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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #20,001
  • Feb 12, 2016 12:48pm Feb 12, 2016 12:48pm
Quoting Forexcube
DAX, Long @ 8'865 (4x) ...favored aspects after the yesterday's daily hammer IMO. FXcube
#19'979

Exit @ 8'936, +71 (x4 = 284)
  • #20,002
  • Feb 12, 2016 1:26pm Feb 12, 2016 1:26pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-02-12 US30cash1.png Size: 51 KB
  • #20,003
  • Feb 12, 2016 7:31pm Feb 12, 2016 7:31pm
Someone in Germany knew something in advance as they rallied first. Had I still had my bounce position I would have made good money on it but the stop loss sell order sold my position and after it had sole the other day on its way down it bounced back up after
  • #20,004
  • Feb 13, 2016 6:34am Feb 13, 2016 6:34am
Possible bottom already according to Tom De Mark
http://www.businessinsider.com/tom-d...-feb-11-2016-2
  • #20,005
  • Feb 14, 2016 2:31pm Feb 14, 2016 2:31pm
Quoting stylinex
Possible bottom already according to Tom De Mark http://www.businessinsider.com/tom-d...-feb-11-2016-2

I don't think so, the financial markets are in the crapper!

In my view we are going to see much larger moves down on the Dow, SP500, Dax! Of course on the way down we will get retracements!!

D...
  • #20,006
  • Feb 15, 2016 1:21am Feb 15, 2016 1:21am
So many times I've seen a large candle shoot through the 200sma on 1M TF exactly one minute before (refer to arrow in diagram) Pre-trade (Frankfurt Open) Hour starts, and then it usually goes for +30 to +70pts higher in the space of minutes once the session opens.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax30.png Size: 69 KB
  • #20,007
  • Feb 15, 2016 1:49am Feb 15, 2016 1:49am
I see no particular reason why this should not push higher this morning, so I think the money should be on longs at the London open, though they should sell it down a little bit so as to buy it back up. R3 is not far above at 9,234, so that's a potential resistance level, and above that the next line of R I have is the H2 200ema @ 338. Above that, it's the H4 100sma @ 426, which is just below the 61.8% fib taken from the Jan 27th high. would make for an exceptionally strong day.
  • #20,008
  • Feb 15, 2016 2:06am Feb 15, 2016 2:06am
Quoting PariCovek
So many times I've seen a large candle shoot through the 200sma on 1M TF exactly one minute before (refer to arrow in diagram) Pre-trade (Frankfurt Open) Hour starts, and then it usually goes for +30 to +70pts higher in the space of minutes once the session opens. {image}
Good observation.... well worth keeping in mind at that time...THKS
  • #20,009
  • Feb 15, 2016 2:10am Feb 15, 2016 2:10am
DAX
all seems possible
> 9'320 then down again or further up?
...or down just now...?
Not the time to trade for me, today.
Daila, Weekly & Monthly chart are in an imbalance with no clear picture of probability calculations, IMO.
Maybe some scalping events.
Let's see.
I wish you green pips.
FXcube
  • #20,010
  • Feb 15, 2016 2:42am Feb 15, 2016 2:42am
Looks like Dax up to 9260 den will look for shorts, ithink today can down hard and thick
  • #20,011
  • Feb 15, 2016 2:50am Feb 15, 2016 2:50am
Quoting acit
Looks like Dax up to 9260 den will look for shorts, ithink today can down hard and thick
What exactly makes you think that?
  • #20,012
  • Feb 15, 2016 2:55am Feb 15, 2016 2:55am
Nasdaq almost reach fibo 61.8% retrace on weekly candle, Dax is almost reaching 61.8% of the daily candle and in Dax we still have daily pattern for short from weekly sma200 to sma 300..

Plus today we have Draghi speech..but i need to see how it reacts at price 9260..
  • #20,013
  • Feb 15, 2016 3:07am Feb 15, 2016 3:07am
Quoting acit
Nasdaq almost reach fibo 61.8% retrace on weekly candle, Dax is almost reaching 61.8% of the daily candle and in Dax we still have daily pattern for short from weekly sma200 to sma 300.. Plus today we have Draghi speech..but i need to see how it reacts at price 9260..
I've plotted my fibs from the H4 chart which gives a 50% of 9,314, and a 61.8% at 9,460. Last Wednesday we fell away hard from the H1 descending 100sma, so that was no surprise in a downtrend, but we have no such descending MAs now below the H2 200ema @ 9,336, and we are now above the H1 200ema, which should now offer some support, so I am not expecting a sell off today, especially as today is a US bank holiday. Rather, the Dax looks set to continue higher, or at least this looks a lot more likely than a sell off, which is not on technically. Just my point of view
  • #20,014
  • Feb 15, 2016 3:44am Feb 15, 2016 3:44am
Quoting cat
{quote} I've plotted my fibs from the H4 chart which gives a 50% of 9,314, and a 61.8% at 9,460. Last Wednesday we fell away hard from the H1 descending 100sma, so that was no surprise in a downtrend, but we have no such descending MAs now below the H2 200ema @ 9,336, and we are now above the H1 200ema, which should now offer some support, so I am not expecting a sell off today, especially as today is a US bank holiday. Rather, the Dax looks set to continue higher, or at least this looks a lot more likely than a sell off, which is not on technically....
I think we can get to 20SMA on Daily, in the next day or two. Around 9400. So for me, its buy the dip until then.
  • #20,015
  • Feb 15, 2016 3:47am Feb 15, 2016 3:47am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} I think we can get to 20SMA on Daily, in the next day or two. Around 9400. So for me, its buy the dip until then.
I'd second that, it's looking strong.
  • #20,016
  • Feb 15, 2016 4:01am Feb 15, 2016 4:01am
Quoting cat
{quote} I've plotted my fibs from the H4 chart which gives a 50% of 9,314, and a 61.8% at 9,460. Last Wednesday we fell away hard from the H1 descending 100sma, so that was no surprise in a downtrend, but we have no such descending MAs now below the H2 200ema @ 9,336, and we are now above the H1 200ema, which should now offer some support, so I am not expecting a sell off today, especially as today is a US bank holiday. Rather, the Dax looks set to continue higher, or at least this looks a lot more likely than a sell off, which is not on technically....
Sorry my bad, its Dax fibo 100% @ 9250. It can still go down from there or up to next fibo 61.8..im not buyimg or selling atm..
  • #20,017
  • Feb 15, 2016 4:09am Feb 15, 2016 4:09am
Quoting acit
{quote} Sorry my bad, its Dax fibo 100% @ 9250. It can still go down from there or up to next fibo 61.8..im not buyimg or selling atm..
No probs!
  • #20,018
  • Feb 15, 2016 5:49am Feb 15, 2016 5:49am
Usually when US futures are up,Nikkei is up over 1000 points,Hang Seng is up over 500 points the DAX is going up with most likely no pullbacks especially when it opens green on the first trading day of the week where it had gone down for two weeks straight.
  • #20,019
  • Feb 15, 2016 5:58am Feb 15, 2016 5:58am
Quoting stylinex
Usually when US futures are up,Nikkei is up over 1000 points,Hang Seng is up over 500 points the DAX is going up with most likely no pullbacks especially when it opens green on the first trading day of the week where it had gone down for two weeks straight.
These days on the Dax where it moves slowly with little pullbacks and sits above 200sma, and importantly 200sma is on upward slope and if you notice the PA its moving in steps-up, this thing is definitely going higher at least to 20sma on Daily, unless we get a sudden appreciation on EUR, but that looks flat or mildly bearish if anything.
  • #20,020
  • Feb 15, 2016 6:02am Feb 15, 2016 6:02am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} These days on the Dax where it moves slowly with little pullbacks and sits above 200sma, and importantly 200sma is on upward slope and if you notice the PA its moving in steps-up, this thing is definitely going higher at least to 20sma on Daily, unless we get a sudden appreciation on EUR, but that looks flat or mildly bearish if anything.
Gold has been dropping,oil climbing back and DAX slowly moving back up again.
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