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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #18,501
  • Jan 12, 2016 2:01am Jan 12, 2016 2:01am
DAX/DOW cash

R3 10399.4/16782.3
R2 10189.4/16624.2
R1 10041.1/16496.8
PP 9831.1/16338.7
S1 9682.8/16211.3
  • #18,502
  • Jan 12, 2016 2:07am Jan 12, 2016 2:07am
again very chopy market we have ...
  • #18,503
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:21am Jan 12, 2016 3:21am
Quoting PariCovek
The old Dr Copper, the base metal that gives a signal of the strength of world economic growth due to its multipurpose use in construction, electronics, cars, etc has now dropped below USD2/lb; which it hasn't done since the 2008/2009 crisis. Oil also has also dropped to USD30/bbl too, an 11 year low, with the possibility to break lower. This will no doubt cause selling on Indices such as the ASX200 and FTSE with their large natural resources exposures. I'm not sure if this will cause selling on the Dax in the early session when it opens, but I...
This obviously didnt worry the European stock buyers! Broke yesterday's high, and very close to breaking the 7sma on Daily for first time since End of Dec 2015.
  • #18,504
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:25am Jan 12, 2016 3:25am
Tbh, i think we gonna have major retrace on DAX now.
Propably to one of the lines descending from the tops
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fde30-d1-dom-maklerski-banku.png Size: 46 KB
  • #18,505
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:26am Jan 12, 2016 3:26am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Trend is still down for the time being. A few pops up along the way so on the nice pop days it is good to short. Above 9950 were good short opportunities.
#18'499

& so I take more risk over, once more:

DAX, Short @ 9'970 (x2)

& PO Short @ 10'000 (2x), if so
___
PO = Pending Oreder
  • #18,506
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:36am Jan 12, 2016 3:36am
I have the 76.4% at 10,006, which could cap this move for now?
  • #18,507
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:39am Jan 12, 2016 3:39am
Good Morning,
Thanks FXcube and D1 for the thoughts!
  • #18,508
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:40am Jan 12, 2016 3:40am
actual
..--.:nerd:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: actual, 2016 January 12.jpg Size: 355 KB
  • #18,509
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:46am Jan 12, 2016 3:46am
Quoting Ziolo
Tbh, i think we gonna have major retrace on DAX now. Propably to one of the lines descending from the tops {image}
well tbh u drew this lines to validate ur point, but u could easily draw those lines diffrently to "prove" that the market s more likly goin down further.

as far as things look today i personally give the ger30 1 or 2 more restdays max and then expect a further downmove. no reason for me to think its goin up from now.
so if the market tests 10100 today i will def be short again. below todays lows as well.

we will see how it goes.
  • #18,510
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:47am Jan 12, 2016 3:47am
DOW short @ 16383. M5 RSI(10) overbought. Picked DOW as it looks more bearish than DAX.
  • #18,511
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:47am Jan 12, 2016 3:47am
DAX, Short @ 9'982 (2x)
  • #18,512
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:53am Jan 12, 2016 3:53am
They will push the 1H chart on maks. Propably over 10k.

Im long since morning btw
  • #18,513
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:54am Jan 12, 2016 3:54am
DAX, Short @ 10'000 (5x)
  • #18,514
  • Edited 11:03am Jan 12, 2016 3:57am | Edited 11:03am
Quoting Forexcube
DAX, Short @ 10'000 (5x)
#18'514

Exit @ 9'990, +10 (x5 = 50)
  • #18,515
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:57am Jan 12, 2016 3:57am
Quoting medici
{quote}Happy to compare notes/charts
If you'd prefer to discuss these matters in private please subscribe to me so we can exchange PMs.

Alternatively, what do your records reveal around 8:00 UTC this morning? Here's mine:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-01-12_0800-IG-DAX.png Size: 42 KB
  • #18,516
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:58am Jan 12, 2016 3:58am
DAX, Short @ 9'996 (2x)
  • #18,517
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:58am Jan 12, 2016 3:58am
DAX, Short @ 10'000 (3x)
  • #18,518
  • Jan 12, 2016 3:59am Jan 12, 2016 3:59am
DAX, Short @ 10'007 (2x)
  • #18,519
  • Jan 12, 2016 4:10am Jan 12, 2016 4:10am
powerful move indeed... this may well be targeting 10,150 now which is the H1 200ema and the next major resistance I have.

ps - I also have two different levels for R1, the first at 040, and the other with IG at 069.
  • #18,520
  • Jan 12, 2016 4:10am Jan 12, 2016 4:10am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} This obviously didnt worry the European stock buyers! Broke yesterday's high, and very close to breaking the 7sma on Daily for first time since End of Dec 2015.
Looks like a bullish reversal heading into counter-rally mode, breaking yesterday's high and 7sma on Daily.... Interesting.

As mentioned earlier today, I'm more concerned when the Yanks go online and NYSE opens.
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