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  • #1,054,841
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:05pm Feb 5, 2016 2:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its not normal times.. euro as a funding currency adds another unknown to euro.. gbp may be better now. because the euro has this added equity volatility pressure. st a LL sets up 0961... but a LL should bounce sometime before 0961 to current 1136 level.. today is already beyond adr.. 1140 may be a s/r.. ny closing below 1140 is probably more bearish, less bullish today.
I see. I have taken your point into consideration. I have closed that position. Its going nowhere. So i am watching atm.
  • #1,054,842
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:06pm Feb 5, 2016 2:06pm
Quoting MarkoTrd
{quote} SL?
3 pips under ema100@1min
  • #1,054,843
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:09pm Feb 5, 2016 2:09pm
Quoting TheFxAnalyst
{quote} I graduated in 85 so my exposure to Volker was limited to what the WSJ was reporting and it was beyond me at that point. These days, I don't really think about the figures too much, they kind of just are what they are with regards to the modeling. If the market reacts to them I'll adjust the input biasing a little if they don't I'll turn it down. For me it's the difference between what I believe the fundamental rate actually is versus where rates are actually at... In that differential, for me, lies the opportunity to speculate. I'm not...
i haven't paid much attention today.. the 10 year last i looked was about 2%. there is a formula with the 5 year i tried to develop using history to see if its viable.
uj 5k over norm, the 5y model i am kicking around. and even plain old index of several lean toward correction in stocks heavily weighted to asia and europe.. the u.s to less a degree to 2013 levels. i dont have a sure fire bounce point, i haven't been smart enough to pinpoint yet. mostly in places like 1115 is where happens eu wise. but a dead cat on stocks like dax usually happens before a fall like 6258.. i used u.s. market in july and just transferred that to other markets. i added copper for a world thermometer, have a eye on #2 copper dont hurt looking at china. its been in the works for 5 years against china's posted figures. so i know china is bs.. it all points in one direction.

the dead cat is my problem.. when does it start? dax is possible 10857+ but drop is about 30% after. i may be full of shit.. if i am let me know in a few years. if i am right, let me know too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,054,844
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:09pm Feb 5, 2016 2:09pm
Quoting EmmeLegend
{quote} 3 pips under ema100@1min
Wrong.

Gbpusd up.
  • #1,054,845
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:12pm Feb 5, 2016 2:12pm
Quoting MarkoTrd
{quote} Wrong. Gbpusd up.
?
  • #1,054,846
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:21pm Feb 5, 2016 2:21pm
Quoting Ned15
1.11160 will finish for today
I highly doubt we see such a big move down before EOD today.
  • #1,054,847
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:38pm Feb 5, 2016 2:38pm
Quoting geektrader
{quote} I highly doubt we see such a big move down before EOD today.

Market will be close in 1h 30m , can happen weary easy.
  • #1,054,848
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:40pm Feb 5, 2016 2:40pm
Quoting Freelve
{quote} I see. I have taken your point into consideration. I have closed that position. Its going nowhere. So i am watching atm.
copper near getting closer to that 2.148 top today. 2.138. atm level 2.092. equity drops can raise euro is the wildcard.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,054,849
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:41pm Feb 5, 2016 2:41pm
Quoting Ned15
{quote} Market will be close in 1h 30m , can happen weary easy.
I won´t go down that much, I assure you.
  • #1,054,850
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:46pm Feb 5, 2016 2:46pm
gold
  • #1,054,851
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:47pm Feb 5, 2016 2:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} copper near getting closer to that 2.148 top today. 2.138. atm level 2.092. equity drops can raise euro is the wildcard.
Also China is reporting it's FX reserves on Monday. If the numbers are bad/unexpected to the downside, could the selloff in equities continue ? (As sisse said, a test of the recent lows?)
Therefore a possible risk-off sentiment could persist, and eur and jen could rally further.
What makes it interesting is that China is also celebrating it's New Year all week, so they would react to nfp/euro/us data after a week ?
  • #1,054,852
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:49pm Feb 5, 2016 2:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its not normal times.. euro as a funding currency adds another unknown to euro.. gbp may be better now. because the euro has this added equity volatility pressure. st a LL sets up 0961... but a LL should bounce sometime before 0961 to current 1136 level.. today is already beyond adr.. 1140 may be a s/r.. ny closing below 1140 is probably more bearish, less bullish today.
sneaking up.. last h close was above 1140
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,054,853
  • Feb 5, 2016 2:53pm Feb 5, 2016 2:53pm
Quoting geektrader
{quote} I wont go down that much, I assure you.
man be positive.
  • #1,054,854
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:01pm Feb 5, 2016 3:01pm
Quoting Raynor
{quote} Also China is reporting it's FX reserves on Monday. If the numbers are bad/unexpected to the downside, could the selloff in equities continue ? (As sisse said, a test of the recent lows?) Therefore a possible risk-off sentiment could persist, and eur and jen could rally further. What makes it interesting is that China is also celebrating it's New Year all week, so they would react to nfp/euro/us data after a week ?
it may be a good yaun short..i have a little on the short side..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,054,855
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:02pm Feb 5, 2016 3:02pm
Quoting Ned15
{quote} man be positive.
Nah, that would be negative for me, positive for me is when it goes up, which it does already Id say we see 1.1170 for market close.
  • #1,054,856
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:02pm Feb 5, 2016 3:02pm
i am a convert. little disappointed at bear. weekly and daily are still bullish. will remain bullish until we are back to 1.100
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As Above, So Below
  • #1,054,857
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:04pm Feb 5, 2016 3:04pm
shit day for me, traded purely counter trend.

still finished positive but it was a chop fest... many bad trades (as you can see by my gross profit/loss)

was down quite a bit at one point, but finished strong
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,054,858
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:09pm Feb 5, 2016 3:09pm
very good week, dollar cost average trading (not all trades but some), thats where the gross loss comes from.

have a good weekend everyone hope it was a green one.
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,054,859
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:10pm Feb 5, 2016 3:10pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} closing one to cover the SL .... (gold)
I've got s/o on gold short 108x was normal for a correction it didn't happen ... the bigger one is 122x for 97x will try some shorts at 1180+- it was strong S&R last year ...
however the target is done which was pointed couple of weeks ago (1168)
Quoting edyraper
{quote} ah yeah, it's just about timing ... still choppy in daily but who knows 1140 maybe a R later next target is 1168*
  • #1,054,860
  • Feb 5, 2016 3:12pm Feb 5, 2016 3:12pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
shit day for me, traded purely counter trend. still finished positive but it was a chop fest... many bad trades (as you can see by my gross profit/loss) was down quite a bit at one point, but finished strong {image}
Are you with NT brokerage? What's the final P&L with commissions added?
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