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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #2,461
  • Apr 14, 2016 8:18am Apr 14, 2016 8:18am
USDJPY
wrong position
Inserted Video
  • #2,462
  • Apr 14, 2016 8:21am Apr 14, 2016 8:21am
Also, been trying this and Tony's approach. Tony's approach shoots for more pips, where the gains outweigh the losses, but does use a SL. vvFish's approach take a small, but very meaty, bites with a high win rate, but no safety SL that I see (unless he hedges somehow, which is tough at his lot sizes). Using a SL with this method would be problematic, so you have to watch the price action live and decide to bail or not.... One alternative is to load a SL after the spread settles, but it seems the day will come when big loss hits. I dunno
  • #2,463
  • Apr 14, 2016 8:22am Apr 14, 2016 8:22am
Quoting nonlinear
I'm a novice to this approach, but it takes a ton of screen time. vvFish and others have a ton of screenshots in here, I went through a hundred at least and then some live. Its all there, but I'm only using cc, not sure on the how to best use the market open, other than perhaps if the market is moving above the open, then a general bias that direction, maybe. My initial view is that I do think there are some signals that should be avoided. However, in this instance, I was looking at all the USD majors, and they were all giving the same load-your-money-now...
as it is seen in the video i check other USDpairs
But USD have more power in all .
so How did you decide to sell USDCAD ?

Quoting nonlinear
Also, been trying this and Tony's approach. Tony's approach shoots for more pips, where the gains outweigh the losses, but does use a SL. vvFish's approach take a small, but very meaty, bites with a high win rate, but no safety SL that I see (unless he hedges somehow, which is tough at his lot sizes). Using a SL with this method would be problematic, so you have to watch the price action live and decide to bail or not.... One alternative is to load a SL after the spread settles, but it seems the day will come when big loss hits. I dunno
i did not get the point ?
  • #2,464
  • Apr 14, 2016 9:52am Apr 14, 2016 9:52am
Quoting mohsen210007
{quote} as it is seen in the video i check other USDpairs But USD have more power in all . so How did you decide to sell USDCAD ? {quote} i did not get the point ?
I generally disregard the level or "power" and just look at the direction. That is, USD is dropping, CAD is rising, so I sell USDCAD, that is what happened on my charts on every USD pair. Also, one will get different readings from different brokers, so try a few out. But please note that I haven't been doing this long enough, so don't follow what I say

The point is that, if possible, it is often wise to use a stop loss to avoid getting a margin call, that's all.
  • #2,465
  • Apr 14, 2016 10:00am Apr 14, 2016 10:00am
Also took a post-news scalp, ala vvFish style.
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  • #2,466
  • Apr 14, 2016 10:06am Apr 14, 2016 10:06am
I believe that finding the level is the most important tool while determining the trend. Levels breakage or sustain above or below can change the whole intraday scenario and that is what gives u the right direction to follow.
  • #2,467
  • Apr 14, 2016 1:52pm Apr 14, 2016 1:52pm
Quoting Shout
I believe that finding the level is the most important tool while determining the trend. Levels breakage or sustain above or below can change the whole intraday scenario and that is what gives u the right direction to follow.
Levels
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,468
  • Apr 15, 2016 4:03am Apr 15, 2016 4:03am
Special news that I would not have recommended today.
So free scalping on all instruments at your discretion.
Good luck
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,469
  • Apr 15, 2016 8:29am Apr 15, 2016 8:29am
alrighty then!
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  • #2,470
  • Apr 15, 2016 8:34am Apr 15, 2016 8:34am
And here is a loser.
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  • #2,471
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:06am Apr 15, 2016 9:06am
Scalping
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,472
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:11am Apr 15, 2016 9:11am
Great weekend to everyone.
Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,473
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:20am Apr 15, 2016 9:20am
Thoughts on "smart traders"

The current likelihood of Fed rate increase monthly

A number of US publications statistics let the market adjust the forecast raising Fed: the whole point of inflation. According to Bloomberg reduce the likelihood of the Bank of England rate higher than the increase. The Bank of Canada has fulfilled expectations by 80%, while the IMF reduce global forecasts. Careful with Sunday ...
USD
US retail sales remain "weak" side: -0.3% reduction compared to the previous month. The reason for the rollback steel car sales, clothing sales and restaurant services.
Lower production and consumer prices also does not cause the growth of talk about imminent interest rate increase (PPI -0,1% and CPI 0,1% per month), and it is against the background of statements by the head of the Philadelphia RB this week Harker, who believes that a prudent will wait for inflation before raising interest rates.

CAD
The Bank of Canada held a meeting which left interest rates unchanged 0.5%.
In general, Stephen Poloz be quite current policy, but market forecasts have been confirmed by about 80%, which resulted in a price correction (CAD reduction) after the publication of the Regulator.
- Have yet to see evidence of growth in investment
- The bank was ready to further global disappointments
- There is no magic number for the stock CAD
- The current level of monetary policy corresponds to the situation
Probably, the Canadian will remain under pressure, depending on the oil prices especially on the eve of the oil summit in Doha this Sunday.

EUR
Euro rested from major fundamental events and expect the ECB meeting next week.

AUD
Australia issued a positive report on the labor market: 26.1K gain -0,7K employed against the previous month, unemployment decreased to 5.7% (forecast 5.9%, previous 5.8%).

GBP
Britain issued a fresh report on the annual inflation rate, which was higher than expected at 0.5% for the previous 0.3% - total CPI to a maximum of the last 15 months.
The second important event of the week for the British was the meeting of the Bank of England. Surprises are not followed - the interest rate remained unchanged at 0.5%: all 9 members of the MPC voted unanimously.
The Reuters believe that interest rates will remain at record lows until 2017. Bloomberg provides statistics with a 2% probability of a rate hike in 2016, and 30% probability of its reduction, despite the fact that in 2015 the probability of increase was 80% in 2016.
Bank of England is taking the side of the opponents of the British exit from the EU and warned that the way out of the European Union will harm the economy. Recall that the referendum scheduled for June.

globally
The IMF reduced its forecasts for the fourth time in the last year, adding an additional reduction of the global economy in 2016-2017 (from + 3.4% to + 3.2% for 2016 to 2017 forecast has been reduced from + 3.6% to + 3.5%).

This Sunday will be held in Doha oil summit, that's what they say about it in the Dow: «The last time the market showed one of the strongest growth over several years after the beginning of the largest oil exporters to cooperate in an attempt to support prices. Major oil producers, including countries such as Saudi Arabia and Russia, due to meet in Doha, capital of Qatar, on Sunday to hold talks on the limitation of production and support prices. But it reinforced the view that even if we manage to reach an agreement, this may not be enough to eliminate the excess supply in the world oil market. "Previously, Russia and Saudi Arabia supposedly reached to reduce the production volumes of the agreement.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,474
  • Apr 15, 2016 9:29am Apr 15, 2016 9:29am
Monday
01:45
18/4/16
NZ Consumer Price Index HOT!
(NZ CPI), New Zealand, NZDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
40% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"

In light of the likelihood of interest rate cuts the Reserve Bank of New Zealand of course want to see a reduction in inflation, but always has its "buts". On the one hand, raw material prices in flat, on the other hand in the first quarter, "worried" dairy products. Mark decides to fact. Note the non-standard liquidity at the time of publication (it will be reduced).
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,475
  • Apr 19, 2016 1:23am Apr 19, 2016 1:23am
Wednesday
11:30
20/4/16
GB salaries with bonuses
(GB Avg Earnings - incl bonus), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,476
  • Apr 20, 2016 3:35am Apr 20, 2016 3:35am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,477
  • Apr 20, 2016 3:38am Apr 20, 2016 3:38am
Attached Image


At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
Check expected number a couple of minutes before the data comes .
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,478
  • Apr 20, 2016 3:41am Apr 20, 2016 3:41am
Hi
for the last GBP news i try Wheelbarrel trailing . it's setting is default . the market move more than 15 pip's .

But the Wheelbarrel Expert doesn't trail the stop ! How should i fix it ?

Do you know ?
  • #2,479
  • Apr 20, 2016 4:03am Apr 20, 2016 4:03am
Quoting mohsen210007
Hi for the last GBP news i try Wheelbarrel trailing . it's setting is default . the market move more than 15 pip's . But the Wheelbarrel Expert doesn't trail the stop ! How should i fix it ? Do you know ?
My friend, I have everything working perfectly.
Perhaps you are too late and entered the adviser did not have time to pick up the profit.
He srabatyvat after 40 pips, not points (do not confuse the term).
I'll give you the adviser that translates to breakeven after paragraph 1, it should be put in parallel on any schedule but try it first on a demo
Attached File(s)
File Type: rar BU_PD.rar   7 KB | 472 downloads
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #2,480
  • Apr 20, 2016 4:34am Apr 20, 2016 4:34am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} My friend, I have everything working perfectly. Perhaps you are too late and entered the adviser did not have time to pick up the profit. He srabatyvat after 40 pips, not points (do not confuse the term). I'll give you the adviser that translates to breakeven after paragraph 1, it should be put in parallel on any schedule but try it first on a demo {file}

I want to try this EA, can you explain me how it works?
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