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Top-Down Analysis

  • #421
  • Apr 4, 2016 4:24am Apr 4, 2016 4:24am
Quoting Bones
dax Im applying exact same principal with regard to latest monthly {image}
dax 4h

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax-2016-04-04 04:06:56.png Size: 59 KB
I ignore fools
  • #422
  • Apr 4, 2016 7:42am Apr 4, 2016 7:42am
gbp aud im bullish so long 18500 round number holds ,so far this is engulfing /tweezer ,200 pip
diverging pa
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 AUD (DFB).png Size: 43 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 AUD 2 (DFB).png Size: 35 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 AUD 3 (DFB).png Size: 32 KB
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  • #423
  • Edited 9:28am Apr 4, 2016 8:39am | Edited 9:28am
its a risky thought process,far to narrow ,how many events between then and now


Quoting Rosey76
{quote} Can you post dax and nikkei charts? They look very hesitant to go up, and now are below major s/r level. The Fed may just want to float spx as much as they can for the US election year. The plug will be removed around November.
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  • #424
  • Apr 4, 2016 1:25pm Apr 4, 2016 1:25pm
Quoting Bones
gbp aud im bullish so long 18500 round number holds ,so far this is engulfing /tweezer ,200 pip diverging pa {image} {image} {image}
I have same sentiment. 18500 does not need to hold; any low and new low is a buy. If 18500 gets broken, it is increased volatility and diverging pa.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot from 2016-04-04 13:09:36.png Size: 51 KB
I ignore fools
  • #425
  • Apr 8, 2016 9:09am Apr 8, 2016 9:09am
Hi Tony been a while but here my EU analysis
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd Daily.jpg Size: 173 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd h4.jpg Size: 108 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd Monthly.jpg Size: 146 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd weekly.jpg Size: 151 KB
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #426
  • Apr 8, 2016 11:55am Apr 8, 2016 11:55am
Hi L nice work ,thing with eu is the overall range ,and thats a small w1 overall weekly range can last a long time ,even if a trend is broken price still pushes with it some time after often
if I were to buy it would be from lower , daily bearish


Quoting Ll1979
Hi Tony been a while but here my EU analysis {image} {image} {image} {image}
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 eu w1 USD (DFB).png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 eu w1 USD close (DFB).png Size: 37 KB
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  • #427
  • Apr 8, 2016 12:21pm Apr 8, 2016 12:21pm
can we trust that monthly as bullish I think not ,if low broke this month would be very bearish


Quoting Bones
I'm only going to draw down tl lines {image} {image} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur JPY monthly (DFB).png Size: 21 KB
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  • #428
  • Apr 8, 2016 1:27pm Apr 8, 2016 1:27pm
Quoting Bones
Hi L nice work ,thing with eu is the overall range ,and thats a small w1 overall weekly range can last a long time ,even if a trend is broken price still pushes with it some time after often if I were to buy it would be from lower , daily bearish {quote} {image} {image}
Thnx T the compression at these levels (keeping overall usd weakness in mind) gives me the impression this resistance is very strong. Waiting for overall usd strenght for a possible short.Which things beside the currency pair itself do you consider on your long term trades? Being curious .... would like to explore the possibiĺlities for trading on higher timeframes but this brings a lot more uncertainties (coming from lower timeframes).
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #429
  • Apr 9, 2016 2:08am Apr 9, 2016 2:08am
Hi L ,you can trade higher tf through H4 ,weekly through D1 ,I'm only really looking at candles ,I do look at a lot of tfs ,which pro real time has

Quoting Ll1979
{quote} Thnx T the compression at these levels (keeping overall usd weakness in mind) gives me the impression this resistance is very strong. Waiting for overall usd strenght for a possible short.Which things beside the currency pair itself do you consider on your long term trades? Being curious .... would like to explore the possibiĺlities for trading on higher timeframes but this brings a lot more uncertainties (coming from lower timeframes).
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  • #430
  • Apr 9, 2016 2:21am Apr 9, 2016 2:21am
thing with eu ,is it could push to upper res ,only thing I feel confident in saying is it would fail it from there imo ,but what we could do is then say lets see where d1 breaks
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 eur USD w1 (DFB).png Size: 22 KB
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  • #431
  • Apr 9, 2016 2:24am Apr 9, 2016 2:24am
I prefer to think eur gbp will fail this pivot and major tl ,could be a swing here
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 eur GBP (DFB).png Size: 29 KB
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  • #432
  • Apr 9, 2016 2:34am Apr 9, 2016 2:34am
I think what you could find is eur shorts ,its in a pivotal location,
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 w1 eur CAD (DFB).png Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 d1 eur CAD (DFB).png Size: 41 KB
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  • #433
  • Apr 9, 2016 3:33am Apr 9, 2016 3:33am
dow only has to end up same number end of next week ,ideally little lower
that number be a big problem
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Wall Street 2 week (DFB).png Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 Wall Street (DFB).png Size: 22 KB
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  • #434
  • Apr 9, 2016 4:44am Apr 9, 2016 4:44am
could b a green shoot in the form of inverted hammer/tweezer ,for retrace ,caution 9 weeks straight no break of weekly highs
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD (DFB).png Size: 45 KB
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  • #435
  • Apr 9, 2016 5:10am Apr 9, 2016 5:10am
aud didn't have a good week ,of the commodity majors id rather sell

Quoting Bones
as long as 10107 holds bears will win this crazy consolidation {image} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CAD (DFB).png Size: 25 KB
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  • #436
  • Apr 9, 2016 5:46am Apr 9, 2016 5:46am
Quoting Bones
Hi L ,you can trade higher tf through H4 ,weekly through D1 ,I'm only really looking at candles ,I do look at a lot of tfs ,which pro real time has {quote}
thnx T! Pro realtime is an excellent platform, i used the free endofday version back in the days i use to trade stocks. When the time arrives and i am consistenly making money from the forexmarket i will give it a try.
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #437
  • Apr 9, 2016 7:31am Apr 9, 2016 7:31am
you gotta love the aud over cad for tech reliability ,but something about cad ,no way I'm shorting it you could see something crazy,oil sold it off hard ,I guess is the key
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 aud JPY (DFB).png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 cad JPY (DFB).png Size: 26 KB
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  • #438
  • Apr 9, 2016 7:36am Apr 9, 2016 7:36am
I've suggested it could consolidate in that space but then thats a 700 + pip wick evening star in space someone knows something
that high is super firm conviction couldn't be higher
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 month CAD (DFB).png Size: 32 KB
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  • #439
  • Apr 9, 2016 7:41am Apr 9, 2016 7:41am
Hi L its free with IG also pro real time they have a partner I believe also free ,actually I keep meaning to look what you get only some charts lack history IG


Quoting Ll1979
{quote} thnx T! Pro realtime is an excellent platform, i used the free endofday version back in the days i use to trade stocks. When the time arrives and i am consistenly making money from the forexmarket i will give it a try.
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  • #440
  • May 7, 2016 3:48pm May 7, 2016 3:48pm
usd cad is very bearish medium term say 4 month ,nothing would change my mind
usd is oversold and yet to create the downtrend to work from
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1 CAD (DFB).png Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: monthly US Dollar Basket (DFB).png Size: 28 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: w1 CAD (DFB).png Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd CAD monthly (DFB).png Size: 30 KB
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