3[/size]8973753]{quote} Yess
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
News trading discussion - continuation
- #2,861
- Jun 10, 2016 8:12am Jun 10, 2016 8:12am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
- #2,862
- Jun 10, 2016 9:31am Jun 10, 2016 9:31am
- Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Full Trader | 1,378 Posts
{quote} Spain ?Each broker different times. {image}
I have broker Tickmill. It´s GMT + 2.
I put 2 in Sydney hour 2 ?
It´s correct ?
Thanks,
{quote} Good luck
About USD Federal Funds Rate that we will have this week . we had the same Rate in Mar 16, 2016 , But the price fall down . What was the reason ?
this was happen in Apr 27, 2016 . the rates did not changed but the price was fall instead of Rising !
- #2,865
- Jun 11, 2016 4:55am Jun 11, 2016 4:55am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
{quote} Hi my friend About USD Federal Funds Rate that we will have this week . we had the same Rate in Mar 16, 2016 , But the price fall down . What was the reason ? this was happen in Apr 27, 2016 . the rates did not changed but the price was fall instead of Rising !
I trade what I see.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,866
- Jun 11, 2016 5:02am Jun 11, 2016 5:02am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Waiting for next week's alert. Thanks!
Each event time.
http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar...eek=jun13.2016
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,868
- Jun 11, 2016 11:45am Jun 11, 2016 11:45am
- Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Full Trader | 1,378 Posts
{quote} it is my template . {file}
- #2,870
- Jun 12, 2016 4:14pm Jun 12, 2016 4:14pm
{quote} Lectures read Sam Seiden: DEMAND AND SUPPLY For the discerning SPECULATORS I recommend reading
The basic logic talked by Sam Seiden is great.
I recall he mentioned when news brought price to a big RES/SUP zone, it would be a good trading entry.
THis is a golden idea.
But Sam put too much emphasis on anti-trend trading, this would be dangerous for people without so much experience.
I like news trading, considering:
- When news brought price to a big RES/SUP zone
- ESP. the news thrust would be anti-trend
Then i can kick in totally after the big jump triggered by the news
Outcome is not important at all, but correct technique is what only matters
- #2,871
- Jun 12, 2016 6:54pm Jun 12, 2016 6:54pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,872
- Jun 12, 2016 7:26pm Jun 12, 2016 7:26pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Thoughts on "smart traders"
The Fed meets on Wednesday, June 15.
Neutrality Yellen - voltage market
After the collapse of the disappointment of the labor market report, the first sign from the Fed acted Mester: a gradual increase in interest rates is necessary, the labor market report is a disappointment, but is not critical at this level.
On Monday, during his speech, Janet Yellen remained quite restrained: the completion of the markets were of the same opinion - 30% rate hike in July, not in June.
«NFP report for May disappointed, but do not pay too much attention to only one publication," - said a Fed governor.
A key point for the dollar will be the Fed meeting next week, on Wednesday. Up to this point, the dollar remains critically sensitive to your statistics (including retail sales on Tuesday and inflation index on Thursday)
Unemployment declined in Canada
Bank of Canada Governor, Poloz, obviously, "warns" the markets that the global variable is not on the side of inflation, and the current strengthening of a "temporary effect". Small, but a hint of further easing of monetary policy may be present in a given sentence, which coincides with the expectations of another rate cut by the end of this year.
The situation was somewhat "tarnished" the Canadian labor market statistics published on Friday: 6.9% vs. the previous 7.1%, while the overall economy added just 13,8K jobs for the month, and the actual boost from reducing unemployment lasted very long . After the reduction, USDCAD pair has fully recovered, had help in this and falling on Friday the oil quotes.
The Canadian remains sensitive to US statistics and oil prices. On Friday, can react to consumer price data. The issue of additional interest rate cut remains open.
55% of Brits are ready to leave the EU
The pound fell at the opening on Monday, the reason is traditional for the last time, served as the new poll results on Brexit, which showed growth of opponents union with the EU.
That was confirmed by the polls at the end of the week, drawn up on Friday, ORB International showed 10% advantage over the supporters of independence supporters "in the European Union." 23 June is likely to remain quite hot date. At the same time the ECB notes that it is ready to take all necessary action in case Brexit.
GBP displays exactly this situation.
The Briton continued to stubbornly ignore his stats against this background: Manufacturing Production + 2,3% against 0,0% forecast released on Wednesday have gone unnoticed.
June 23, only this day relevant to GBP for the next 2 weeks. Well, that life is finally fit. Tug of war pretty fed up.
RBA's neutral
RBA, as expected, left interest rates unchanged (1.75%). In this case, the protocol noted "steady growth" of the economy, which corresponds to the "sustainable policies."
Then it turns a kind of "rubber", which stretched GDP growth Q1 (quite successful growth), which is to pull for a measure of the CPI (inflation). The market is watching for the thickness of the "rubber" that may be "poor".
The suddenness with which the interest rate was reduced in May, playing into the hands of the RBA, due to which the bank has more time to think.
As soon as the Australian economy statistics hint at the slightest problem - the issue of reducing the interest rate will have a significant pressure on the AUD.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left interest rates at 2.25%
"Inaction" RBNZ has provoked a sharp rise in NZD with a signal - before publishing market opinion is divided exactly evenly: 50% analysts had expected a decline of 0.25% to 2.0%, 50% did not intend to reduce this time.
It is this difference of opinion, and gave rise to a big figure in the NZDUSD pair.
Wheeler, the head of the RBNZ, admitted that: the central bank has limited leverage, actions by the US Federal Reserve could be very useful. It is also noted that "the economy ahead of forecasts." Nevertheless, the global economy remains weak, leaving the shadow of the actual pressure.
The central bank revised its inflation forecasts: achieving 2% threshold in the fourth quarter of 2017, instead of the previous first quarter of 2018 (the Bank plans to reach the target faster). For the fourth quarter of 2016 inflation expectations increased from 1.1% to 1.3%.
However, the protocols contain the phrase again, "easing monetary policy if necessary, can be" and "monetary policy remains appropriate (accommodative)."
It can be concluded that the RBNZ will remain in «stand by» mode until clarity Fed plans, with an emphasis on the state of global inflation (as a rule, resource prices for the region). Fortunately Fed in the next key date "will be more transparent."
If to reduce the probability of release was 50% at the moment are the actual 25% to the end of 2016.
The bonus is all the same looks Managing RBNZ.
Fed FOMC meeting next week
June 15, will be held on Wednesday June meeting of the FOMC. Voltage with respect to the expected rise in US interest rates is removed, and there are a number of reasons, but the main: the weak US labor market report and the forthcoming Brexit, which can significantly affect the plans not only for the EU. The key interest for the meeting is the information shed light on the fate of the decision in July. volatility probability is quite high even at a constant rate.
The Fed meets on Wednesday, June 15.
Neutrality Yellen - voltage market
After the collapse of the disappointment of the labor market report, the first sign from the Fed acted Mester: a gradual increase in interest rates is necessary, the labor market report is a disappointment, but is not critical at this level.
On Monday, during his speech, Janet Yellen remained quite restrained: the completion of the markets were of the same opinion - 30% rate hike in July, not in June.
«NFP report for May disappointed, but do not pay too much attention to only one publication," - said a Fed governor.
A key point for the dollar will be the Fed meeting next week, on Wednesday. Up to this point, the dollar remains critically sensitive to your statistics (including retail sales on Tuesday and inflation index on Thursday)
Unemployment declined in Canada
Bank of Canada Governor, Poloz, obviously, "warns" the markets that the global variable is not on the side of inflation, and the current strengthening of a "temporary effect". Small, but a hint of further easing of monetary policy may be present in a given sentence, which coincides with the expectations of another rate cut by the end of this year.
The situation was somewhat "tarnished" the Canadian labor market statistics published on Friday: 6.9% vs. the previous 7.1%, while the overall economy added just 13,8K jobs for the month, and the actual boost from reducing unemployment lasted very long . After the reduction, USDCAD pair has fully recovered, had help in this and falling on Friday the oil quotes.
The Canadian remains sensitive to US statistics and oil prices. On Friday, can react to consumer price data. The issue of additional interest rate cut remains open.
55% of Brits are ready to leave the EU
The pound fell at the opening on Monday, the reason is traditional for the last time, served as the new poll results on Brexit, which showed growth of opponents union with the EU.
That was confirmed by the polls at the end of the week, drawn up on Friday, ORB International showed 10% advantage over the supporters of independence supporters "in the European Union." 23 June is likely to remain quite hot date. At the same time the ECB notes that it is ready to take all necessary action in case Brexit.
GBP displays exactly this situation.
The Briton continued to stubbornly ignore his stats against this background: Manufacturing Production + 2,3% against 0,0% forecast released on Wednesday have gone unnoticed.
June 23, only this day relevant to GBP for the next 2 weeks. Well, that life is finally fit. Tug of war pretty fed up.
RBA's neutral
RBA, as expected, left interest rates unchanged (1.75%). In this case, the protocol noted "steady growth" of the economy, which corresponds to the "sustainable policies."
Then it turns a kind of "rubber", which stretched GDP growth Q1 (quite successful growth), which is to pull for a measure of the CPI (inflation). The market is watching for the thickness of the "rubber" that may be "poor".
The suddenness with which the interest rate was reduced in May, playing into the hands of the RBA, due to which the bank has more time to think.
As soon as the Australian economy statistics hint at the slightest problem - the issue of reducing the interest rate will have a significant pressure on the AUD.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left interest rates at 2.25%
"Inaction" RBNZ has provoked a sharp rise in NZD with a signal - before publishing market opinion is divided exactly evenly: 50% analysts had expected a decline of 0.25% to 2.0%, 50% did not intend to reduce this time.
It is this difference of opinion, and gave rise to a big figure in the NZDUSD pair.
Wheeler, the head of the RBNZ, admitted that: the central bank has limited leverage, actions by the US Federal Reserve could be very useful. It is also noted that "the economy ahead of forecasts." Nevertheless, the global economy remains weak, leaving the shadow of the actual pressure.
The central bank revised its inflation forecasts: achieving 2% threshold in the fourth quarter of 2017, instead of the previous first quarter of 2018 (the Bank plans to reach the target faster). For the fourth quarter of 2016 inflation expectations increased from 1.1% to 1.3%.
However, the protocols contain the phrase again, "easing monetary policy if necessary, can be" and "monetary policy remains appropriate (accommodative)."
It can be concluded that the RBNZ will remain in «stand by» mode until clarity Fed plans, with an emphasis on the state of global inflation (as a rule, resource prices for the region). Fortunately Fed in the next key date "will be more transparent."
If to reduce the probability of release was 50% at the moment are the actual 25% to the end of 2016.
The bonus is all the same looks Managing RBNZ.
Fed FOMC meeting next week
June 15, will be held on Wednesday June meeting of the FOMC. Voltage with respect to the expected rise in US interest rates is removed, and there are a number of reasons, but the main: the weak US labor market report and the forthcoming Brexit, which can significantly affect the plans not only for the EU. The key interest for the meeting is the information shed light on the fate of the decision in July. volatility probability is quite high even at a constant rate.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,873
- Jun 12, 2016 8:21pm Jun 12, 2016 8:21pm
- Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 4,499 Posts
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
- #2,874
- Jun 12, 2016 8:51pm Jun 12, 2016 8:51pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
{quote} Thank You vvFish!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,877
- Jun 14, 2016 5:33am Jun 14, 2016 5:33am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,878
- Jun 14, 2016 5:39am Jun 14, 2016 5:39am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,169 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...