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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #21,701
  • May 4, 2016 7:25am May 4, 2016 7:25am
Quoting jakucha
DAX Looking at 9750-90 for a bounce. {image}
If we retrace to 9900 it should be another good short opportunity unless of course QE stimulus kicks in and lifts things back up again over 10,000
  • #21,702
  • May 4, 2016 7:43am May 4, 2016 7:43am
Quoting ThirtyTen
today I have initiated long put positions on the S&P500 index. Bought 10x put contracts on the S&P500 at multiple strikes with Jul -16 expiry. this is in anticipation of a correction in equity markets occurring between now and mid July 2016. whilst I am not discounting the possibility that equity markets may rally further into the 10th/11th May TIME SERIES date, my rationale for entering put positions on the SP500 is due to the low volatility currently in the market making options relatively cheap at this point in time. If we do get a market sell...
​I have had a few people privately ask me about this trade after I outlined that the TIME SERIES was pointing to a top in equity markets on the 20th/21st April. So here it is (my open positions attached).

I've also had a few people ask whether the TIME SERIES works for intra day trading. The answer to that question is YES, and (believe it or not) the TIME SERIES can allow you to predict turning points in active markets to the exact minute! I don't personally trade using intraday charts - it takes up too much time. But just to prove that the TIME SERIES works, I openly posted my trading account over a 37 day period over Xmas (as that is the only time of the year where I actually have the time to do the calcs to forecast turns to the exact minute). You can check those trade results and see for yourself by the following link:

http://thetimefactor.com/Blog/succes...n-37-days.html
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #21,703
  • May 4, 2016 7:56am May 4, 2016 7:56am
Quoting ThirtyTen
{quote} ​I have had a few people privately ask me about this trade after I outlined that the TIME SERIES was pointing to a top in equity markets on the 20th/21st April. So here it is (my open positions attached). I've also had a few people ask whether the TIME SERIES works for intra day trading. The answer to that question is YES, and (believe it or not) the TIME SERIES can allow you to predict turning points in active markets to the exact minute! I don't personally trade using intraday charts - it takes up too much time. But just to prove...
You can post your Time Factor recommendations here for the DAX and we can see if they are right or not. Post in advance if your are subscribed. We can monitor them for a month or so to compare them with market movements. If they say sell or buy along with a target price you can share that with us here. After a month or two we can conclude if these posts are true or not.
  • #21,704
  • May 4, 2016 7:56am May 4, 2016 7:56am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} If we retrace to 9900 it should be another good short opportunity unless of course QE stimulus kicks in and lifts things back up again over 10,000
QE has been good to us buyers.. aaah... the good old days.. twas the easiest fundamental trades....

Quoting ThirtyTen
{quote} ​I have had a few people privately ask me about this trade after I outlined that the TIME SERIES was pointing to a top in equity markets on the 20th/21st April. So here it is (my open positions attached). I've also had a few people ask whether the TIME SERIES works for intra day trading. The answer to that question is YES, and (believe it or not) the TIME SERIES can allow you to predict turning points in active markets to the exact minute! I don't personally trade using intraday charts - it takes up too much time. But just to prove...
Timefactor has got me very intrigued . :-)
practising coitus interruptus
  • #21,705
  • May 4, 2016 8:07am May 4, 2016 8:07am
Quoting avibe
{quote} QE has been good to us buyers.. aaah... the good old days.. twas the easiest fundamental trades.... {quote} Timefactor has got me very intrigued . :-)
Time factor says market is going up or down from here? Let's see if they are right
  • #21,706
  • May 4, 2016 8:26am May 4, 2016 8:26am
Quoting ThirtyTen
{quote} ​I have had a few people privately ask me about this trade after I outlined that the TIME SERIES was pointing to a top in equity markets on the 20th/21st April. So here it is (my open positions attached). I've also had a few people ask whether the TIME SERIES works for intra day trading. The answer to that question is YES, and (believe it or not) the TIME SERIES can allow you to predict turning points in active markets to the exact minute! I don't personally trade using intraday charts - it takes up too much time. But just to prove...
I would love to see some of your trading post, and then I mean trades. The same as anyone one here like forexcube, stylinex. Then we all can learn your wonder. Just my humble opinion.
He who fears being conquered is sure of defeat - Napoleon Bonaparte
  • #21,707
  • May 4, 2016 8:29am May 4, 2016 8:29am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} If we retrace to 9900 it should be another good short opportunity unless of course QE stimulus kicks in and lifts things back up again over 10,000
Agree - looking for Squeeze into EU close or gap down tomorrow morning for 9810 - 9790 GAP fill April 12 and Bounce Rally who knows. there are GAPS below but perhaps this is enough for the new down phase1... also I am watching IBEX 8500 support zone. and FTSE 6060 - 6080 strong first supports.. breaking the DAX 9800 decisively would point to low GAP fill 9500.
  • #21,708
  • May 4, 2016 8:42am May 4, 2016 8:42am
Did a quick trade and closed at 9849
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  • #21,709
  • May 4, 2016 8:44am May 4, 2016 8:44am
I should have let it run.. 9837 now
  • #21,710
  • May 4, 2016 9:13am May 4, 2016 9:13am
Quoting atraderfx
{quote} Agree - looking for Squeeze into EU close or gap down tomorrow morning for 9810 - 9790 GAP fill April 12 and Bounce Rally who knows. there are GAPS below but perhaps this is enough for the new down phase1... also I am watching IBEX 8500 support zone. and FTSE 6060 - 6080 strong first supports.. breaking the DAX 9800 decisively would point to low GAP fill 9500.
Long off 9830 - loving it!
  • #21,711
  • May 4, 2016 9:39am May 4, 2016 9:39am
on the H4 chart the price has reached area possible rebound
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  • #21,712
  • Edited 11:29am May 4, 2016 11:03am | Edited 11:29am
Awesome market formation
downside risk?

DAX, H4, 2015 Mai 04
This is a market situation, where the support line could hold with ascending CCI.
If not then a bigger downside movement should be expected.

Weekly & monthly candles could shaping out a liitle bit more downside his black body but when they turns after that to the top by developing a shadow (in his candle) can we title it as a false breakout (downside) in retrospect?
FXcube
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #21,713
  • May 4, 2016 11:06am May 4, 2016 11:06am
Quoting Forexcube
A1* DAX, Short @ 9'954 (20x) ...hedged to #21'599 (DAX, Long @ 9'966)
#21'673

Exit @ 9'828, +126 (x20 = 2'520)
A1* +2'520.-$
  • #21,714
  • May 4, 2016 11:07am May 4, 2016 11:07am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} # 21'603 & hedged: US30, Short @ 17'730 (10x)
#21'674

Exit @ 17'630, +100 (x10 = 1'000)
A3* +1'000.-$
  • #21,715
  • May 4, 2016 11:12am May 4, 2016 11:12am
Quoting Forexcube
A3* US30, Long @ 17'763 (10x) ...due to the fact of the last two daily adcending candles. US30USD, Daily, 2016 Mai 03 {image}
#21'603

Target @ 17'850
  • #21,716
  • May 4, 2016 11:14am May 4, 2016 11:14am
Quoting Forexcube
A1* DAX, Long @ 9'966 (20x)
#21'599

Target @ 10'220
  • #21,717
  • May 4, 2016 11:30am May 4, 2016 11:30am
Quoting stylinex
Did a quick trade and closed at 9849 {image}
#21'709

a fast buck!
money one has earned oneself. :nerd:
Right on!
FXcube
  • #21,718
  • May 4, 2016 11:36am May 4, 2016 11:36am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #21'603 Target @ 17'850

Careful Forexcube

Currently short with a target of 16,78x
  • #21,719
  • May 4, 2016 12:16pm May 4, 2016 12:16pm
DAX looks like it wants to go under 9800
  • #21,720
  • Edited May 5, 2016 7:32am May 4, 2016 12:32pm | Edited May 5, 2016 7:32am
A1*
DAX, Short @ 9'828 (20x)
Hedging one again.
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