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AUD/USD

  • #97,861
  • Jul 5, 2016 10:35am Jul 5, 2016 10:35am
still holding my short from 75170. First test will be the 100ma which has held very strong. Will make a call around that area depend on price action.
  • #97,862
  • Jul 5, 2016 10:40am Jul 5, 2016 10:40am
Hopefully the US can come to the party this week with its fundamentals
  • #97,863
  • Jul 5, 2016 9:03pm Jul 5, 2016 9:03pm
AUDUSD, 06 July 2016
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Inserted Video
  • #97,864
  • Jul 6, 2016 7:38pm Jul 6, 2016 7:38pm
AUDUSD, 07 July 2016
Analyze at Sydney Session
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Inserted Video
  • #97,865
  • Jul 6, 2016 8:35pm Jul 6, 2016 8:35pm
Anyone knows what caused AUD to tank just now? I can't find the news
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #97,866
  • Jul 6, 2016 8:37pm Jul 6, 2016 8:37pm
S&P revision from stable to negative
  • #97,867
  • Jul 6, 2016 8:38pm Jul 6, 2016 8:38pm
Quoting jnetfx
S&P revision from stable to negative
Got the source? thanks
Whatever the source its welcome news for me.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #97,868
  • Jul 6, 2016 8:50pm Jul 6, 2016 8:50pm
https://www.dailyfx.com/real-time-news

S&P: Australia outlook changed to AAA negative from AAA stable.
  • #97,869
  • Jul 6, 2016 11:17pm Jul 6, 2016 11:17pm
Short term AU chart 1 HR. In an up channel. (Mark Red)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU 7 July 2016.jpg Size: 92 KB
  • #97,870
  • Jul 7, 2016 2:19am Jul 7, 2016 2:19am
nzd %1.10+, aud 0.20-

strange
  • #97,871
  • Jul 7, 2016 2:41am Jul 7, 2016 2:41am
Quoting ben82
nzd %1.10+, aud 0.20- strange
This is nothing strange. Although they are in the same region and trade a lot with each other. You can't say they have the same fundamental.

For comparison, US, Canada, and Mexico. Well, Canada and Mexico have almost the same fundamental, but nothing alike.
Us is by its own.
  • #97,872
  • Jul 7, 2016 3:43am Jul 7, 2016 3:43am
Quoting frx_trader
{quote} This is nothing strange. Although they are in the same region and trade a lot with each other. You can't say they have the same fundamental. For comparison, US, Canada, and Mexico. Well, Canada and Mexico have almost the same fundamental, but nothing alike. Us is by its own.
very manipulative NZD. this is the reason. One day %1 - 2 down, one day %1 - 2 up.
RBNZ, kiwi's leaves loose
  • #97,873
  • Jul 7, 2016 5:45am Jul 7, 2016 5:45am
Quoting ben82
{quote} very manipulative NZD. this is the reason. One day %1 - 2 down, one day %1 - 2 up. RBNZ, kiwi's leaves loose
I know. It's all manipulation. Nothing to do with fundamental. Therefore trading is not easy.

Good luck. Happy pips.
  • #97,874
  • Jul 7, 2016 5:51am Jul 7, 2016 5:51am
Quoting ben82
{quote} very manipulative NZD. this is the reason. One day %1 - 2 down, one day %1 - 2 up. RBNZ, kiwi's leaves loose
You know currency is like a product. One day they give you 20% off. The next day you have to pay full price. On another day, they hike the price by 20%.

Depends on the luck. If lucky, you get 20% off the same product. If not, you pay 20% hike of the same product.

The thing is we don't know how much a product costs. We can compare with similar products.
  • #97,875
  • Jul 7, 2016 1:20pm Jul 7, 2016 1:20pm
Quoting ben82
{quote} very manipulative NZD. this is the reason. One day %1 - 2 down, one day %1 - 2 up. RBNZ, kiwi's leaves loose
It's both AUD and NZD. All Wednesday AUD was the strongest despite underlying risk-off and no major (or minor) AUD news. Today AUD giving up the gains and NZD is at pole position among the major 8.
Enter Signature
  • #97,876
  • Jul 7, 2016 1:29pm Jul 7, 2016 1:29pm
short @ 75000 TP @ 73500
  • #97,877
  • Jul 7, 2016 7:26pm Jul 7, 2016 7:26pm
AUDUSD, 08 July 2016
Analyze at Sydney Session
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.
Inserted Video
  • #97,878
  • Jul 7, 2016 7:29pm Jul 7, 2016 7:29pm
Quoting frx_trader
{quote} You know currency is like a product. One day they give you 20% off. The next day you have to pay full price. On another day, they hike the price by 20%. Depends on the luck. If lucky, you get 20% off the same product. If not, you pay 20% hike of the same product. The thing is we don't know how much a product costs. We can compare with similar products.
I would have thought the basics are pretty easy:
1. Choose your timeline
2. Take snapshot of recent price movement
3. Buy in roughly bottom 35-40% of the chart, sell in roughly top 35-40% of the chart
4. If you use stop losses set them outside the zone or at say 5 and 95% levels.

eg I've chosen a 4 hr chart
Without doing the math, buy below 74c, sell above 75c

eg2 To get an idea of what you might have been doing in the lead up to that period I've also attached the prior snapshot. If you were using stop losses in lead up to Brexit you would have got stopped out. If your risk tolerance allowed you to add extra positions you would have gotten some great sells!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: price determine.jpg Size: 94 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eg2.jpg Size: 87 KB
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #97,879
  • Jul 8, 2016 1:58am Jul 8, 2016 1:58am
AUDUSD again failed to clear horizontal resistance, might 0.7400 on better US NFP.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD-ProH4.png Size: 35 KB
  • #97,880
  • Jul 8, 2016 3:18am Jul 8, 2016 3:18am
I hope so I have a AUD/NZD short active atm
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