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The Really Useless Thread

  • #139,861
  • Apr 11, 2016 11:04am Apr 11, 2016 11:04am
Quoting chester123
{quote} But it has contra-effect, right? If 1. happens - short term go ahead for equities, pushes oil, extension for E/U If 1. happens + 2. happens (inflation ticks up again) - the equities short term ride is gonna be more bumpy due to hikes anticipation? E/U extesion more complicated as well! Right?
you deserve this
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  • #139,862
  • Apr 11, 2016 11:07am Apr 11, 2016 11:07am
any idea when is the announcement .... its showing tentative and might get released at any moment of time .... anyone ?
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  • #139,863
  • Apr 11, 2016 11:11am Apr 11, 2016 11:11am
Quoting PhAnTi'
hey sisse! hey others... short ec at the moment, others flat. had some buy stops above eu top, but seems like we go lower... lets c .. shorted blue, targeting green... nothing wrong buying cad these days {image}
Hey.long time ...nice to see around.Nice trade but why play OIL strength in EC instead of UC?...you prolly get better bang for the buck for the same trade in UC..EC maybe for Q4 for US elections with dollar shifting correlation with commodities for soft risk...In any case, nice trade...sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,864
  • Apr 11, 2016 11:17am Apr 11, 2016 11:17am
Quoting chester123
{quote} hmm, man, if nov is ur last FED meeting u kind of missed an awful amount of boring monetary stuff https://www.federalreserve.gov/monet...ccalendars.htm {quote} well, I dont know, he may be right. But sisse took the meeting into account so I thought there is something to expect/be cautious about.
That's a little strange , the link you posted doesn't show the special meetings, even after the fact . I guess the fed doesn't count the surprise announcements as meetings .
Peace
  • #139,865
  • Apr 11, 2016 11:30am Apr 11, 2016 11:30am
Quoting build11
{quote} That's a little strange , the link you posted doesn't show the special meetings, even after the fact . I guess the fed doesn't count the surprise announcements as meetings .
ok, sorry, maybe you were right when it comes to special meetings. till today I had no idea there are any. I just normally track the important ones which are in their official schedule.
  • #139,866
  • Apr 11, 2016 11:38am Apr 11, 2016 11:38am
was just surfing :



http://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/11/trade...-stimulus.html
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  • #139,867
  • Edited 12:07pm Apr 11, 2016 11:50am | Edited 12:07pm
Quoting primejarvis
was just surfing : http://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/11/trade...-stimulus.html
my random comment: I think its just pretty no-value article. There is some USD weakness due to delaying next hike but judgeing from the DXY its just a small fraction of the U/J recent mid term move. There are definitely other forces behind which I do not know but I bet they come from JPY side. So some journalist made nice headline but thats where the value starts and ends in my eyes.

P.S.: what r some good media/servers u guys use for news/macoanalysis? I feel like most of the mainstream media "analysis/comments" are completely absolutely useless waste of time.
  • #139,868
  • Apr 11, 2016 12:19pm Apr 11, 2016 12:19pm
Fed announcement in 15-20 mins .... Main page ff ...
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  • #139,869
  • Apr 11, 2016 12:44pm Apr 11, 2016 12:44pm
Euro choking at the highs and is starting to weight heavier on European markets but more importantly Dollar starting to find strong foot across the board.

All eyes in Dollar DXY 94.4x as a major short/mid/ and long term rain maker for the upcoming sessions/weeks and months. Setting the low of this year (2016) for the spring in play in Dollar so choose your position time cross the FX board ...

Key sessions for the Q and year in the making in currencies, on the rest of the board nothing new to see with same levels, same plays, same all...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,870
  • Apr 11, 2016 1:01pm Apr 11, 2016 1:01pm
Quoting sisse
Euro choking at the highs and is starting to weight heavier on European markets but more importantly Dollar starting to find strong foot across the board. All eyes in Dollar DXY 94.4x as a major short/mid/ and long term rain maker for the upcoming sessions/weeks and months. Setting the low of this year (2016) for the spring in play in Dollar so choose your position time cross the FX board ... Key sessions for the Q and year in the making in currencies, on the rest of the board nothing new to see with same levels, same plays, same all... sisse
This should also mean the top for GU pending brexit...
  • #139,871
  • Apr 11, 2016 1:22pm Apr 11, 2016 1:22pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} This should also mean the top for GU pending brexit...
Indeed.

We are going to see some very sharp moves later in the year. The major impact in Sterling and Euro are more for the mid term until then there will be plenty of 'chop' in between 94.4x and the highs but heavy momentum on the break up 100.xx l....

Fsisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,872
  • Apr 11, 2016 1:31pm Apr 11, 2016 1:31pm
u/c getting in real trouble.. lets c
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #139,873
  • Apr 11, 2016 2:38pm Apr 11, 2016 2:38pm
Quoting PhAnTi'
u/c getting in real trouble.. lets c
1.262x is naked if we take the current lows but sadly that will be pretty much it for the year (mid term i mean)we are aligning for major chop zone in the making as both sides will have strong major FA factors clashing in opposite directions ... enjoy the ride while it last ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,874
  • Apr 11, 2016 3:17pm Apr 11, 2016 3:17pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} ++++ Quick Call [update 4]++++ Small exercise to get in synch with the market in a short swing Current Euro price @ 1.139x (elapsed time 4 days 0 hours) ..

++++ Quick Call [update 5]++++

Small exercise to get in synch with the market in a short swing

Current Euro price @ 1.139x (elapsed time 5 days 0 hours)


Quoting chester123

-> LMT BUY to 1.149x

Quoting hoom

-> LMT BUY to 1.149x

Quoting goosebone

-> LMT BUY to 1.149x



------------------------------------ ---------


Quoting IMARICH1

-> LMT SELL to 1.129x

Quoting Rockerzeus

-> LMT SELL to 1.129x


Euro struggling in the highs and in desperate need of a hand to break the handle. However, Dollar entering in key long/mid and short term area and things are going to get a lot more complicate and 'sensitive' in the FX board.

One more time 1.139x for the roll but this time we are technically in FILL or KILL mode for those on the long side as there is no point in leaving any more room for manoeuvre until key US inflation numbers ... for the guys in the exercise no winners so far all still open ...Compression range keep flirting to blow any minute but as always no break no shake ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,875
  • Apr 11, 2016 4:15pm Apr 11, 2016 4:15pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} ++++ Quick Call ++++ Small exercise to get in synch with the market in a short swing Current Euro price @ 1.139x (elapsed time 5 days 0 hours) Quoting chester123 -> LMT BUY to 1.149x Quoting hoom -> LMT BUY to 1.149x Quoting goosebone...
exactly. the price is still keeping the elyptical shape - just cannot find the right fibbo elypsis to post chart - but its there somewhere And the final assault on the top of the range is coming as soon as eu session.

til that. good night from central europe
  • #139,876
  • Apr 12, 2016 4:11am Apr 12, 2016 4:11am
Euro struggling a lot on the highs. All attempts to crack the highs keep getting answer with heavy selling.

All Eyes on Euro today as it's taking the driver seat for this week and it's balancing on a very thin line before a big blow ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,877
  • Apr 12, 2016 4:51am Apr 12, 2016 4:51am
USDOLLAR nearing support, EU 1,15 - 1,16 possible imo

USDOLLAR W1:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #139,878
  • Apr 12, 2016 6:43am Apr 12, 2016 6:43am
Quoting sisse
Euro struggling a lot on the highs. All attempts to crack the highs keep getting answer with heavy selling. All Eyes on Euro today as it's taking the driver seat for this week and it's balancing on a very thin line before a big blow ... sisse
Up or down? Any guesses? Or analysis?
  • #139,879
  • Apr 12, 2016 8:14am Apr 12, 2016 8:14am
Quoting TheSwede
{quote} Up or down? Any guesses? Or analysis?
There is not much to say. It's nearly a month since changed short and mid term outlook to neutral from the ECB/NFP combo. By now even the most sluggish trader has spotted the short term range... so basically not much to update in the Euro.

On the FA side, US Inflation is the one to track for the FED as Dollar is in key short/mid and long term areas while European equities stating to show early signs of decoupling with the Euro meaning the value is getting too expensive and is starting to weight heavier in European markets.

On the TA side, we have a short term cluster fuck inches away from key mid term areas to the top side but far enough from anything interesting in the short term to the down side .... meaning chop and lots of noise as widely expected in double neutral outlooks (short and mid term) so until we solve the area there is not much to change or do so same levels, same trades, same all

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #139,880
  • Apr 12, 2016 9:47am Apr 12, 2016 9:47am
...eyes on OIL after the more than expected confirmation of the deal. $41.1x opens the 'moon' for those in the short and mid term trade ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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