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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #2,941
  • Jul 4, 2016 3:38am Jul 4, 2016 3:38am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM1.png Size: 97 KB
  • #2,942
  • Jul 4, 2016 8:38am Jul 4, 2016 8:38am
Quoting fibo38
{image}
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,943
  • Edited 8:11pm Jul 4, 2016 8:39am | Edited 8:11pm
Tuesday
4:30
07/05/16
AU Retail Sales
(AU Retail Sales), Australia, the AUDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Tuesday
7:30
07/05/16
AU Interest HOT!
(AU Cash Rate), Australia, the AUDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 55.00 points in the first minute after the release.
40% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Above the decision on the interest rate hangs certain ambiguity, but rather over its "June," the decision of the RBA:
On the one hand - the Fed will not raise rates, that only strengthens AUD (this is unacceptable to the Reserve Bank of Australia); weak inflation; additional risks to the EU; threat of downgrade by the rating agencies.
On the other hand - the parliamentary elections held at the weekend injected uncertainty; new data quarterly CPI will follow at the end of the month; Even the ECB does not understand about «Brexit effect" that could force central banks to hold their horses until September; at least the first step by the Bank of England.
In any case, the release is not recommended to skip.
Please, note that the delivery of this report to formalize it comes without delay.
Recall that in May, the RBA has resorted to a reduction in the interest rate from 2 to 1.75%.

Tuesday
11:30
07/05/16
GB Activity Index in service sector GOOD
(GB Services PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,944
  • Edited 8:45pm Jul 4, 2016 8:35pm | Edited 8:45pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_4.png Size: 60 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,945
  • Jul 4, 2016 11:34pm Jul 4, 2016 11:34pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_5.png Size: 73 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,946
  • Jul 5, 2016 3:34am Jul 5, 2016 3:34am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_6.png Size: 45 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,947
  • Jul 5, 2016 3:37am Jul 5, 2016 3:37am
Wednesday
10:30
07/06/16
SE Interest HOT!
(SE Interest Rate), Sweden, EURSEK
Average reaction when trigger 50.00 points in the first minute after the release.
40% probability trades.

Wednesday
17:00
07/06/16
US sector activity index from the ISM services
(US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI), US, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
20% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,948
  • Jul 5, 2016 4:26am Jul 5, 2016 4:26am
Quoting vvFish
{image}
  • #2,949
  • Jul 5, 2016 7:01am Jul 5, 2016 7:01am
Quoting vvFish
{image}
Hello vvFish
I can not figure out your entry strategy. If you could give me some help, I would be grateful
Kind regards
Julio Bento
  • #2,950
  • Jul 5, 2016 9:05am Jul 5, 2016 9:05am
Quoting jjibl
{quote} Hello vvFish I can not figure out your entry strategy. If you could give me some help, I would be grateful Kind regards Julio Bento
For me, there are a few rules.
I do not trust analysts.
I trade only the price that I see on the chart.
I use only a market order (enter the deal for 1-2 seconds before the news).
I do not take profit exhibition (Advisor trawls deal).
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,951
  • Jul 5, 2016 1:15pm Jul 5, 2016 1:15pm
Quoting vvFish
{quote} For me, there are a few rules. I do not trust analysts. I trade only the price that I see on the chart. I use only a market order (enter the deal for 1-2 seconds before the news). I do not take profit exhibition (Advisor I do not take profit exhibition (Advisor trawls deal)deal).
I am very grateful for your attention and explanation of the rules.
Sorry but not realized "I do not take profit exhibition (Advisor trawls deal)" Again I ask your help

Kind regards,
Julio Bento
  • #2,952
  • Jul 6, 2016 11:11am Jul 6, 2016 11:11am
Thursday
11:30
07/07/16
GB Industrial production
(GB Industrial Production), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
15:15
07/07/16
US ADP number of employed
(US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Thursday
15:30
07/07/16
US weekly jobless report
(US Unemployment Claims), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
20% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
07/07/16
US Natural Gas Reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
35% probability trades.

Wednesday
At 11:00 am EDT the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,953
  • Jul 6, 2016 6:24pm Jul 6, 2016 6:24pm
What pair for NFP this month sir?
  • #2,954
  • Jul 7, 2016 3:26am Jul 7, 2016 3:26am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} My friend this subject there is a video, but what page I can not remember. If you do not find. I'll make a video and put in the subject line.
I've seen your videos using the trailinglines,but mine its properly installed in script folder and properly loaded on the chart.The trailing lines is moving great but does not close when the price touches.The candle pass through the SL line.
  • #2,955
  • Jul 7, 2016 7:21am Jul 7, 2016 7:21am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_11.png Size: 34 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,956
  • Jul 7, 2016 7:24am Jul 7, 2016 7:24am
Quoting Pierhh
{quote} I've seen your videos using the trailinglines,but mine its properly installed in script folder and properly loaded on the chart.The trailing lines is moving great but does not close when the price touches.The candle pass through the SL line.
I'm working.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,957
  • Jul 7, 2016 7:58am Jul 7, 2016 7:58am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} I'm working.
Maybe its because of the new build Mt4.Now the script does not even load on the chart..
  • #2,958
  • Jul 7, 2016 8:33am Jul 7, 2016 8:33am
Quoting Pierhh
{quote} Maybe its because of the new build Mt4.Now the script does not even load on the chart..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_12.png Size: 12 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,959
  • Jul 7, 2016 10:44am Jul 7, 2016 10:44am
Friday
15:30
08/07/16
US Number of employed outside agriculture CRITICAL!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
40% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"

US unemployment rate fell almost to pre-crisis level in 2007 when we saw the Unemployment Rate at 4.5% (currently 4.7%). We can also see the increased popularity of the dynamics of wages, as well as a sharp change of Fed monetary prospects after Brexit, which gives us reason to believe - Unemployment receded.

In the foreground are Non-Farm Payrolls and Average Hourly Earnings. More dangerous, as it should now be the part of this particular duo. At this time, we assume the absence of a system to prevent conflict between the Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, at least at least 0.3%. UR currently has a low value, below the psychological threshold of 5%, and even its growth portends trouble, on the one hand. On the other hand, markets are pessimistic that gives rise to pressure on the dollar at the slightest opportunity and rising unemployment could they be.

Required if Non-Farm market, in terms of what the quotes do not imply a rate hike in the near future? It may be necessary, as there is a 20% probability of rate hike in December, according to the same market, according to the CME Group, which in turn sounds like something alien and strange in the light of the current outlook for background Brexit.

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data suggests mediocre at around 170K. Official forecasts point to the likelihood of growth in peyrolsam 180K. Interestingly, the indicator US ISM Manufacturing PMI employment component showed growth: 50.4 against the previous 49.2, US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI employment component is also positive: 52.7 against 49.7

In the last minutes of the Federal Reserve System, we read that the members of the Committee are willing to wait for new data on the labor market and the vote on Brexit. Here they are the new data, it's time to find out how terrible growth data for May (38K) are terrible indeed.

A reminder of the risks associated with the publication of the report: a data packet is large enough to be released, on a background of the potential for conflict of data is preserved, and no one has repealed the market spiking.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,960
  • Jul 7, 2016 12:44pm Jul 7, 2016 12:44pm
Quoting vvFish
{quote} {image}
Thank you it works great now.Just had to drag and drop on to the order line.It closes 1-2 pip away from the SL line but still nice.
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