Thoughts on "smart traders"
Week without water or broke Yellen.
Janet Yellen
The key event of the week was a speech by Janet Yellen before Congress finally all the points are placed on the Ğiğ.
The turning point of speech:
- The role of wages is exaggerated, it is an important, but not the main argument of the monetary policy regulation. Growth znachtosti prevailed in low-paid sectors of the economy, which in general does not guarantee a stable indicator of the overall revenue growth.
- The committee discussed and assess the implementation of negative interest rates, the possibility of the introduction of which is not excluded, but not necessarily
- Politics The Fed should not be a pre-defined scenario
According to the results of the report, Janet Yellen, Fed Governor, the probability of rate hikes in March, missing, and ranges from 0% to 5%, which is reflected in this week's prices, as earlier price was laid down 30% chance of a rate hike at the end of the first quarter of 2016. also significantly increased the proportion of the global variable in the assessment of proposed actions FOMC.
A key turning point of the likely increase scheduled for June.
Such uncertainty - creates additional prospects in trading.
Dry British statistics
Statistics notes decline in industrial production:
Manufacturing Production m / m -0.2% vs. 0.0%
Industrial Production m / m -1.1% vs. -0.1%
Key Statistics Next week: inflation, the labor market and retail sales.
RBA remains at the
Governor of the Central Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens speaks positively about the economy, positively assesses the state of employment. It reminds of the possibility of a rate cut, if necessary (it is out of the "standard phrases"). Concerned about China.
Key Statistics Next week: the labor market statistics.
Riksbank prepares for ECB action
Riksbank lowers the interest rate to -0.5%, Norgesbankwill hold its meeting on 17 March. Additional rate cutspromises and the European Central Bank.
Changes in market expectations, as a hint to us on a similar behavior in 2015, when the rise in the Fed rate (at the time of the first) is expected in March 2015, which could mean a repetition of the history and define the main trading focus on the "spring-summer", and in this year as well.
Week without water or broke Yellen.
Janet Yellen
The key event of the week was a speech by Janet Yellen before Congress finally all the points are placed on the Ğiğ.
The turning point of speech:
- The role of wages is exaggerated, it is an important, but not the main argument of the monetary policy regulation. Growth znachtosti prevailed in low-paid sectors of the economy, which in general does not guarantee a stable indicator of the overall revenue growth.
- The committee discussed and assess the implementation of negative interest rates, the possibility of the introduction of which is not excluded, but not necessarily
- Politics The Fed should not be a pre-defined scenario
According to the results of the report, Janet Yellen, Fed Governor, the probability of rate hikes in March, missing, and ranges from 0% to 5%, which is reflected in this week's prices, as earlier price was laid down 30% chance of a rate hike at the end of the first quarter of 2016. also significantly increased the proportion of the global variable in the assessment of proposed actions FOMC.
A key turning point of the likely increase scheduled for June.
Such uncertainty - creates additional prospects in trading.
Dry British statistics
Statistics notes decline in industrial production:
Manufacturing Production m / m -0.2% vs. 0.0%
Industrial Production m / m -1.1% vs. -0.1%
Key Statistics Next week: inflation, the labor market and retail sales.
RBA remains at the
Governor of the Central Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens speaks positively about the economy, positively assesses the state of employment. It reminds of the possibility of a rate cut, if necessary (it is out of the "standard phrases"). Concerned about China.
Key Statistics Next week: the labor market statistics.
Riksbank prepares for ECB action
Riksbank lowers the interest rate to -0.5%, Norgesbankwill hold its meeting on 17 March. Additional rate cutspromises and the European Central Bank.
Changes in market expectations, as a hint to us on a similar behavior in 2015, when the rise in the Fed rate (at the time of the first) is expected in March 2015, which could mean a repetition of the history and define the main trading focus on the "spring-summer", and in this year as well.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
