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AUD/USD

  • #96,661
  • Apr 22, 2016 11:34am Apr 22, 2016 11:34am
what do you guys think about the opening gap on monday? (if there will be one at all...)
i think this year we've seen it all too often... buying USD a week before fomc... then dumping it / "parring positions" in the two days preceeding fomc. will the fed even shift it's rhetoric to hawkish at all?
  • #96,662
  • Apr 22, 2016 11:36am Apr 22, 2016 11:36am
The trade I recommended this morning was short audusd at 0.7760 with TP 0.77 or below. Have a nice weekend. My eurusd short is still running.
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  • #96,663
  • Apr 22, 2016 11:43am Apr 22, 2016 11:43am
Quoting ell3
{quote} i agree too that it's still riskier to do a short (although it's easy to say now on hindsight playing the 'short the rallies' strategy today appears to have been where the money is). seems to have been way too easy...it's still sliding downwards now below 7700. ultimately i feel 7850 isnt even the top. in fact at the moment ive lost sight of any fundamentals that suggest the AUD should fall below 70cents. meanwhile i think it was Skyrek earlier who also shared similar thoughts on why the AUD's trend is still up until things change. but for...

Skyrek gave a possible scenario..... as for the top it is hard to gauge and it is always more volatile near key levels. I'm of the opinion the pair isn't ready to do a clean move down because there are still several targets above 7800 not convincingly tested. Maybe you have some numbers too that you want to share......
  • #96,664
  • Apr 22, 2016 11:46am Apr 22, 2016 11:46am
.7700 is like the neutral zone, bulls or bears can either take over from here. Small losses are fine, big profits are next. Let's see how it closes today
  • #96,665
  • Apr 22, 2016 11:54am Apr 22, 2016 11:54am
Quoting tunera
longs are being squeezed. i have a possible support at around 0.7688, and the next one at 0.7466 (i guess we'll not get there today lol). perhaps i will keep this open in the weekend, risk of bounce seems to be low now. edit: we also have a 0.7617 static support, it can be a good place to tp if reached today. {image}
i've got....
1) 7705 - 61.8% fib of this week's bottom to top move
2) 7690
3) rising trend, lower line of the move up from 1 march (currently at 7670ish)
4) 7644

the next important target bulls look for should be (3) since that's effectively the major trend bottom.
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  • #96,666
  • Apr 22, 2016 12:46pm Apr 22, 2016 12:46pm
Here is a daily chart to study during the weekends.
I will not say long or short from current levels as it will influence your bias.
Make your own judgement, do up a trading plan of your own, watch the amount of risks you are taking before embarking on a trade.

Treat every trade like how you run a business and you will not be gambling with hard earned money.
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  • #96,667
  • Apr 22, 2016 2:28pm Apr 22, 2016 2:28pm
BULLS VS BEARS ..61.8 fib..lets c next week..
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Dream, believe,fight for it and you will achieve and NEVER EVER GIVE UP!
  • #96,668
  • Apr 22, 2016 2:53pm Apr 22, 2016 2:53pm
AUD USD quarter pivot is 7400 we are still long way above this area, so a test of QP is due at some stage.
  • #96,669
  • Apr 22, 2016 11:25pm Apr 22, 2016 11:25pm
Very surprised it dropped - not happy with my analysis. In fact it started dropping immediately as I was going to bed, at the downtrend upper limit line, which I thought it was clearing. Cant' stay away forever

My thesis was that AUDUSD would rise towards 78 and possibly higher ahead of Fed/BoJ, but not sure now. Coming week will bring a lot of volatility in the first 3 days.
  • #96,670
  • Apr 23, 2016 4:49am Apr 23, 2016 4:49am
AUDUSD may rise sooner than latter because of the last strong monthly long setup. Two problems are involved here: 1. This long setup was closed below Bollinger Middle Band, and tested it with upper shadow. But when setup is too strong, it breaks barriers s/r, BMB. 2. When setup is formed on longer time frames, it takes also longer time to work on daily.
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 5.2%
  • #96,671
  • Apr 23, 2016 8:04am Apr 23, 2016 8:04am
.7800 is a key resistance as it is a fibonacci level on both the 1 day, 1 week, and 1 month charts. im seeing a short
  • #96,672
  • Apr 23, 2016 8:05am Apr 23, 2016 8:05am
good fun in Oz. )))

“Bloody crazy”: River near fracking site bursts into flames in Australia (VIDEO)
  • #96,673
  • Apr 23, 2016 8:22am Apr 23, 2016 8:22am
i think oil will test 48 next week so does aud will retest 0.7825 then they will down
  • #96,674
  • Apr 23, 2016 3:10pm Apr 23, 2016 3:10pm
How I see this rigged currency.

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  • #96,675
  • Apr 23, 2016 10:47pm Apr 23, 2016 10:47pm
AUDUSD could get trapped in a ranging market-no strong upward or downward move. If it gets trapped in tight range I will get out of all my long positions before market collects back all the pips it has given to me. Then wait for another opportunity to get in again
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 5.2%
  • #96,676
  • Apr 24, 2016 4:37pm Apr 24, 2016 4:37pm
shorting au for 100 pips
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #96,677
  • Apr 24, 2016 4:43pm Apr 24, 2016 4:43pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
shorting au for 100 pips {image} {image}
+++ good one.
  • #96,678
  • Apr 24, 2016 5:03pm Apr 24, 2016 5:03pm
Hrmmmm....
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Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #96,679
  • Apr 24, 2016 7:58pm Apr 24, 2016 7:58pm
Sell sell sell...huge week for US to come back with solid data AUD dont have any solid gronds, rate cut coming as well, to sustain even above the .7500 levels...
  • #96,680
  • Apr 24, 2016 9:42pm Apr 24, 2016 9:42pm
Quoting marching
Sell sell sell...huge week for US to come back with solid data AUD dont have any solid gronds, rate cut coming as well, to sustain even above the .7500 levels...

And if the Fed disappoints?
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