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Top-Down Analysis

  • #361
  • Mar 14, 2016 9:22am Mar 14, 2016 9:22am
Hi Dean cable I'm thinking uptrend in downtrend ,moving in gap zone now
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 cable d1 USD (DFB).png Size: 49 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 cable d1 USD close (DFB).png Size: 45 KB
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  • #362
  • Mar 14, 2016 9:37am Mar 14, 2016 9:37am
poss oil
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 Oil - Brent Crude (DFB).png Size: 43 KB
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  • #363
  • Mar 14, 2016 9:48am Mar 14, 2016 9:48am
He that is best at finding the optimal stop loss. Is better than ten trend seekers.
My mentor said. How true?
  • #364
  • Edited 1:40pm Mar 14, 2016 10:13am | Edited 1:40pm
can jpy break up =weaker

tonight
TentativeJPYMonetary Policy Statement
4:30amJPYRevised Industrial Production m/m3.7%3.7%
JPYTertiary Industry Activity m/m0.4%-0.6%
TentativeJPYBOJ Press Conference
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: LFXJPYDaily.png Size: 22 KB
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  • #365
  • Edited 1:35pm Mar 14, 2016 11:06am | Edited 1:35pm
I'm looking EJ ,engulf there could be good


Quoting Bones
I'm only going to draw down tl lines {image} {image} {image}
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 EUR JPY D1 (DFB).png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 eur JPY w1 (DFB).png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 EUR JPY D1 2 (DFB).png Size: 46 KB
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  • #366
  • Mar 14, 2016 11:09am Mar 14, 2016 11:09am
Quoting Bones
can jpy break up =weaker {image}
check double top formation on weekly.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYmWeekly.png Size: 31 KB
  • #367
  • Mar 14, 2016 6:45pm Mar 14, 2016 6:45pm
makes you feel that up about the gap ,or that it want test 14179 again
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 gbp USD d1 (DFB).png Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 gbp USD w1 (DFB).png Size: 23 KB
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  • #368
  • Edited 8:42pm Mar 14, 2016 7:53pm | Edited 8:42pm
I can see this potential wedge into res on other equities ,say dax is at 10k ,see what jpy news have to come

Quoting Bones
Hi Hurst ,really ,candles don't work so well this space ,I was more thinking fail before that really hard res , {quote} {image} {image}
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2 day Wall Street (DFB).png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: w1 Wall Street (DFB).png Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Wall Street monthly (DFB).png Size: 30 KB
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  • #369
  • Mar 15, 2016 11:24am Mar 15, 2016 11:24am
trend line held well ,actually gbp jpy fell well over 250 pips today
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: LFXJPYMonthly.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: LFXJPYDaily.png Size: 22 KB
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  • #370
  • Edited 11:47am Mar 15, 2016 11:28am | Edited 11:47am
gbp has pulled back off that pivot ,only a doji after that bullish looking one ,its up against a huge bear monthly

Quoting Bones
careful for break ,I don't know prob wrong to say cable wont break at all ,maybe $ ,but lfx I could see no break {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPLFXWeekly.png Size: 21 KB
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  • #371
  • Mar 17, 2016 3:28am Mar 17, 2016 3:28am
there you go support before 1 buyer on monthly thats 500 down from open ,and tl not worth talking about

Quoting Bones
still I would maintain this is super bearish ,also doubt buyers could change the open,its oversold , {quote} {image} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CAD (DFB).png Size: 30 KB
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  • #372
  • Mar 17, 2016 5:30am Mar 17, 2016 5:30am
just a matter of time before this up trend stops ,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: w1 Wall Street (DFB).png Size: 43 KB
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  • #373
  • Mar 17, 2016 6:11am Mar 17, 2016 6:11am
Quoting Bones
just a matter of time before this up trend stops , {image}
Hi Bones,

Nice charts, nice analysis... I agree with you on that one.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SP5001DAY_17.png Size: 49 KB
  • #374
  • Mar 17, 2016 7:23am Mar 17, 2016 7:23am
Hi S ,gbp cad could be a bullish d1 now UC at support
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1 gbp CAD (DFB).png Size: 44 KB
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  • #375
  • Mar 17, 2016 7:35am Mar 17, 2016 7:35am
Quoting Bones
Hi S ,gbp cad could be a bullish d1 now UC at support {image}
Hi Bones,

Watching GBP against the AU and NZ similar setups to CAD. If they hold upward momentum today will finish with a nice reversal candle setup.

PS CAD and AUD early to tell but both seem to be getting some signs of easing.
  • #376
  • Mar 18, 2016 3:25pm Mar 18, 2016 3:25pm
one thing this chart likes is 600 pip ranges ,so long as low holds I prefer longs
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 gbp CAD d1 (DFB).png Size: 48 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 gbp CAD d1 2 (DFB).png Size: 39 KB
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  • #377
  • Mar 18, 2016 3:50pm Mar 18, 2016 3:50pm
well looks the most bullish index of all I have no idea whats driving it but were talking seriously overbought at res

Quoting Bones
just a matter of time before this up trend stops , {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 Wall Street (DFB).png Size: 41 KB
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  • #378
  • Mar 18, 2016 3:59pm Mar 18, 2016 3:59pm
Quoting Bones
one thing this chart likes is 600 pip ranges ,so long as low holds I prefer longs {image} {image}
Reversal of GBP/AUD is clearer
I ignore fools
  • #379
  • Mar 18, 2016 10:08pm Mar 18, 2016 10:08pm
Maybe it is time for AUD to reverse a little? AUDLFX touched the resistance and AUD/USD hit 61.8 both (larger one) and 161.8 (smaller one)?
USDLFX is in support too...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDLFXWeekly.png Size: 54 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 67 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDLFXDaily.png Size: 67 KB
  • #380
  • Edited 9:23am Mar 19, 2016 6:57am | Edited 9:23am
yes aud id rather sell than cad ,aud is the better tech currency ,normally I steer clear cad as an option,like eur over chf
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 gbp AUD w1 (DFB).png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 aud CAD (DFB).png Size: 23 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 gbp AUD (DFB).png Size: 35 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1 aud NZDw1 (DFB).png Size: 27 KB
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