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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #23,521
  • Jun 15, 2016 3:18am Jun 15, 2016 3:18am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} That is interesting. Did not know that. The King and Queen rule at the end of the day Today is Wednesday and there are just two more days left this week for futures to expire for the 2nd quarter. Maybe they will want them to close at around 9700-9800. Anything close to 9800 would be close to flat for the 2nd quarter and anything under would put us in a downtrend for 2 quarters in a row.
If UK votes OUT, this referendum could be used to start new negotiations, instead of leaving EU. Then the exit problem is put on the EU table.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #23,522
  • Jun 15, 2016 3:39am Jun 15, 2016 3:39am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} If UK votes OUT, this referendum could be used to start new negotiations, instead of leaving EU. Then the exit problem is put on the EU table.
Dutchy - as true as this is i really can't see it happening, there would be serious termoil here in the UK if they override the result... I think it far more likely they would fix it altogether.

And remember - "Nothing in politics happens by accident, if it happens, it was ment that way"
Que Sera
  • #23,523
  • Jun 15, 2016 3:53am Jun 15, 2016 3:53am
Since I'm Dutch I can't think as an Englisman, but re, the politics you are right. Its an univeral rule! lol
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #23,524
  • Jun 15, 2016 4:28am Jun 15, 2016 4:28am
Quoting Forexcube
Favored aspects for an hedging order. DAX, Long @ 9'560 (10x) DAX, Short @ 9'560 (10x) DAX, Weekly, 2016 June 14 {image}
#23'494

Exit @ 9'630, +70 (x10 = 700)
+700.-$
  • #23,525
  • Jun 15, 2016 4:32am Jun 15, 2016 4:32am
DAX
It's time to running down the weekly's EMA200 (~9'410), next week at the latest.
Maybe we go before over 9'700/9'800

Europe - vacuousness
With or without brexit. The circumstance as such includes a shock wave that the euopean idea is miserably failed.
The citizens all over the european countries desire more political & economical stability & more prosperity in their own families.
...& political parties are ignorant towards their electors.
What a pity!
FXcube.
  • #23,526
  • Jun 15, 2016 6:11am Jun 15, 2016 6:11am
Quoting Forexcube
DAX It's time to running down the weekly's EMA200 (~9'410), next week at the latest. Maybe we go before over 9'700/9'800 Europe - vacuousness With or without brexit. The circumstance as such includes a shock wave that the euopean idea is miserably failed. The citizens all over the european countries desire more political & economical stability & more prosperity in their own families. ...& political parties are ignorant towards their electors. What a pity! FXcube.
Did not quite understand you here... I did get the part about a possible test of 9410 by next week at the latest. But I did not understand the second part. With futures expiring this Friday one can not really buy or sell and then hold out their position until next week. Everything gets closed this Friday
  • #23,527
  • Jun 15, 2016 6:25am Jun 15, 2016 6:25am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Did not quite understand you here... I did get the part about a possible test of 9410 by next week at the latest. But I did not understand the second part. With futures expiring this Friday one can not really buy or sell and then hold out their position until next week. Everything gets closed this Friday
#23'527

Hi stylinex,
my comment didn't refer to your one in no sense.
The multiple time frame analysis give me some possible options,
e.g. like this one below.
If you take a look at Fib 61.8 (~9'905), ...and always watch the clock.
...& during the brexit event all sudden abrupt & extreme price movements seems possible,
& therefore I tend to look at higher time frames. That's all!
A short term turning back to the middle of the actual monthly candles seems alway possible when the market plays crazy.
My comment has nothing to do with the future topic.
These are my facts.
Hope it helps!

DAX, Monthly, 2016 June 15
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax, monthly, 2016 june 15.jpg Size: 111 KB
  • #23,528
  • Jun 15, 2016 7:14am Jun 15, 2016 7:14am
dax, short @ 9'630 (100x)

I try to trade some overlapping M15 candles.
Be aware: H1 could go more upside.
  • #23,529
  • Jun 15, 2016 7:17am Jun 15, 2016 7:17am
Quoting Forexcube
dax, short @ 9'630 (100x) I try to trade some overlapping M15 candles. Be aware: H1 could go more upside.
#23'529

exit @ 9'626, +4 (x100)
+400.-$
  • #23,530
  • Jun 15, 2016 7:23am Jun 15, 2016 7:23am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #23'529 exit @ 9'626, +4 (x100) +400.-$
That was a quick exit..
After 3 days of losses we had a reversal for this Thursday which is normally the roller coaster day. Assuming no roller coaster yet is because perhaps futures expire tomorrow or because we already had 3-4 big days of losses. Down roughly 5% in a week when we hit 9507 yesterday. Last time we hit 9500 QE funds kicked in and we rallied to 10,000 pretty much non-stop. This time may be different we Brexit next due next week
  • #23,531
  • Jun 15, 2016 7:34am Jun 15, 2016 7:34am
Strong support hit at 95. Expecting bounce to 98 before next leg down to 92.
Without having an understanding of down, you can never appreciate up.
  • #23,532
  • Edited 10:10am Jun 15, 2016 7:35am | Edited 10:10am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} That was a quick exit.. After 3 days of losses we had a reversal for this Thursday which is normally the roller coaster day. Assuming no roller coaster yet is because perhaps futures expire tomorrow or because we already had 3-4 big days of losses. Down roughly 5% in a week when we hit 9507 yesterday. Last time we hit 9500 QE funds kicked in and we rallied to 10,000 pretty much non-stop. This time may be different we Brexit next due next week



Your future concept whet my interest, stylinex.
I hope I can read more of your comments to this theme.
Have you good links? I've read books over it (my real life trading in "future trading" wasn't so luminous, of old) and I think that the future market is too dangerous. You are personally liable. You can burn money extremely easily & you hanging in in the pile of debts when the market turns against you & you couldn't go out of the market and in this case you could lose not only the deposits, in the worst case its multiple. What a unpredictable risk.
FXcube
  • #23,533
  • Jun 15, 2016 7:38am Jun 15, 2016 7:38am
Quoting anonymousey
Strong support hit at 95. Expecting bounce to 98 before next leg down to 92.
#23'523

+249.5%
congratulation, anonymousey +249.5% (demo) but why not trade it on real accounts?
demos deliver distorted pictures & have no bearing on reality.
FXcube
Attached Image
  • #23,534
  • Edited 8:21am Jun 15, 2016 7:57am | Edited 8:21am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} That was a quick exit.....
#23'531

"dynamical scalping"
I have also trade in this way
profit: +5% on a little 10'000.-$ Account
expected drawdown: ~30%
risk-reward-ratio of 6:1 (and not 1:2 or 1:3 what the trading literature recommends).
fazit: it makes additively +500.-$
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax, m1, 2016 june 15.jpg Size: 125 KB
  • #23,535
  • Jun 15, 2016 8:06am Jun 15, 2016 8:06am
Dax actual: 9'615
  • #23,536
  • Jun 15, 2016 8:54am Jun 15, 2016 8:54am
dax, short @ 9'632 (100x)
  • #23,537
  • Jun 15, 2016 8:56am Jun 15, 2016 8:56am
Quoting Forexcube
dax, short @ 9'632 (100x)
#23'537

Exit @ 9628, +4 (x100)
+400.-$
  • #23,538
  • Jun 15, 2016 8:57am Jun 15, 2016 8:57am
dax, short @ 9'634 (100x)
  • #23,539
  • Jun 15, 2016 8:58am Jun 15, 2016 8:58am
Quoting Forexcube
dax, short @ 9'634 (100x)
#23'539

Exit @ 9'630, +4 (x100)
+400.-$
  • #23,540
  • Jun 15, 2016 9:04am Jun 15, 2016 9:04am
dax, short # 9'642 (100x)
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