who knows about referendum in england, how it will influense on forex pairs?
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
News trading discussion - continuation
- #2,901
- Jun 16, 2016 11:48pm Jun 16, 2016 11:48pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
- #2,904
- Jun 17, 2016 6:06am Jun 17, 2016 6:06am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,905
- Jun 17, 2016 9:41am Jun 17, 2016 9:41am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Cool the market does not shrink from nothing.
Suffice it to a busy schedule of statistical publications released in the coming week for an extremely important event in 2016 - the British referendum on the exit from the EU. Unfortunately, the stress has passed the border, the tragedy could not be avoided. Campaigning for the referendum stopped on its own initiative parties.
Pound responds to the "referendum events", as the tragic.
The pound continues to read only one news: a referendum. So in the confusion of the results of the next couple of pigs GBPUSD went "there / here" a big figure from Monday: survey data have changed, the leading 6% wishing to stay at those who wish to leave the EU, on the contrary.
And the closer the June 23, the greater the risk spreads on the market, regardless of geographic boundaries.
Other polls showed:
46%, not 39%
49%, not 48%
By Wednesday, they were given new polls that showed the remaining 1% advantage over the assembled (Brits not bothered by any chance, to answer the constant polls?), Which is somewhat supported sterling.
No one interesting statistic, which recall after Brexit
CPI fell back to 0.3% from 0.4% in annual terms.
Claimant Count -0.4k
Jobless Rate 5.0% against 5.1%
Earnings + 2.0% versus 1.7%
Against the background of growth of wages, retail outlets, while the absence of a referendum could trigger good growth of the pound, but Retail Sales output to the level of higher than expected 0.9% versus 0.3% remains "pending" a fundamental factor.
On Thursday, the Bank of England left policy unchanged (0.5% rate), and Mark Carney once again criticized the attempt to exit from the EU, as a factor in catastrophic worldwide. BA on the side "to stay in the EU."
Markets are sufficiently cold-blooded - Pound took the murder of Joe Cox, who advocated the preservation of the union growth of quotations. British Member of Parliament advocated the preservation of the Union, and it fell on pravoradikala hands.
Fortunately - everything will be decided in the next week, a referendum will be held on Thursday, so that we have paid a separate note.
Canadian brand continues to BRENT.
CAD followed crude oil prices in the first half of the week, in turn, Brent fell back to $ 49 a barrel on Brexit risk as a factor likely to reduce the demand for hydrocarbons from the EU in the case of the pessimistic scenario of parting.
The situation at the end of the week only compounded by only larger, of Brent down Canadian down.
Not without runners, the manager of the Bank of Canada, who noted that the Alberta fires leveled 1-1.25% economic growth, interest rates will have to leave at a low level for longer than expected.
New Zealand publishes quarterly GDP higher than forecast.
On Wednesday, New Zealand a bit bruised bone growth on the trade account was exported to 1.31 billion more goods imports, which blocked the prognosis 0,97mlrd.
A major approach to the machine occurred on an optimistic publication of quarterly GDP growth: 0.7% in fact against the forecast of 0.5%, which led to considerable volatility.
At the same time the annual expression of economics is also on the rise: 2.8% vs. 2.6% forecast.
Australia silent
Published by the average value data of the labor market:
Employment Change 17.9K vs. 14.9K
Unemployment Rate 5.7% against 5.7%
AUDUSD reflect general trends.
It has been treasured "the June meeting of the FOMC
Small retail sales growth on Tuesday, only 0.1% higher than expected, immediately supported greenbacks - affected voltage sentiment around the upcoming FOMC.
Core Retail Sales 0.4% (forecast)
Retail Sales 0,5% against the forecast of 0.4%
Investors were convinced that the interest rate the Fed should not change and look forward to the FOMC minutes and speeches, Janet Yellen.
In fact the interest rate remained at 0.25% -0.5% range level, and Janet Yellen was very careful, she even tried to smooth over the rough edges of the May report on the labor market "is not worth so sharply perceive the data one month." In general, it does not seem that the Fed is preparing the markets for an early rate increase, based on the results of the meeting the probability of enhancing market is estimated at 10% in July and 50% in December (which was reduced from 20% and 60%, respectively). This state of affairs can not fail to stimulate the action of central banks - "opponents", and the first in the queue are banks in Australia, New Zealand and Canada.
The consumer price index showed that inflation is still on the table for consideration by the FOMC: US CPI - Core + 0.2% in monthly terms.
By the way, Bullard notes that it is necessary only one interest rate rise in the coming year (in fact, he talked about 30 months, but it's too bold).
Week for the buck ends in soft colors.
EUR suffers
Survive at least in Britain, on Thursday published data 3% of the benefits board "against" on the "stay" topple it for the whole euro against the dollar figure.
Red rag NEXT WEEK (June 20-24)
Summary of the coming week: Brexit. Brexit. Brexit.
We finally get the answers to many questions, it is not just "Britain out of the EU" - it dates Fed rate increase, the ECB is the QE program, reducing New Zealand's rate RBA mood, stress for the Bank of Canada.
June 23 followed by biggest "breath" in 2016. At last! And yes arrives re-entry of the British statistics.
After the murder of Joe Cox, both sides stopped their campaign. Some sources suggest that Cox could be killed for his position (campaigned for the preservation of the UK's membership of the EU), the far-right radical. The murder was planned, because the attacker used makeshift weapons (prepared).
Until the moment of committing the attack, 53% of undecided want to leave the EU, 47% of the stay (those who are "undecided" in the sample did not participate.
PS Even global stats feels stress - is scheduled for next week is extremely small number of important indicators!
Cool the market does not shrink from nothing.
Suffice it to a busy schedule of statistical publications released in the coming week for an extremely important event in 2016 - the British referendum on the exit from the EU. Unfortunately, the stress has passed the border, the tragedy could not be avoided. Campaigning for the referendum stopped on its own initiative parties.
Pound responds to the "referendum events", as the tragic.
The pound continues to read only one news: a referendum. So in the confusion of the results of the next couple of pigs GBPUSD went "there / here" a big figure from Monday: survey data have changed, the leading 6% wishing to stay at those who wish to leave the EU, on the contrary.
And the closer the June 23, the greater the risk spreads on the market, regardless of geographic boundaries.
Other polls showed:
46%, not 39%
49%, not 48%
By Wednesday, they were given new polls that showed the remaining 1% advantage over the assembled (Brits not bothered by any chance, to answer the constant polls?), Which is somewhat supported sterling.
No one interesting statistic, which recall after Brexit
CPI fell back to 0.3% from 0.4% in annual terms.
Claimant Count -0.4k
Jobless Rate 5.0% against 5.1%
Earnings + 2.0% versus 1.7%
Against the background of growth of wages, retail outlets, while the absence of a referendum could trigger good growth of the pound, but Retail Sales output to the level of higher than expected 0.9% versus 0.3% remains "pending" a fundamental factor.
On Thursday, the Bank of England left policy unchanged (0.5% rate), and Mark Carney once again criticized the attempt to exit from the EU, as a factor in catastrophic worldwide. BA on the side "to stay in the EU."
Markets are sufficiently cold-blooded - Pound took the murder of Joe Cox, who advocated the preservation of the union growth of quotations. British Member of Parliament advocated the preservation of the Union, and it fell on pravoradikala hands.
Fortunately - everything will be decided in the next week, a referendum will be held on Thursday, so that we have paid a separate note.
Canadian brand continues to BRENT.
CAD followed crude oil prices in the first half of the week, in turn, Brent fell back to $ 49 a barrel on Brexit risk as a factor likely to reduce the demand for hydrocarbons from the EU in the case of the pessimistic scenario of parting.
The situation at the end of the week only compounded by only larger, of Brent down Canadian down.
Not without runners, the manager of the Bank of Canada, who noted that the Alberta fires leveled 1-1.25% economic growth, interest rates will have to leave at a low level for longer than expected.
New Zealand publishes quarterly GDP higher than forecast.
On Wednesday, New Zealand a bit bruised bone growth on the trade account was exported to 1.31 billion more goods imports, which blocked the prognosis 0,97mlrd.
A major approach to the machine occurred on an optimistic publication of quarterly GDP growth: 0.7% in fact against the forecast of 0.5%, which led to considerable volatility.
At the same time the annual expression of economics is also on the rise: 2.8% vs. 2.6% forecast.
Australia silent
Published by the average value data of the labor market:
Employment Change 17.9K vs. 14.9K
Unemployment Rate 5.7% against 5.7%
AUDUSD reflect general trends.
It has been treasured "the June meeting of the FOMC
Small retail sales growth on Tuesday, only 0.1% higher than expected, immediately supported greenbacks - affected voltage sentiment around the upcoming FOMC.
Core Retail Sales 0.4% (forecast)
Retail Sales 0,5% against the forecast of 0.4%
Investors were convinced that the interest rate the Fed should not change and look forward to the FOMC minutes and speeches, Janet Yellen.
In fact the interest rate remained at 0.25% -0.5% range level, and Janet Yellen was very careful, she even tried to smooth over the rough edges of the May report on the labor market "is not worth so sharply perceive the data one month." In general, it does not seem that the Fed is preparing the markets for an early rate increase, based on the results of the meeting the probability of enhancing market is estimated at 10% in July and 50% in December (which was reduced from 20% and 60%, respectively). This state of affairs can not fail to stimulate the action of central banks - "opponents", and the first in the queue are banks in Australia, New Zealand and Canada.
The consumer price index showed that inflation is still on the table for consideration by the FOMC: US CPI - Core + 0.2% in monthly terms.
By the way, Bullard notes that it is necessary only one interest rate rise in the coming year (in fact, he talked about 30 months, but it's too bold).
Week for the buck ends in soft colors.
EUR suffers
Survive at least in Britain, on Thursday published data 3% of the benefits board "against" on the "stay" topple it for the whole euro against the dollar figure.
Red rag NEXT WEEK (June 20-24)
Summary of the coming week: Brexit. Brexit. Brexit.
We finally get the answers to many questions, it is not just "Britain out of the EU" - it dates Fed rate increase, the ECB is the QE program, reducing New Zealand's rate RBA mood, stress for the Bank of Canada.
June 23 followed by biggest "breath" in 2016. At last! And yes arrives re-entry of the British statistics.
After the murder of Joe Cox, both sides stopped their campaign. Some sources suggest that Cox could be killed for his position (campaigned for the preservation of the UK's membership of the EU), the far-right radical. The murder was planned, because the attacker used makeshift weapons (prepared).
Until the moment of committing the attack, 53% of undecided want to leave the EU, 47% of the stay (those who are "undecided" in the sample did not participate.
PS Even global stats feels stress - is scheduled for next week is extremely small number of important indicators!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,906
- Jun 17, 2016 11:05am Jun 17, 2016 11:05am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Great weekend to everyone.
Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,908
- Jun 19, 2016 10:00pm Jun 19, 2016 10:00pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,909
- Jun 22, 2016 10:28am Jun 22, 2016 10:28am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,911
- Jun 22, 2016 2:24pm Jun 22, 2016 2:24pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
{image}
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,913
- Jun 23, 2016 5:07am Jun 23, 2016 5:07am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,914
- Jun 23, 2016 5:09am Jun 23, 2016 5:09am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
DAX 
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,915
- Jun 23, 2016 5:10am Jun 23, 2016 5:10am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,917
- Jun 23, 2016 1:34pm Jun 23, 2016 1:34pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
{quote} Could you catch gas ?
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,919
- Jun 23, 2016 11:54pm Jun 23, 2016 11:54pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,159 Posts
hello to all our friends traders.
Inserted Video
Great weekend to everyone.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
{image} hello to all our friends traders. https://www.youtube.com/watch?featur...&v=foE1mO2yM04 Great weekend to everyone.
