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  • #1,057,201
  • Feb 17, 2016 1:51pm Feb 17, 2016 1:51pm
China CPI less than 4 hours , just in case
  • #1,057,202
  • Feb 17, 2016 1:54pm Feb 17, 2016 1:54pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
I'm thinking long E/U. Now 1.1125....... I foresee a push up
careful. 22 is a major fib level that has already been breached. U/J and stock index futures are still very strong and reluctant to give up yesterday's gain. me thinks there's a lot of foreign funds converted into dollars and euros buying up intl stocks (they already bought up a boatload of foreign bonds last week), you know who

should be "converted into dollars and euros" original post had a typo

smart money will usually not be buying up at minutes before close after definite down swing, since there's swaps to be paid, makes more since to wait a few minutes until after open, so any up swing at close at/near 25 is just daily close outs of existing shorts... long losses, since existing shorts would get a positive swap.

I think more selling after the open...just my opinion.
  • #1,057,203
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:06pm Feb 17, 2016 2:06pm
Quoting edyraper
China CPI less than 4 hours , just in case
also au data, as posted market is in range mode, cable geppy and uj all printed daily dogi,s not surprisingly 1.4300 163 00 and 114 00 psych levels can be a pain totrade, but they also good indicators to be careful or sidelines
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #1,057,204
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:10pm Feb 17, 2016 2:10pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} also au data, as posted market is in range mode, cable geppy and uj all printed daily dogi,s not surprisingly 1.4300 163 00 and 114 00 psych levels can be a pain totrade, but they also good indicators to be careful or sidelines
thanks for the update
Regards
  • #1,057,206
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:23pm Feb 17, 2016 2:23pm
Quoting Pipologist
{quote} Personally, I'm interested in EUR index and DXY calculations that DO NOT include the EUR/USD pair, especially since in the case of DXY, the EUR/USD is heavily weighed (too heavily if one is trying to use it to scalp EUR/USD, since it just becomes a poor reflection of EUR/USD). A modified DXY or EUR index without the EUR/USD might prove more insightful to compare pending moves in the EUR/USD, as it would gauge moves in the EUR or USD outside the EUR/USD pair. The trick is to find a significant correlated balance of instruments to calculate...
Which is exactly why your input would be valuable, that's an angle not many would think of but it would add significant insight. A non EUR/USD Euro Index would definitely have its own mood but it would also open up other trading opportunities.
When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • #1,057,207
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:31pm Feb 17, 2016 2:31pm
Quoting jereajali
NOT - KPMG, on what basis? like to know your view.
Hi all. Good posts above too..... I have some idea about stock market correlated to several currencies. Let's wait until Thursday evening to see my long idea unfolds....if it happen. Then i can share without being laughed at.
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,057,208
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:37pm Feb 17, 2016 2:37pm
Listen, People don't know where this is going... But what I can tell you is that the daily stochastic measures point to the down side coming very soon. It seems due to pop down quick near 1.10xxx

I'm going to stay short and tighten the stops.

+150 pips so far
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #1,057,209
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:47pm Feb 17, 2016 2:47pm
before go to bed,chart say eu more bullish then brearish
  • #1,057,210
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:48pm Feb 17, 2016 2:48pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Hi all. Good posts above too..... I have some idea about stock market correlated to several currencies. Let's wait until Thursday evening to see my long idea unfolds....if it happen. Then i can share without being laughed at.
Right now normal correlations and timing of correlations are skewed because of massive ninja moves by the BOJ.

Last 2 weeks for them it was sell yen and buy foreign denominated bonds, which towards the end of the first week, they announced that they weren't done with that, however, last 2 weeks saw strange gyrations in the US stock market as well while U/J was going down and stocks were ticking up, if you read between the lines, it can be extrapolated that BOJ was also buying US stocks at the time, with JPY they just announced would be worth less. I believe they also jumped on the Euro stocks bandwagon after the severe gap down in the DAX yesterday. The whole thing is to prop up the Nikkei...foreign stock markets up equals Nikkei up too. The weaker yen play has been played out and dangerous if played too far, so they decided to buy foreign assets with their own cash in Yen, while making the yen cheaper at the same time, instead. It's a diabolical move, borrowed from the "bubble years" (problem is they have no bubble) but as long as they keep making nice cars, Tvs, and computers, and as long as their economy is in the red, they will play this new playbook. As I said, it's a diabolical move, but no one in the G7 can say "hey, you're manipulating", because they will say "hey, we told you and announced what we're doing, and the market still considers the yen a safe haven, so we're not contributing to volatility, we're just supporting the global economy."

With that, the US stock market should hit a NEW HIGH this year...CFTC data has NOT SHOWN peak retail buying yet, so it aint crashing just yet.

Right or wrong, for now, this will be my last post on this thread.
  • #1,057,211
  • Edited 4:28pm Feb 17, 2016 3:02pm | Edited 4:28pm
same plan as yesterday asian session looking to sell gj uj cable and maybe even buy some eu, did ok yesterday and dont see why it wont again today, au data in 90mins

au data in couple of minutes, pa is hinting it maybe crap,
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #1,057,212
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:09pm Feb 17, 2016 3:09pm
best 1 day performance... ever. The FED basically screamed at the oil and equities market, make a correction or we won't hike.

note to new traders. it may take you a while to learn this, but it will be worth it

you have to spend hours (even days), just waiting and watching the m15/1hour chart to find that perfect entry

then, you have to spend hours (or even days or weeks), just watching the profit build and not being impatient, and let the trade run on the daily/weekly

this is how the best traders trade.

this crude is worth holding onto (look at the weekly)
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Attached Image
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,057,213
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:14pm Feb 17, 2016 3:14pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
best 1 day performance... ever. The FED basically screamed at the oil and equities market, make a correction or we won't hike. note to new traders. it may take you a while to learn this, but it will be worth it you have to spend hours (even days), just waiting and watching the m15/1hour chart to find that perfect entry then, you have to spend hours (or even days or weeks), just watching the profit build and not being impatient, and let the trade run on the daily/weekly this is how the best traders trade. this crude is worth holding onto (look at...
Nice trades. I caught cl not es.
Money Talks, Bullshit Walks
  • #1,057,214
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:14pm Feb 17, 2016 3:14pm
Lets see if there is any new fundamentals that causes the EURUSD to move, because so far it has been very undecided.
  • #1,057,215
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:20pm Feb 17, 2016 3:20pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
same plan as yesterday asian session looking to sell gj uj cable and maybe even buy some eu, did ok yesterday and dont see why it wont again today, au data in 90mins
cable is stressed to the max, last 3 hr candles dojis yesterday was 3 4hr dojis really really compressed todays open was bang on doji body, cheap as shit entry eithr way if one was so incling, I prefer leaning with present trend down monthly weekly dailly
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #1,057,216
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:33pm Feb 17, 2016 3:33pm
equities still ripping. USDJPY bulls also really taking off. oil just broker resistance, looking like full risk on too late now to enter imo.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #1,057,217
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:39pm Feb 17, 2016 3:39pm
Short USOIL @ 31,60 R1 tight stop
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #1,057,218
  • Feb 17, 2016 3:52pm Feb 17, 2016 3:52pm
Quoting USD-Bear
Short USOIL @ 31,60 R1 tight stop
share chart?
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #1,057,219
  • Feb 17, 2016 4:17pm Feb 17, 2016 4:17pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} share chart?
USOil M15:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #1,057,220
  • Feb 17, 2016 4:19pm Feb 17, 2016 4:19pm
1.1187 proving to be a touch nut for price to crack. Hope you are all enjoying the ride down.
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