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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #18,961
  • Jan 19, 2016 3:14am Jan 19, 2016 3:14am
Quoting Sixer
The forecast for 2016 of the DAX from Larry Williams shows that we have reached the 1st date. Sixer {image}
Hi Sixer - might I ask which of Larry's cycles his chart is showing and also if you could post his chart for the Dow.

Thanks

Islander
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #18,962
  • Jan 19, 2016 3:16am Jan 19, 2016 3:16am
Looks like DAX is in bear market already but with QE in place it could easily get out of bear market back into bull market.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: image.png Size: 406 KB
  • #18,963
  • Jan 19, 2016 3:36am Jan 19, 2016 3:36am
IF we have seen the day's low, then I'm expecting the inverted H&S projection at 9792 to be hit and probably the 76% rertrace at 9817.....as always, TWT
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: jan19 dax 15m 0930.png Size: 42 KB
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #18,964
  • Jan 19, 2016 3:47am Jan 19, 2016 3:47am
With the US Traders back at their desks, their actions after lunch will show the way, with Dow's 76% retrace at 16,328 - ~125 pts above current price

Now we await the German ZEW DAta due at 11am CET
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: jan19 dow 15m 0942.png Size: 47 KB
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #18,965
  • Jan 19, 2016 3:57am Jan 19, 2016 3:57am
Quoting Islander
IF we have seen the day's low, then I'm expecting the inverted H&S projection at 9792 to be hit and probably the 76% rertrace at 9817.....as always, TWT {image}
I think you are right. I can see 9792 and 9817 being hit. My guess is we see a small bounce back up again and then tank again after. Many in China are complaining about bad orders for January and February. Chinese take Chinese New Years off after that. My guess is data numbers for 1st quarter will be bad out of America and China when they report next quarter earnings for 1st quarter of 2016 unless we see some sort of a miracle. For now I am bullish on DAX
  • #18,966
  • Jan 19, 2016 4:02am Jan 19, 2016 4:02am
The market is really low volume and choppy, what's going on???
  • #18,967
  • Jan 19, 2016 4:05am Jan 19, 2016 4:05am
Quoting Forexcube
Long @ 15'950 (2x)
#18'955

Exit @ 16'185, +235 (x2 = 470)
  • #18,968
  • Jan 19, 2016 4:07am Jan 19, 2016 4:07am
Quoting Forexcube
DAX, Long @ 9'521 (3x)
#18'954

Exit @ 9'710, +189 (x3 = 567)
  • #18,969
  • Jan 19, 2016 4:08am Jan 19, 2016 4:08am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Those 3 look pretty good so far.
  • #18,970
  • Jan 19, 2016 4:08am Jan 19, 2016 4:08am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} #18'955 Exit @ 16'185, +235 (x2 = 470)
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #18,971
  • Jan 19, 2016 4:12am Jan 19, 2016 4:12am
Quoting Dane
The market is really low volume and choppy, what's going on???

Traders were waiting for the German ZEW Data and now for the US Traders to return from their extended weekend......pop a Patience Pill!
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #18,972
  • Jan 19, 2016 5:25am Jan 19, 2016 5:25am
Quoting Sixer
The forecast for 2016 of the DAX from Larry Williams shows that we have reached the 1st date. Sixer {image}
Trade what you see not what you think,..happy trading
  • #18,973
  • Jan 19, 2016 5:39am Jan 19, 2016 5:39am
Quoting Dane
The market is really low volume and choppy, what's going on???
Most likely trying to figure out if it is in Bull Market or Bear Market. According to my previous post it is already in Bear Market while the American Index will soon be decided http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the...ber-2016-01-19
  • #18,974
  • Jan 19, 2016 6:12am Jan 19, 2016 6:12am
Longer Term
DAX, Short @ 9'718 (5x) Target @ 9'066
is the hedging one.
  • #18,975
  • Jan 19, 2016 6:29am Jan 19, 2016 6:29am
Quoting Forexcube
Longer Term DAX, Short @ 9'718 (5x) Target @ 9'066 is the hedging one.
My guess is we see that number some time in February. Chinese New Years starts pretty much at the end of this month where the Chinese are off for 1-2 weeks (depending on country in Asia).

Latest numbers out of China via my shipping source out of China is that this month compared to the same month last year up until now shipments are down 15%. Usually around this time there is a spike in shipments as people order extra stock prior to Chinese taking a Holiday in China for Chinese New Years but there were no extra orders and shipments were down 15%. To Europe I was told shipments are worse then to America.
  • #18,976
  • Jan 19, 2016 10:42am Jan 19, 2016 10:42am
I think a long entry here is good for the time being.
  • #18,977
  • Jan 19, 2016 11:28am Jan 19, 2016 11:28am
Quoting Forexcube
Longer Term DAX, Short @ 9'718 (5x) Target @ 9'066 is the hedging one.
#18'975

Delete the target @ 9'066 (& come later back to it, see also #@18'979)
Exit @ 9'618, +100 (x5 = 500)
  • #18,978
  • Jan 19, 2016 11:31am Jan 19, 2016 11:31am
DE30EUR, Weekly, 2016 January 19
Fib 38.2% ~9'066
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DE30EUR, Weekly, 2016 January 19.jpg Size: 155 KB
  • #18,979
  • Jan 19, 2016 11:33am Jan 19, 2016 11:33am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} My guess is we see that number some time in February. Chinese New Years starts pretty much at the end of this month where the Chinese are off for 1-2 weeks (depending on country in Asia). Latest numbers out of China via my shipping source out of China is that this month compared to the same month last year up until now shipments are down 15%. Usually around this time there is a spike in shipments as people order extra stock prior to Chinese taking a Holiday in China for Chinese New Years but there were no extra orders and shipments were...
...let's see.
FXcube
  • #18,980
  • Jan 19, 2016 9:01pm Jan 19, 2016 9:01pm
if we close under low ,high probability continuation pattern is seen
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Germany 30 d1 (DFB).png Size: 32 KB
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