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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #20,801
  • Mar 23, 2016 11:18am Mar 23, 2016 11:18am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Everyone gets some calls right at times and wrongs at other times. I guess we need to see if over the long run they tend to be right or wrong. I usually do my own homework. Was your trade today on your own or off a tip?
Today was my own analysis.

Majority (>+98%) of my trades is from my own analysis.

I only do shadow trades (copy trades), when some of the good traders around me make a strong case regarding their trades and they provide analysis/rationale for their specific trades. I generally don't trade "tips", I need more than a "tip".
  • #20,802
  • Mar 23, 2016 11:19am Mar 23, 2016 11:19am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} I am not too sure about that. Taiwan had huge amounts of money arriving in Taiwan these last two weeks to buy stocks. If these Hedge Funds news Indexes were goi g down they would not be buying as much as they did
One of the short pattern I see on Dax

H4 ab=cd

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weekly trendline

Attached Image
  • #20,803
  • Mar 23, 2016 11:20am Mar 23, 2016 11:20am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Today was my own analysis. Majority (>+98%) of my trades is from my own analysis. I only do shadow trades (copy trades), when some of the good traders around me make a strong case regarding their trades and they provide analysis/rationale for their specific trades. I generally don't trade "tips", I need more than a "tip".
Tips here are almost always bad. Have yet to see accurate ones here. I usually only make money when I follow my own tips.
  • #20,804
  • Mar 23, 2016 11:21am Mar 23, 2016 11:21am
Quoting acit
{quote} One of the short pattern I see on Dax H4 ab=cd {image} weekly trendline {image}
Yes, but weekly trendline is still green and bars are still green for weekly trendline and for daily trendline
  • #20,805
  • Mar 23, 2016 1:02pm Mar 23, 2016 1:02pm
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} {quote} Thanks. Ok, back to why 29/30 March should be an interim high, please check this chart to see reversal dates on last 90, 120 and 180 anniversary date counts. If you want to learn more on these time series techniques, suggest you get in touch with my friend, and just mention my name for a decent discount. http://thetimefactor.com/About/stock...trategies.html His most recent trade setup was shorting the USD, please check here: http://thetimefactor.com/Blog/us-dol...ort-trade.html Note, my friend also...
#20'783

The time factor which I use is "Multiple Time Frame Analysis" (MTFA).
...and it can be focus with or without any indicators...& then I have to input some risk decisions.
FXcube
  • #20,806
  • Mar 23, 2016 10:49pm Mar 23, 2016 10:49pm
Quoting avibe
{quote} true for me i use GBPJPY
I prefer to use USDJPY instead of Cable Yen. Why? This is because USD are the largest weighted currencies if you trade forex previously. USD direct reflected to EUR, the biggest rival and the second was YEN. Although Cable is another major pairing, but still, Cable movement are still relies on EUR move. Hence, I prefer to choose USDJPY as signs of confirmation.
  • #20,807
  • Mar 23, 2016 10:51pm Mar 23, 2016 10:51pm
Quoting Sixer
ChinaTraderz, i doubt that you will succeed with "volatility" alone !! Sixer {image}
You can follow my trade journal on forexfactory as well. If volatility alone cannot succeed, do you think I will put a million dollar account just to trade volatility.
  • #20,808
  • Mar 23, 2016 11:11pm Mar 23, 2016 11:11pm
Quoting ChinaTraderz
{quote} You can follow my trade journal on forexfactory as well. If volatility alone cannot succeed, do you think I will put a million dollar account just to trade volatility.
A million dollar account is just for DAX trading. Of course, I don't love to lie and I am happy to proof my volatility trading alone can succeed and answers your doubt. I can share you my fund account statement as well. My main account also only trading volatility only with gold, silver, coffee, wheat, and again only succeed with "VOLATILITY" trading.
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  • #20,809
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:27am Mar 24, 2016 1:27am
Asian session has been negative today, with oil also falling. Let's see how DAX performs today.
  • #20,810
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:38am Mar 24, 2016 1:38am
Quoting greenfields
Asian session has been negative today, with oil also falling. Let's see how DAX performs today.
Last day for European Session today. Will be closing on tomorrow and next Monday. I think it should be another flat day.
  • #20,811
  • Mar 24, 2016 1:54am Mar 24, 2016 1:54am
Long again at 9974pts.

There is quite a few levels of resistance ahead though, needs to break clear 10,010pts to break clear into clear sailing.
  • #20,812
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:00am Mar 24, 2016 2:00am
Quoting PariCovek
Long again at 9974pts. There is quite a few levels of resistance ahead though, needs to break clear 10,010pts to break clear into clear sailing.
You are very bullish still. Oil broke $40 let's see if climbs back
  • #20,813
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:01am Mar 24, 2016 2:01am
Hong Kong and China I believe are off for Friday and Monday. Banks are closed for Friday and Monday in Hong Kong
  • #20,814
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:05am Mar 24, 2016 2:05am
Immediate Resistance (Key ones in Bold):
10,180.00pts: R1
10,057.80pts: Fib 50%
10,021.00pts: DPP
10,010.20pts: 4H - 7 SMA
10,003.10pts: 1H - 20 SMA
10,000.00pts: BRN
9,995.20pts: 5M - 200 SMA
9,980.20pts: 1M - 200 SMA
9,979.60pts: 1H - 7 SMA

Immediate Support (key ones in bold):
9,965.60pts: 4H - 20 SMA
9,952.40pts: 1H - 200 SMA
9,936.60pts: Daily - 7 SMA
9,925.50pts: S1
9,900.00pts: BRN
9,873.10pts: Daily - 20 SMA
9,800.00pts: BRN
  • #20,815
  • Edited 2:21am Mar 24, 2016 2:09am | Edited 2:21am
Quoting PariCovek
Long again at 9974pts. There is quite a few levels of resistance ahead though, needs to break clear 10,010pts to break clear into clear sailing.
Added 3 mini's around 9943pts. Closed all 4 mini's at 9964pts (7sma on 2m). Net +21, +21, +21, -10.

Yeah, I don't care about Oil price on Dax open. Dax companies do not extract oil, only 1 company refines it, which is different. Oil price can affect the US markets, which then indirectly affects the Dax later when NYSE opens.

I think as Oil price normalises, the positive correlation with Oil price and Dax shall decouple.
  • #20,816
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:11am Mar 24, 2016 2:11am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} You are very bullish still. Oil broke $40 let's see if climbs back
Also, I'm still expecting a new Interim High by 29/30 March. So I will stick to that theory.
  • #20,817
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:20am Mar 24, 2016 2:20am
Quoting stylinex
Hong Kong and China I believe are off for Friday and Monday. Banks are closed for Friday and Monday in Hong Kong
Nope, they are all working and I am taking my holiday trip to Hong Kong.
  • #20,818
  • Mar 24, 2016 2:47am Mar 24, 2016 2:47am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Also, I'm still expecting a new Interim High by 29/30 March. So I will stick to that theory.
Looks like up

Plus EUR is slightly bearish IMO.
  • #20,819
  • Mar 24, 2016 3:18am Mar 24, 2016 3:18am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Looks like up Plus EUR is slightly bearish IMO.
Bought at 9930pts, but closed for +20pts. Should've carried that to the 200sma on 1m.
  • #20,820
  • Mar 24, 2016 3:25am Mar 24, 2016 3:25am
Today is Thursday which is the famous reversal days. Up then down or down then up. Yo Yo day..
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