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AUD/USD

  • #96,401
  • Apr 15, 2016 1:18am Apr 15, 2016 1:18am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
AUDUSD is truly the pair that surprises, and it may well launch a bit higher, but it's looking really weak on the charts imo.
No Weakness at all.
Long long long long
  • #96,402
  • Apr 15, 2016 5:41am Apr 15, 2016 5:41am
Testing 0.7730 for the fifth time (H1)

Retrace or small reversal?
  • #96,403
  • Apr 15, 2016 5:51am Apr 15, 2016 5:51am
Quoting attilafx
{quote} No Weakness at all. Long long long long
Every time it goes above 7722 it just gets sold down. Granted, it's going through consolidation and sellers could potentially become exhausted, but this to me does not look like strength - and until it does firmly move higher, I would say buying here is not a good idea IMO.

Wait for a clear break, there is an ascending triangle on the hourly - I think it will get broken or confirmed tonight.
  • #96,404
  • Apr 15, 2016 7:04am Apr 15, 2016 7:04am
Triangle broken down, I'll say for the 10th time in the last 24h, I don't think AUDUSD is going higher just right now (I still maintain an overall bullish outlook on mid term). Taken another short at 7713
  • #96,405
  • Apr 15, 2016 7:23am Apr 15, 2016 7:23am
Waiting for H4 confirmation - engulfing forming as we speak - then short - target 0.7630
  • #96,406
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:05am Apr 15, 2016 9:05am
Two sets of really crap US data trying to halt the decline of AUD, first one failed, now second one seems to also be failing.
  • #96,407
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:10am Apr 15, 2016 9:10am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Two sets of really crap US data trying to halt the decline of AUD, first one failed, now second one seems to also be failing.
Sometimes I think AUD is the most rigged currency I ever traded.
  • #96,408
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:16am Apr 15, 2016 9:16am
Quoting dejcire13
{quote} Sometimes I think AUD is the most rigged currency I ever traded.
Completely agree, but you can tell by the charts what's happening. These data releases are nothing more than blips, the big boys trade the data long before you or I know about it.

AUDUSD still on trajectory down. I wish I didn't have to sleep.
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  • #96,409
  • Apr 15, 2016 10:34am Apr 15, 2016 10:34am
Quoting dejcire13
{quote} Sometimes I think AUD is the most rigged currency I ever traded.
LOL.
Fact is Duetsche Bank is the biggest in the currency market. Guess who has been caught rigging the Silver and Gold? Yeps, Deutsche Bank. So trust me, they also do this in every other currency pair. Especially AUDUSD and GBPUSD.

I have done some IT job for Cargill. I know they have specials chat rooms today still in the commodities like Wheat, Corn etc. They seem to be the biggest in that market. Most of them are on Yahoo.
  • #96,410
  • Apr 15, 2016 2:36pm Apr 15, 2016 2:36pm
Quoting Starcraftmaz
{quote} Completely agree, but you can tell by the charts what's happening. These data releases are nothing more than blips, the big boys trade the data long before you or I know about it. AUDUSD still on trajectory down. I wish I didn't have to sleep. {image}
Hey Star

Just curious, what TF do you use for your entries?

Grz

Brabo
  • #96,411
  • Apr 15, 2016 3:22pm Apr 15, 2016 3:22pm
rising wedge AUD USD daily. not ideal and pronounced as in NZD USD however it's still fairly clearly defined. looks ugly also.
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  • #96,412
  • Apr 15, 2016 3:26pm Apr 15, 2016 3:26pm
AUD USD is topping out, very strong bearish pattern on H4. Chinese GDP data Monday could trigger a sell off in AU/NU.
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  • #96,413
  • Edited 8:02pm Apr 15, 2016 7:38pm | Edited 8:02pm
this might explain why AU is stubborn lately,

AU weekly
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AU monthly
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  • #96,414
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:13pm Apr 15, 2016 9:13pm
Quoting asgcorp
rising wedge AUD USD daily. not ideal and pronounced as in NZD USD however it's still fairly clearly defined. looks ugly also. {image}
I agree will be placing new short positions on aud and nzd

Also talk on friday about au banks loosing their aaa rating downgraded to aa due to the fact AU are not producing an income and having to borrow more to pay debt repayments.

TAX hikes are coming
AU bank interest rate hikes are coming
Tightening of money flow is coming

all spells recession, and down with $au

Its just time now...
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #96,415
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:58pm Apr 15, 2016 9:58pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} all spells recession, and down with $au Its just time now...
That's a gloomy outlook. Still, with Aus private debt at all time highs, an upward move in rates would be painful. And we don't call them "taxes" anymore, the new lingo is 'revenue measures'.

Probably worth remembering that China is borrowing like mad (those last debt figures were crazy, again), which might prop up steel -> iron for a bit.

My other guess is if oil takes a hit next week (due to those Saudi comments), AU might get a little spanking.
Corripe Cervisiam!
  • #96,416
  • Apr 15, 2016 11:17pm Apr 15, 2016 11:17pm
Quoting Starcraftmaz
AUDUSD is truly the pair that surprises, and it may well launch a bit higher, but it's looking really weak on the charts imo.
AUDUSD is cerainly not showing any weakness for now. Try and use Gold chart to trade AUDUSD, EURUSD,USDCHF. February bullish candle is too strong on Gold chart. It strongly broke above Bollinger Middle Band. As a result of the Gold strong setup, AUDUSD & EURUSD could break the resistance that they have been retesting over and over. It will be sooner than latter. If AUDUSD succeds in breaking the resistance USDCHF would form a consolidation short setup after retracemeent.
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -23.1%
  • #96,417
  • Apr 15, 2016 11:21pm Apr 15, 2016 11:21pm
AUDCHF 4H. Anyone?
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #96,418
  • Apr 15, 2016 11:32pm Apr 15, 2016 11:32pm
Quoting heispark
AUDCHF 4H. Anyone? {image}
I trade loger time frames ,daily,weekly & monthly candlestick. Can"t assist here
Make all mistakes in demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: -23.1%
  • #96,419
  • Apr 16, 2016 12:07am Apr 16, 2016 12:07am
http://www.afr.com/news/policy/budge...0160414-go607c

http://www.smh.com.au/business/big-f...14-go699i.html
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #96,420
  • Apr 16, 2016 2:25am Apr 16, 2016 2:25am
Well, the asset moves as I’ve predicted. I think that I can earn even more on AUD/USD! Definitely, the show must go on =)

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