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
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