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  • #1,060,341
  • Mar 6, 2016 11:43am Mar 6, 2016 11:43am
Quoting mahfoozah
when clients earn profits and withdraw, who pays them eventually... i mean broker does not pay from its own pocket right? so there is some one else.. who??? my account in BAL does not allow withdrawals through credit card they wont let me transfer received profits on credit card to bank account or credit card (they consider it money laundering).. so for now i m on skrill.. how you guys in Pakistan do it ???
Which broker do you have?
Drawdown is more important than Account Size !
  • #1,060,342
  • Mar 6, 2016 11:57am Mar 6, 2016 11:57am
Will short EUR/USD and EUR/GBP at the open today for the ECB release THU. MARCH 10. Expecting 1.05 for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP back to .7450.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,060,343
  • Mar 6, 2016 12:19pm Mar 6, 2016 12:19pm
agree with last poster, according to my fib analysis, Euro has not seen the bottom yet,
I am pretty sure of that, it simply must come down,
but uncertain if price still could make new highs before that happen.
Bulls are stupid Animals!especially when Im short!
  • #1,060,344
  • Mar 6, 2016 12:27pm Mar 6, 2016 12:27pm
Quoting roughtrader
agree with last poster, according to my fib analysis, Euro has not seen the bottom yet, I am pretty sure of that, it simply must come down, but uncertain if price still could make new highs before that happen.
A couple weeks leading up to last DEC. 3rd EUR continually sold off until the 500 pip squeeze with EUR/USD. Now it's kind of standing still giving a very false signal of resilliance as if we will have a repeat of that squeeze. With the market very unimpressed by the last package this time the powers that be will get their way and sink it.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #1,060,345
  • Mar 6, 2016 1:04pm Mar 6, 2016 1:04pm
My next levels:

Support: 1.0810; 1.0730;

Resistance: 1.0975; 1.1100; 1.1286;
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.jpg Size: 316 KB
  • #1,060,346
  • Mar 6, 2016 1:06pm Mar 6, 2016 1:06pm
Well, let's honor our girl's days - 6-th for the UK, and 8-th for the Eastern Europe:
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  • #1,060,347
  • Mar 6, 2016 1:40pm Mar 6, 2016 1:40pm
Quoting Marco-Kanto
{quote} Hi Bear - which broker do you use?
fxcm
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #1,060,348
  • Mar 6, 2016 3:31pm Mar 6, 2016 3:31pm
Nice gap down on EURUSD for the open, currently at 1.09848
  • #1,060,349
  • Mar 6, 2016 3:33pm Mar 6, 2016 3:33pm
don't mean much, gaps get filled most times.
  • #1,060,350
  • Mar 6, 2016 3:37pm Mar 6, 2016 3:37pm
Quoting asgcorp
don't mean much, gaps get filled most times.
Yup, might be filled for a few hours (though I doubt it since its almost 40 pips big), but will be revisited later on usually to, so are clearly going down for now.
  • #1,060,351
  • Mar 6, 2016 3:40pm Mar 6, 2016 3:40pm
Quoting geektrader
{quote} Yup, might be filled for a few hours (though I doubt it since its almost 40 pips big), but will be revisited later on usually to, so are clearly going down for now.
yeah exactly. I'd rather wait for price to test the gap and then go short since overall you are right EU direction is down post Friday move, thin week for news, before ECB kicks in later this week. EU is pretty weak compared to GU for instance.
  • #1,060,352
  • Mar 6, 2016 3:42pm Mar 6, 2016 3:42pm
Quoting asgcorp
don't mean much, gaps get filled most times.
yea especially with no news nothing.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #1,060,353
  • Mar 6, 2016 3:46pm Mar 6, 2016 3:46pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} yeah exactly. I'd rather wait for price to test the gap and then go short since overall you are right EU direction is down post Friday move, thin week for news, before ECB kicks in later this week. EU is pretty weak compared to GU for instance.
Yup, I take both, the fill of the gap but the revisit of the gap low

@Rtm: yea, but I´ve noticed the markets move considerable without news too Otherwise we´d have a straight sideways line, then news with a spike and the next sideways line until the next news. That´s not how it works (luckily) - people trade on rumour and assumptions and feelings all the time, hence even such a gap is absolutely valid and does not neccessarily need to be closed.
  • #1,060,354
  • Mar 6, 2016 4:02pm Mar 6, 2016 4:02pm
Quoting geektrader
{quote} Yup, I take both, the fill of the gap but the revisit of the gap low @Rtm: yea, but Ive noticed the markets move considerable without news too Otherwise wed have a straight sideways line, then news with a spike and the next sideways line until the next news. Thats not how it works (luckily) - people trade on rumour and assumptions and feelings all the time, hence even such a gap is absolutely valid and does not neccessarily need to be closed.
Ok well I will go long.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #1,060,355
  • Mar 6, 2016 4:09pm Mar 6, 2016 4:09pm
au is already gap filling the 40 points )))
  • #1,060,356
  • Mar 6, 2016 4:24pm Mar 6, 2016 4:24pm
AU was in uptrend for ages now, no wonder its filling the USD gap with more AU power EURUSD is doing nothing to fill the gap though, just as I thought.

@RTM: really wish good luck to you. My system is short, so I have to say I am looking for down. But I gladly give you the money if it won´t work out, hope you´ll do the same to me in case yours doesn´t work out Happy trading everyone!
  • #1,060,357
  • Mar 6, 2016 5:26pm Mar 6, 2016 5:26pm
could move up at the start of the week,but looks like Draghi could deliver something and EURUSD dive below 1.0825
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,060,358
  • Mar 6, 2016 5:35pm Mar 6, 2016 5:35pm
Quoting gezis
could move up at the start of the week,but looks like Draghi could deliver something and EURUSD dive below 1.0825 {image}
how do you figure this other than by drawing a bunch of lines on a chart and reading the click bait
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #1,060,359
  • Mar 6, 2016 5:39pm Mar 6, 2016 5:39pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} how do you figure this other than by drawing a bunch of lines on a chart and reading the click bait
OBV made a new low on friday below the low of OBV when price bottomed
  • #1,060,360
  • Edited 6:12pm Mar 6, 2016 5:42pm | Edited 6:12pm
closing EUR long (although could go higher, JPY looks more attractive)

keeping GBP long
re-allocating heavier into JPY shorts

now essentially long GBPJPY (although about twice as heavy into JPY as GBP because I think JPY has catching up to do)
50 cars GBP is about 30 lot spot FX. 50 cars JPY is about 60 lot spot FX.
GBPJPY should correct at least to the mid of this recent 2000 pip fall.


will double up UJ @ 112.65 if it happens to fall this week, before it rallies.

stops under 111 for first half, 112.65 pending will have stop @ 112

target 115.45/95 and GBP 4450
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
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