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AUDNZD

  • #661
  • Mar 9, 2016 12:43pm Mar 9, 2016 12:43pm
Quoting gezis
this could be the top,and push lower may be starting.My target would be 1.0875 {image}
hmm calling a top with M5 RSI divergence. I'd wait for 4-6 trading sessions instead. Yea AN came too far too soon but it ain't mean shit. It could still go on and on bro.
  • #662
  • Mar 9, 2016 12:44pm Mar 9, 2016 12:44pm
Quoting goldfinger
If CNY cpi is better than expected will it bring the gold down big time? Stock markets will be flying high .
Probably AUD will go down. Just waiting for AUDCHF break of 0.7444
If that breaks I am in big time.
  • #663
  • Mar 9, 2016 12:47pm Mar 9, 2016 12:47pm
a good trader above called a correct H&S pattern on AN a while ago, here's a recap on montly chart. this could go a long way North.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #664
  • Mar 9, 2016 12:52pm Mar 9, 2016 12:52pm
Quoting attilafx
{quote} Probably AUD will go down. Just waiting for AUDCHF break of 0.7444 If that breaks I am in big time.
I see what you mean, however price structure on daily does not confirm the turn just yet. No clear direction yet.
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  • #665
  • Mar 9, 2016 12:57pm Mar 9, 2016 12:57pm
apparently AC price is stuck @ 50 ML of the pitchfork on daily. Don't mean it won't push higher though.
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  • #666
  • Mar 9, 2016 12:58pm Mar 9, 2016 12:58pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} hmm calling a top with M5 RSI divergence. I'd wait for 4-6 trading sessions instead. Yea AN came too far too soon but it ain't mean shit. It could still go on and on bro.
where do you see M5 and RSI?
  • #667
  • Edited 1:14pm Mar 9, 2016 1:02pm | Edited 1:14pm
Quoting asgcorp
a good trader above called a correct H&S pattern on AN a while ago, here's a recap on montly chart. this could go a long way North. {image}
Yes, but what I'm watching is the resistance from 1.1250 to 1.1400 zone. If commodities have a bad day etc I think it will fail. On the other side a break of the weekly neckline would give a projection of about 1400 pips higher. Which is also possible. For me I just have to be patient.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #668
  • Mar 9, 2016 1:02pm Mar 9, 2016 1:02pm
Quoting gezis
{quote} where do you see M5 and RSI?
well then post clearly what timeframe you are using on the chart as noone can see it. If that's you strat jumping on the tracks of the speedtrain, good for you bro.
  • #669
  • Mar 9, 2016 1:07pm Mar 9, 2016 1:07pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} well then post clearly what timeframe you are using on the chart as noone can see it. If that's you strat jumping on the tracks of the speedtrain, good for you bro.
by the times below the chart you can see it''s 1min chart.and you can see the name of indicator
  • #670
  • Mar 9, 2016 1:11pm Mar 9, 2016 1:11pm
1320 is next up on AN
  • #671
  • Mar 9, 2016 1:12pm Mar 9, 2016 1:12pm
AUD/NZD 1.1250

Got this one well wrong as thought RBA would have cut first but no the RBNZ is smarter.

The cost of holding the short AUD/NZD position by yield is positive so at least that's on my side.

What we do know is that the Australian economy is performing below expectations and sooner than later the gloss will be off the Aussie.
  • #672
  • Mar 10, 2016 1:25am Mar 10, 2016 1:25am
Quoting gezis
{quote} where do you see M5 and RSI?
gezis I must apologize. Clearly well done spotting that divergence. So kudos to you my friend.
  • #673
  • Edited 3:24pm Mar 10, 2016 3:12am | Edited 3:24pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} gezis I must apologize. Clearly well done spotting that divergence. So kudos to you my friend.
There is still a possibility of stop run above 1.1280.Apology accepted,green arrows to you
Update:this hidden divergence that showed up yesterday,at some point may trigger the rally above highs to 1.1300
Longer term on OBV calls for further down move with targets 1.0850
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #674
  • Mar 14, 2016 8:10am Mar 14, 2016 8:10am
Another regular divergence calling for a move lower,but for now it is in correction
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #675
  • Mar 14, 2016 6:58pm Mar 14, 2016 6:58pm
Never get these on AUD/NZD but it just popped up so i will share

Sell @1.1259 sl 1.1286

We are back up to a long wick so looking for a test of the high and then back down, RSI is very overbought. Realistically back down to 1.115 but if we get a rate cut from AUD (which was mentioned in the minutes tonight). 1.097-1.100 is not out of the picture.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #676
  • Mar 14, 2016 8:07pm Mar 14, 2016 8:07pm
Quoting swimmax
Never get these on AUD/NZD but it just popped up so i will share Sell @1.1259 sl 1.1286 We are back up to a long wick so looking for a test of the high and then back down, RSI is very overbought. Realistically back down to 1.115 but if we get a rate cut from AUD (which was mentioned in the minutes tonight). 1.097-1.100 is not out of the picture. {image}
I think you are right on this scenario ... Good luck
  • #677
  • Mar 15, 2016 7:09am Mar 15, 2016 7:09am
Quoting lasty
{quote} I think you are right on this scenario ... Good luck
Thanks!

Got my entry,.... lets see if we can get the exit, already to BE so no loss here. First target hit so only second position still standing
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  • #678
  • Mar 15, 2016 10:21am Mar 15, 2016 10:21am
I love the aud here, particularly if we get a sustained break above today's highs. I wouldn't add more at these levels (1.13), but I'd buy discounts in the low 1.12s/high 1.11s. My trade is obviously longer term..
  • #679
  • Mar 17, 2016 8:35am Mar 17, 2016 8:35am
did anyone else get an ohhh 27 pip spread during the FOMC? didn't think that would affect this currency but it did

got SO at BE and missed a reentry because it immeditaley dove lower again.. i should be +128 pips into this thing
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  • #680
  • Mar 17, 2016 9:49am Mar 17, 2016 9:49am
Quoting checkmytrade
I love the aud here, particularly if we get a sustained break above today's highs. I wouldn't add more at these levels (1.13), but I'd buy discounts in the low 1.12s/high 1.11s. My trade is obviously longer term..
don't fall in love with the currency.Could test far lower.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
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