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  • #1,053,121
  • Edited 2:02am Jan 29, 2016 1:48am | Edited 2:02am
some big player defending 1900 (the CFD is trading 8 points higher than front month contract)

gotta be careful though, this could easily go back to 2000 in February

edit: and already taken out, i think im finally turning bullish on equities (not long term, just medium term)
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,053,122
  • Jan 29, 2016 1:57am Jan 29, 2016 1:57am
Quoting lancedes
{quote} How do you guys see the EJ pair doing post this BoJ move? Does what BoJ just did make JPY weaker than the Euro's current position, ie will EJ rocket, or is the Euro still the weaker of the pair, so the pair will ultimately tumble? Any insights?
Sorry. I'm done insighting for the day unless market sentiment changes or major intra day reversal occurs suddenly.

I also limit comments to pair(s) I have positions on in, or am thinking about taking a position on in.

Personally, don't normally trade EU/JP because cost of spread is a bit higher than E/U and U/J, and any divergences in E/J will show up either in real time or with more or less volatility in either one or both of the other pairs. Exception is when someone like GS takes a position on, like they did in E/J months ago that was announced and moved the pair about 300bp quickly while the others only slightly moved. That kind of move you can't analyze anyway until it's almost over or over.

Need for news which is to follow from the BOJ before any detailed analysis is done, like yours, but fundamentally the market changed. The Nikkei responded instantly and so did the currencies. The best case scenario now is that they decided to scrap negative and go to zero instead which they will make it sound like that's actually good news. That's not going to happen, but you get what I'm saying, they have opened up a pandora's box, it just goes down from here faster for the yen, which mean up for USDJPY.
  • #1,053,123
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:00am Jan 29, 2016 2:00am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} people look at charts and forget that there is only ever the current price for an asset the game is a zero sum for someone to buy someone has to sell in equal volume if price moves up it is because the demand to buy is greater than the demand to sell at a given price so supply runs out and price moves to the next available seller at a higher price and so on - standard auction process so when crude is running at it's highest price since January it is incorrect to say it has been heavily sold because it has not, it has been equally sold and...
Right on.

I think Rahul does use CFTC as part of his analysis and VSA, not sure exactly what part of volume other than tick volume he is using for VSA though.

Rahul, if you care to chime in...
  • #1,053,124
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:01am Jan 29, 2016 2:01am
Was short from 1.0959 Took profit at 1.093. Now watching the pair for more action. Has 2 orders for shorts in 1.095 ish area.
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Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD(£)H1.png Size: 60 KB
The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #1,053,125
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:02am Jan 29, 2016 2:02am
IMHO, I thing EURUSD is more likely to extend its recent pullback, considering the symmetrical triangle and immediate USD after boJ announcement.
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Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.jpg Size: 156 KB
  • #1,053,126
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:05am Jan 29, 2016 2:05am
Quoting Fx_Anil
IMHO, I thing EURUSD is more likely to extend its recent pullback, considering the symmetrical triangle and immediate USD after boJ announcement. {image}
Yup Waiting to load more shorts
The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #1,053,127
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:06am Jan 29, 2016 2:06am
Quoting Isvara
Was short from 1.0959 Took profit at 1.093. Now watching the pair for more action. Has 2 orders for shorts in 1.095 ish area. {image}
please share your chart price indicator thanks
  • #1,053,128
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:15am Jan 29, 2016 2:15am
Quoting Mani82
{quote} please share your chart price indicator thanks
There are 2 take them, btw it's free on FF. I also downloaded from here.
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 Signal Bars v6.ex4   54 KB | 243 downloads
File Type: ex4 Signal Bars.ex4   50 KB | 260 downloads
The mind is not a book to be opened at will and examined at leisure
  • #1,053,129
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:21am Jan 29, 2016 2:21am
trying some short AU at 7115, risk 7122, tp 7095...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,053,130
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:22am Jan 29, 2016 2:22am
WTI weekly and hourly

trimming half the position now 33.80
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,053,131
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:31am Jan 29, 2016 2:31am
Quoting Isvara
{quote} There are 2 take them, btw it's free on FF. I also downloaded from here. {file} {file}
thank you
  • #1,053,132
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:45am Jan 29, 2016 2:45am
Quoting PayTheLimit
trying some short AU at 7115, risk 7122, tp 7095...
quick +20 on em...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,053,133
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:49am Jan 29, 2016 2:49am
Quoting Fx_Anil
IMHO, I thing EURUSD is more likely to extend its recent pullback, considering the symmetrical triangle and immediate USD after boJ announcement. {image}
You think it will go down more?

Whats your target?
  • #1,053,134
  • Jan 29, 2016 2:51am Jan 29, 2016 2:51am
DAX long off pivot 9724
  • #1,053,135
  • Jan 29, 2016 3:21am Jan 29, 2016 3:21am
Quoting krishelis
I am in a sell with TP 1.09
TP reached
  • #1,053,136
  • Jan 29, 2016 3:22am Jan 29, 2016 3:22am
Quoting B00bies
{quote} i will buy more. see this going up much more today
I am just smiling
  • #1,053,137
  • Jan 29, 2016 3:40am Jan 29, 2016 3:40am
Quoting rahulkghosh
{quote} I know. I wouldn't run this model on higher than 20:1 on someone else's portfolio. On 20:1 it is up 4% this past 2 months. On 200:1 it is down 50% this past 2 months. Lol. Big difference. But yes, on 20:1 it performs better than any hedge fund in my opinion.
Dude, since you are a professional trader, there's something I don't understand and are curious to know, hope you don't mind me asking. Why don't you just trade a few instruments instead of trading every instruments on earth? I believe maybe you will do better than this.
The only winner is the one who survive the longest...
  • #1,053,138
  • Jan 29, 2016 3:40am Jan 29, 2016 3:40am
Typical start of new intra day trend that extends for at least a day or two until market sentiment changes the other direction...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM1.png Size: 68 KB
  • #1,053,139
  • Jan 29, 2016 3:43am Jan 29, 2016 3:43am
my uj shorts took a kick in the nutz triggering multiple entry stops on older trades. finding out now boj went to negative rates ect. atm its at 120.94. going to a negative rate seems to be an act of desperation. 120.97 is where chart had a possible bear entry plus before boj went to negative. its kind of a big deal for boj to hold it, or not. there is a bull target for 121.77.. but before the cut 120.97 was a big place. its unlikely in the way most things are in the past with cuts. it is possible the boj has lost its ability to control destiny. market may weigh in soon near 120.97. its unknown and unlikely, popcorn is hot.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,053,140
  • Jan 29, 2016 3:44am Jan 29, 2016 3:44am
I'm really bullish on EURUSD, bearish on GBPUSD, bearish on oil, bullish on USDCAD. How about you guys?
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