Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
News trading discussion - continuation
- #2,301
- Mar 10, 2016 7:01am Mar 10, 2016 7:01am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
- #2,302
- Mar 10, 2016 7:39am Mar 10, 2016 7:39am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
ECB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,303
- Mar 10, 2016 9:35am Mar 10, 2016 9:35am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,304
- Mar 10, 2016 10:12am Mar 10, 2016 10:12am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,305
- Mar 10, 2016 1:41pm Mar 10, 2016 1:41pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,308
- Edited 11:16pm Mar 10, 2016 10:44pm | Edited 11:16pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
{quote} If CAD currency good, then USDCAD will go long, is that correct? thanks
If the CAD over the chart CAD USD dollar falls
our American friends make a bet:
At 8:30 am EST Canada will release Employment Change and Unemployment Rate.
We will focus on the Change. Expected at 10.2K after a prior of -5.7K.
Year everovody Luck!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,309
- Mar 10, 2016 10:55pm Mar 10, 2016 10:55pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
The first rule of news trader.
Do not believe the analysts.
Only the price on the chart can show you the precise trade entry
Do not believe the analysts.
Only the price on the chart can show you the precise trade entry
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,310
- Edited 11:13pm Mar 10, 2016 10:58pm | Edited 11:13pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,311
- Mar 11, 2016 8:01am Mar 11, 2016 8:01am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,312
- Edited Mar 12, 2016 2:12am Mar 11, 2016 12:16pm | Edited Mar 12, 2016 2:12am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Great weekend to everyone.
Inserted Video
Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,313
- Mar 12, 2016 2:36am Mar 12, 2016 2:36am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Euro "gop-stop" or 100P. there 300P. back
As we have warned them, ambiguous and a great day for the EUR took place in tandem with the dollar Europeans went down by 100 points, and returned 300 points back. In the first case the fall was due to lower interest rates and "all the rest", the second is to understand carefully.
The first wave
According to the results of the meeting of the ECB decided to:
- To reduce the refinancing rate to 0% (from 0.05%) - is not the forecast
- To reduce the deposit rate from -0.3% to -0.5% - forecast
- Lending rate was reduced from 0.3% to 0.25% - is not the forecast
- To expand the program of quantitative easing to 60 to 80 billion (according to the forecast), starting in April.
- In June, launched four new refinancing program TLTRO II - not quite as predicted
Despite the fact that the decision of the ECB to some extent surpassed market expectations (and correspondingly EURUSD declined to a figure), Mario Draghi, has managed to turn standby at a press conference.
The second wave
A good reason for the recovery of the EUR positions were the words of Mario Draghi that "he does not expect a further easing of interest rates," good, but not as critical as it was in reality - EUR rose by three figures ...
This phrase served as a good trigger for the hills, but it is worth to remain vigilant ... It is possible that Mario Draghi and the ECB representatives wish to mitigate this response markets further statements, and for what we advise you to watch. After Draghi's proposal consisted of two parts: we will not further reduce the on the current incoming data, but new facts can make a difference.
This broad action on the part of the ECB could also provoke thoughts about what the ECB tools exhausted, but Mario subtly remarked that "the ECB not to spend all the ammunition."
RBNZ unexpectedly cut interest rates
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly markets lowered the interest rate from 2.5% to 2.25%. This regulator has made it clear that a further decline is possible.
Markets have pledged 30% chance of a rate cut at the meeting in March, while analysts' forecasts were talking about the possibility of 35%. The actual decision was a surprise.
In an accompanying protocol noted
- From December forecasts deteriorated against the backdrop of China and Europe decline
- Commodity prices remain low Products
- The dairy sector in the country is facing difficulties
- Inflation forecasts lowered
Recall that all the markets were expecting two rate cuts of up to 2% by the end of the year, it seems that the next step will be taken in summer, against the publication of fresh inflation data. Quarterly GDP data will come as early as next week.
Euro "gop-stop" or 100P. there 300P. back
As we have warned them, ambiguous and a great day for the EUR took place in tandem with the dollar Europeans went down by 100 points, and returned 300 points back. In the first case the fall was due to lower interest rates and "all the rest", the second is to understand carefully.
The first wave
According to the results of the meeting of the ECB decided to:
- To reduce the refinancing rate to 0% (from 0.05%) - is not the forecast
- To reduce the deposit rate from -0.3% to -0.5% - forecast
- Lending rate was reduced from 0.3% to 0.25% - is not the forecast
- To expand the program of quantitative easing to 60 to 80 billion (according to the forecast), starting in April.
- In June, launched four new refinancing program TLTRO II - not quite as predicted
Despite the fact that the decision of the ECB to some extent surpassed market expectations (and correspondingly EURUSD declined to a figure), Mario Draghi, has managed to turn standby at a press conference.
The second wave
A good reason for the recovery of the EUR positions were the words of Mario Draghi that "he does not expect a further easing of interest rates," good, but not as critical as it was in reality - EUR rose by three figures ...
This phrase served as a good trigger for the hills, but it is worth to remain vigilant ... It is possible that Mario Draghi and the ECB representatives wish to mitigate this response markets further statements, and for what we advise you to watch. After Draghi's proposal consisted of two parts: we will not further reduce the on the current incoming data, but new facts can make a difference.
This broad action on the part of the ECB could also provoke thoughts about what the ECB tools exhausted, but Mario subtly remarked that "the ECB not to spend all the ammunition."
RBNZ unexpectedly cut interest rates
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly markets lowered the interest rate from 2.5% to 2.25%. This regulator has made it clear that a further decline is possible.
Markets have pledged 30% chance of a rate cut at the meeting in March, while analysts' forecasts were talking about the possibility of 35%. The actual decision was a surprise.
In an accompanying protocol noted
- From December forecasts deteriorated against the backdrop of China and Europe decline
- Commodity prices remain low Products
- The dairy sector in the country is facing difficulties
- Inflation forecasts lowered
Recall that all the markets were expecting two rate cuts of up to 2% by the end of the year, it seems that the next step will be taken in summer, against the publication of fresh inflation data. Quarterly GDP data will come as early as next week.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,314
- Mar 12, 2016 2:46pm Mar 12, 2016 2:46pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,315
- Mar 14, 2016 5:46am Mar 14, 2016 5:46am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Janet Yellen takes the baton to Mario Draghi this week.
Just three days last week brought to market more surprises than the whole march (but only so far), the current week is not going to graze the rear: the key event is the FOMC meeting press conference with Janet Yellen.
Mad volatility last week
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly cut interest rates, the ECB has applied a series of monetary policy measures, the Bank of Canada held a meeting and prepares to reduce its rate to what was already pushing the latest labor market data, and even more can push new budget published later.
Unemployment in Canada increased by 0.1% to 7.3%.
According to the minutes of the Bank of Canada, it means lower interest rates this year.
Flywheel surprises is gaining momentum.
The Fed's decision Wednesday
Fed clarifies the expectations of the markets that are in search of an answer to the main question of the year: if the interest rate Fedrez increase and how high? FOMC meeting held on Tuesday, Wednesday, respectively, at the end of it we will have a protocol, and the main press conference, Janet Yellen.
Current market expectations, and that the probability of 45% increase in June, may be adversely affected after the meeting, and at the time of the press conference that immediately affect the quotations USD.
To a large extent there is a risk reduction of expectations, as prices for raw materials remained at a low level, while China and the euro zone is not fed hopes for resistance. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate remains at a low 4.9%, core CPI jumped to 1.7% according to the results of February.
Quarterly GDP of New Zealand on Thursday
RBNZ cut its interest rate to 2.25%, while it is expected to decline to 2.0% later this year. Quarterly GDP growth is quite able to pull the strings to speed up this process. GDP is expected to decline from 0.9% the previous 0.7%, while the decline over the forecast can be perceived quite painful.
The labor market in Australia on Thursday
Reserve Bank of Australia may seem right now you do not attractive: RBA no signs of seeking to change the interest rate on iron ore prices have grown, nice statistics in the region do not stimulate to action. But in the current realities of the situation can change quickly. We recommend that you keep the attention on this central bank, the slightest rustle of negative expectations significantly shake.
The last release of the unemployment rate in Australia increased from 5.8% to 6.0%. Who knows what awaits us next - fresh labor market statistics will be published on Thursday night.
The likely reduction in the rate Norges Bank on Thursday
It is assumed that the interest rate after the ECB may reduce Norges Bank, some sources are already talking about a probable decrease from 0.75% to 0.5%. Publication of the regulator's decision on Thursday.
The decision of the Bank of England on Thursday
The last release McCafferty, the only voting "for" the rate increase, abandoned his intentions. This time, nothing serious to expect, but since this meeting of the Central Bank - the ear is better to keep eyes open. Probably, for this release will be a key meeting with the quarterly publication of the inflation report (12 May).
What else should not miss
Also, do not lose sight of the events are planned that could make an impression on quotes: retail sales from the US, the UK labor market, the index of consumer prices in Sweden and others in the calendar ...
PS Please note that the United States and Canada have switched to summer time.
Janet Yellen takes the baton to Mario Draghi this week.
Just three days last week brought to market more surprises than the whole march (but only so far), the current week is not going to graze the rear: the key event is the FOMC meeting press conference with Janet Yellen.
Mad volatility last week
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly cut interest rates, the ECB has applied a series of monetary policy measures, the Bank of Canada held a meeting and prepares to reduce its rate to what was already pushing the latest labor market data, and even more can push new budget published later.
Unemployment in Canada increased by 0.1% to 7.3%.
According to the minutes of the Bank of Canada, it means lower interest rates this year.
Flywheel surprises is gaining momentum.
The Fed's decision Wednesday
Fed clarifies the expectations of the markets that are in search of an answer to the main question of the year: if the interest rate Fedrez increase and how high? FOMC meeting held on Tuesday, Wednesday, respectively, at the end of it we will have a protocol, and the main press conference, Janet Yellen.
Current market expectations, and that the probability of 45% increase in June, may be adversely affected after the meeting, and at the time of the press conference that immediately affect the quotations USD.
To a large extent there is a risk reduction of expectations, as prices for raw materials remained at a low level, while China and the euro zone is not fed hopes for resistance. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate remains at a low 4.9%, core CPI jumped to 1.7% according to the results of February.
Quarterly GDP of New Zealand on Thursday
RBNZ cut its interest rate to 2.25%, while it is expected to decline to 2.0% later this year. Quarterly GDP growth is quite able to pull the strings to speed up this process. GDP is expected to decline from 0.9% the previous 0.7%, while the decline over the forecast can be perceived quite painful.
The labor market in Australia on Thursday
Reserve Bank of Australia may seem right now you do not attractive: RBA no signs of seeking to change the interest rate on iron ore prices have grown, nice statistics in the region do not stimulate to action. But in the current realities of the situation can change quickly. We recommend that you keep the attention on this central bank, the slightest rustle of negative expectations significantly shake.
The last release of the unemployment rate in Australia increased from 5.8% to 6.0%. Who knows what awaits us next - fresh labor market statistics will be published on Thursday night.
The likely reduction in the rate Norges Bank on Thursday
It is assumed that the interest rate after the ECB may reduce Norges Bank, some sources are already talking about a probable decrease from 0.75% to 0.5%. Publication of the regulator's decision on Thursday.
The decision of the Bank of England on Thursday
The last release McCafferty, the only voting "for" the rate increase, abandoned his intentions. This time, nothing serious to expect, but since this meeting of the Central Bank - the ear is better to keep eyes open. Probably, for this release will be a key meeting with the quarterly publication of the inflation report (12 May).
What else should not miss
Also, do not lose sight of the events are planned that could make an impression on quotes: retail sales from the US, the UK labor market, the index of consumer prices in Sweden and others in the calendar ...
PS Please note that the United States and Canada have switched to summer time.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,317
- Edited 11:15pm Mar 14, 2016 10:57pm | Edited 11:15pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
My first successful news trade!{image} {image}
A good start, my friend.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,318
- Edited Mar 15, 2016 12:27am Mar 14, 2016 11:01pm | Edited Mar 15, 2016 12:27am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
SE CPI
February 11 Swedes have reduced the interest rate to 0.5%. About additional stimulus measures from the European Central Bank, you have already heard, as well as, and that the ECB is now becoming a pause. And if the EUR continues to fall against the Swedish krona - may well not like the Riksbank.
A further reduction in inflationary pressures in Sweden Riksbank could trigger additional incentives.
Traditionally, part of the problem is the increase in the release of the spread at the time of the publication of news, which is to pay attention, in particular, pay attention to the correct setting indicator stop loss (so as not to engage the dispe.
US Core Retail Sales
For the dollar it will be important to hear Janet Yellen on Wednesday, the American will remain in suspense until this moment. Retail though is a special engine of progress for the United States (an increase of spending stimulates economic growth), but the current release poostorozhnichat better, because the two ends of the stick.
On the one hand, stress the currency could trigger a further surge of nervous, on the other hand - the most important event in the form of the Fed meeting is able to divert the attention and liquidity.
Good luck everybody!
February 11 Swedes have reduced the interest rate to 0.5%. About additional stimulus measures from the European Central Bank, you have already heard, as well as, and that the ECB is now becoming a pause. And if the EUR continues to fall against the Swedish krona - may well not like the Riksbank.
A further reduction in inflationary pressures in Sweden Riksbank could trigger additional incentives.
Traditionally, part of the problem is the increase in the release of the spread at the time of the publication of news, which is to pay attention, in particular, pay attention to the correct setting indicator stop loss (so as not to engage the dispe.
US Core Retail Sales
For the dollar it will be important to hear Janet Yellen on Wednesday, the American will remain in suspense until this moment. Retail though is a special engine of progress for the United States (an increase of spending stimulates economic growth), but the current release poostorozhnichat better, because the two ends of the stick.
On the one hand, stress the currency could trigger a further surge of nervous, on the other hand - the most important event in the form of the Fed meeting is able to divert the attention and liquidity.
Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,319
- Mar 15, 2016 3:39am Mar 15, 2016 3:39am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,320
- Mar 15, 2016 7:36am Mar 15, 2016 7:36am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,168 Posts | Online Now
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...