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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #23,441
  • Jun 13, 2016 2:16am Jun 13, 2016 2:16am
I was reading some where where one person had said that if there was a Brexit we could see 2-3 months of fall. That fall if true would set up a last quarter rally towards the end of the year.
  • #23,442
  • Jun 13, 2016 3:07am Jun 13, 2016 3:07am
Quoting stylinex
I was reading some where where one person had said that if there was a Brexit we could see 2-3 months of fall. That fall if true would set up a last quarter rally towards the end of the year.
#23'442

...in the end of year the market price jumps upwards often. CEOs have to expand their profitable salaries and bookkeepers have closen their annual financial statements. Isn't it more probably that we could expect longer candles with greater shadows & bodies in November & December?
The brexit could shaping out also longer (june & july) candles at the market but at the end of this turn everything will remain uneffected. The price level could return back at the market price before all hip-hop began.
I think so.
Let's see!
FXcube
  • #23,443
  • Jun 13, 2016 3:11am Jun 13, 2016 3:11am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #23'442 ...in the end of year the market price jumps upwards often. CEOs have to expand their profitable salaries and bookkeepers have closen their annual financial statements. Isn't it more probably that we could expect longer candles with greater shadows & bodies in November & December? The brexit could shaping out also longer candles at the market butr at the end of this turn everything will remain uneffected. The price level could return back at the price before all hip hops. I think so. Let's see! FXcube
I was thinking to long around September to October area into December if we tank before then. Long term plan for this year. Unless this year is different we usually see those end of the year Christmas rallies every year. Today seems to be a Yo-Yo day Zig-Zagging up and down.
  • #23,444
  • Jun 13, 2016 7:50am Jun 13, 2016 7:50am
DAX 60 minutes Opening Range 9738/9677. We have to break out that range. Long or Short.
Don't fiddle in the middle!
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #23,445
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:12am Jun 13, 2016 8:12am
excellent time for hedging the nasdaq

NAS100USD, Long @ 4'440 (10x)
NAS100USD, Short @ 4'440 (10x)

NAS100USD, Monthly, 2016 June 13
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100USD, Monthly, 2016 June 13, v2.jpg Size: 77 KB
  • #23,446
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:28am Jun 13, 2016 8:28am
Quoting Forexcube
DAX, Short @ 9'938 (5x), Target @ 9'820 ___ 5x = 5.-$ per pip
#22'779

The target was hit.
Exit @ 9'820, +18 (x5 = 90)
A3* +90.-$
  • #23,447
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:31am Jun 13, 2016 8:31am
Quoting Forexcube
NAS100USD, Short @ 4'471 (10x), Target @ 4'310
#22'780

Delete the target @ 4'310
Exit @ 4'436, +35 (x10 = 350)
A2* +350,.-$
  • #23,448
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:34am Jun 13, 2016 8:34am
Quoting Forexcube
PO NAS100USD, Short @ 4'480 (10x), Target @ 4'330 ___ PO = Pending Order
#22'781

Delete the target @ 4'330
Exit @ 4'438, +42 (x10 = 420)
A1* +420.-$
  • #23,449
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:37am Jun 13, 2016 8:37am
Quoting Forexcube
NAS100USD, Short @ 4'440 (10x)
#22'803

Exit # 4'438, +2 (x10 = 20)
A4* +20.-$
  • #23,450
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:40am Jun 13, 2016 8:40am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #23'023 ...could go till 2135, ...if so: PO SPX500USD, Short @ 2135 (10x) ___ PO = Pending Order
#23027

PO order deleted.
  • #23,451
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:41am Jun 13, 2016 8:41am
Quoting Forexcube
excellent time for hedging the nasdaq NAS100USD, Long @ 4'440 (10x) NAS100USD, Short @ 4'440 (10x) NAS100USD, Monthly, 2016 June 13 {image}
  • #23,452
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:45am Jun 13, 2016 8:45am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #23027 PO order deleted.
FX out of interest how did you come up with the 2135 target ?
Que Sera
  • #23,453
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:47am Jun 13, 2016 8:47am
Quoting Forexcube
Viewpoint I won't trade this week so much. Maybe there are better probabilities beyond this amobigous market situation next week & next month. My market analysis tell me: "wait!".:nerd: Accordingly, ...only some little orders are set & additively exclusively at a lower risk more sideshow market: PO NAS100, Short @ 4'390 (10x), Target @ 4'310 PO NAS100, Long @ 4'290 (10x), Target @ 4'380 ... & additively maybe some scalping trades here & there. Target: ~2'000.-$ profit this week. This profit target seems okay for me (on 1 x 10'000.-$ Acc.)...
#22'776

PO Long order deleted.
  • #23,454
  • Jun 13, 2016 8:50am Jun 13, 2016 8:50am
Quoting Catempire
{quote} FX out of interest how did you come up with the 2135 target ?
#23'453

Take a look at the date (2016 Mai 30). One or two day (or weeks) more volatile upside market and the 2'135 had been hit at that time.
So this pending order has not executed since yet.
FXcube
  • #23,455
  • Jun 13, 2016 9:01am Jun 13, 2016 9:01am
There are always some open orders into the market: #22'802, #22'776, #22'649 & #22'648 US30 or nasdaq, all short
& 23'428, #23429 & 23'430 dax, all long
FXcube
  • #23,456
  • Jun 13, 2016 9:33am Jun 13, 2016 9:33am
Opinions on a raise on Wednesday ?

"It is evident from the data and structure of government debt that a rise in interest rates will quickly be reflected in public debt repayments. As the government already runs at a deficit, increased interest rates will have the effect of increasing the deficit as well. A quick assessment shows that a doubling of effective interest rates on all national debt from 2.3% today to 4.6% would increase interest payments by $400 bn, doubling the current deficit. Larger deficits mean ever increasing debt repayments, and thus, the government is solely dependent on low-interest rates to survive. It is clear that the government has started a multi-year program to capture low-interest rates. However, the majority of U.S. debt still matures in less than three years. The result is that interest rate rises will quickly affect the deficit."

What are the odd's they double bluff and we see the raise..? Just as most think it isnt likely..?

You would think the FED would see through the bad NFP numbers a few weeks back because of the strikes, if thats so then the odd's off there being a raise half way though the year with them hinting at 2 more this year seem quite likely to me...

Fooish to do it into a weak economy but equally the end result will always remain the same.
Que Sera
  • #23,457
  • Jun 13, 2016 9:53am Jun 13, 2016 9:53am
Quoting Catempire
Opinions on a raise on Wednesday ? "It is evident from the data and structure of government debt that a rise in interest rates will quickly be reflected in public debt repayments. As the government already runs at a deficit, increased interest rates will have the effect of increasing the deficit as well. A quick assessment shows that a doubling of effective interest rates on all national debt from 2.3% today to 4.6% would increase interest payments by $400 bn, doubling the current deficit. Larger deficits mean ever increasing debt repayments, and...
I can't see a rate hike by the Fed ahead of the UK referendum. The earliest they may rise is July, but even that, I'm a little skeptical.

Currently a 2% chance of a hike in June, and a 22% chance of a hike in July. You can track it here:
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/inte...n-to-fomc.html

US Tax debt per taxpayer is around USD161k, that's nothing to sniff at, so chances are the US Fed may have difficulties raising rates, if they do, it will be very very gradual. Just my two cents:
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
  • #23,458
  • Jun 13, 2016 10:32am Jun 13, 2016 10:32am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} I can't see a rate hike by the Fed ahead of the UK referendum. The earliest they may rise is July, but even that, I'm a little skeptical. Currently a 2% chance of a hike in June, and a 22% chance of a hike in July. You can track it here: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/inte...n-to-fomc.html US Tax debt per taxpayer is around USD161k, that's nothing to sniff at, so chances are the US Fed may have difficulties raising rates, if they do, it will be very very gradual. Just my two cents: http://www.usdebtclock.org/...
I can not see one either happening now unless they just want to crash the market lol..
  • #23,459
  • Jun 13, 2016 10:49am Jun 13, 2016 10:49am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX 60 minutes Opening Range 9738/9677. We have to break out that range. Long or Short. Don't fiddle in the middle!
SHort Mini Dax (Futures) Just outside the OR. 9675
T1 +11
T2 +21
1 runner SL BE
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #23,460
  • Jun 13, 2016 10:50am Jun 13, 2016 10:50am
Could see some consolidation or bounce from around 9630
Que Sera
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