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  • #1,046,501
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:14am Dec 22, 2015 11:14am
Quoting Goldflake
{quote} No more Parity according to me...Bulls showing some serious power here... I'm seeing some Bigger targets to the upside in JAN 2016. Just keep my level 1250 and see what happens there... Good luck..
Every time this thing goes up it always come down quickly.

No longs for me at the moment.

If it gets to 1.10 ore 1.12 I will short it.
  • #1,046,502
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:27am Dec 22, 2015 11:27am
Quoting Goldflake
{quote} No more Parity according to me...Bulls showing some serious power here... I'm seeing some Bigger targets to the upside in JAN 2016. Just keep my level 1250 and see what happens there... Good luck..
I think there are just too many Problems in Europe. Parity is just a matter of time.
  • #1,046,503
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:29am Dec 22, 2015 11:29am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} All we can say from evidence is, that there is no correlation between rates hike and currency strength. There are some studies out. I think I linked some in my thread some weeks ago. All we get is the following: one has to look at the currency before the rate hike: there is a strong tendency for the currency to set forth the path. When e.g. the USD got stronger before rate hike, then chance is big that it will get stronger during the hiking phase. But I understood this to be only a guideline, not a rule. So weigh your chances.......
Absolutely. You don't see traders and investors alike flocking to buy the EM currencies each time they have rate hikes. And they tend to have them pretty often to try and soften often rampant inflation.
  • #1,046,504
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:29am Dec 22, 2015 11:29am
took a scalp. small size. tp bottom tl
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,046,505
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:33am Dec 22, 2015 11:33am
Quoting Goldflake
{quote} No more Parity according to me...Bulls showing some serious power here... I'm seeing some Bigger targets to the upside in JAN 2016. Just keep my level 1250 and see what happens there... Good luck..
Even though the EU pair has shown an incredible ability to bounce back from its misfortunes so far, I cannot see it continuing in that vein for another 12/24 months. There are now too many pressures on the EZ, particularly with the newly added problems of arriving migrants. And with the USA tightening monetary policy through 2016, the dam wall will soon break once and for all.

I just hope I'm in a solid short at the time
  • #1,046,506
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:37am Dec 22, 2015 11:37am
Quoting Schmidt
{quote} I think there are just too many Problems in Europe. Parity is just a matter of time.
Until last week, I was some what bearish on EU. But right now, technical's are saying it is going a lot higher which no body here can imagine...

Key level to watch out : 1250/1270

With ECB and FED coming again in January and another flop show by Mr. Draghi can take it easily towards 1.18 and again if FED throw some bomb the larger target is around 1.25.

All this can happen only in January with flop show by Draghi...

Too much caution is required from here...otherwise accounts can become with simple zeros all over FF. This happened many times before.
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #1,046,507
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:38am Dec 22, 2015 11:38am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} not holding any from lower ?
Sadly my tp triggered @ 958 bro
Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,046,508
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:43am Dec 22, 2015 11:43am
Quoting chibai73
took a scalp. small size. tp bottom tl {image}
closed +8
done for the day. gl all
  • #1,046,509
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:50am Dec 22, 2015 11:50am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Google Petrodollar Then you'll understand why lifting oil export ban and FED decision hike +25bps are weakening USD
Are you short the Dollar based on these things, Ken? I cant remember if you're more of a fundi or a techie...
  • #1,046,510
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:55am Dec 22, 2015 11:55am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Google Petrodollar Then you'll understand why lifting oil export ban and FED decision hike +25bps are weakening USD
Is there something that can make me understand pound weakness? thanks in advance.
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #1,046,511
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:55am Dec 22, 2015 11:55am
Quoting Goldflake
{quote} Until last week, I was some what bearish on EU. But right now, technical's are saying it is going a lot higher which no body here can imagine... Key level to watch out : 1250/1270 With ECB and FED coming again in January and another flop show by Mr. Draghi can take it easily towards 1.18 and again if FED throw some bomb the larger target is around 1.25. All this can happen only in January with flop show by Draghi... Too much caution is required from here...otherwise accounts can become with simple zeros all over FF. This happened many times...
Of course, a lot can happen. I'm not saying it wont go further up from here. Anything is possible.
But I still think parity is coming due to the Problems in Europe. We will see.
  • #1,046,512
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:56am Dec 22, 2015 11:56am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
{quote} Is there something that can make me understand pound weakness? thanks in advance.
You ask Max - he is in BoE

But don't say I tell you this
  • #1,046,513
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:56am Dec 22, 2015 11:56am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Google Petrodollar Then you'll understand why lifting oil export ban and FED decision hike +25bps are weakening USD
Thanks

Quoting Ken A
{quote} You ask Max - he is in BoE But don't say I tell you this
  • #1,046,514
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:59am Dec 22, 2015 11:59am
Quoting Goldflake
{quote} Until last week, I was some what bearish on EU. But right now, technical's are saying it is going a lot higher which no body here can imagine... Key level to watch out : 1250/1270 With ECB and FED coming again in January and another flop show by Mr. Draghi can take it easily towards 1.18 and again if FED throw some bomb the larger target is around 1.25. All this can happen only in January with flop show by Draghi... Too much caution is required from here...otherwise accounts can become with simple zeros all over FF. This happened many times...

Thanks Goldflake, did you talk to a little birdie?
If you are new to FX don"t follow my trades, I 've blown many live accounts
  • #1,046,515
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:59am Dec 22, 2015 11:59am
The pair is heading to 1.100 level again, short-term bullish tone remains, I'm looking at my next target at 1.1077.
  • #1,046,516
  • Dec 22, 2015 12:01pm Dec 22, 2015 12:01pm
Quoting mclon
{quote} Thanks Goldflake, did you talk to a little birdie?
Are you calling me a little Birdie?
  • #1,046,517
  • Dec 22, 2015 12:01pm Dec 22, 2015 12:01pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} All we can say from evidence is, that there is no correlation between rates hike and currency strength. There are some studies out. I think I linked some in my thread some weeks ago. All we get is the following: one has to look at the currency before the rate hike: there is a strong tendency for the currency to set forth the path. When e.g. the USD got stronger before rate hike, then chance is big that it will get stronger during the hiking phase. But I understood this to be only a guideline, not...
You did - here: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...44#post8199044.

Maybe not 'no correlation', but the evidence does certainly not show one strong enough or reliable enough that we can confidently proclaim that when interest rates go up the currency gets stronger and nothing can stand in the way of that.
  • #1,046,518
  • Dec 22, 2015 12:06pm Dec 22, 2015 12:06pm
Quoting Schmidt
{quote} Are you calling me a little Birdie?
You are not a newbie anyway...one can easily guess with your language...
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #1,046,519
  • Dec 22, 2015 12:10pm Dec 22, 2015 12:10pm
Looks like its all about 1.0930 to me,hold above that and it opens the gate
to around 1.1100,if price can't hold around 1.0930 then its chop about time.
  • #1,046,520
  • Dec 22, 2015 12:11pm Dec 22, 2015 12:11pm
Quoting mclon
{quote} Thanks Goldflake, did you talk to a little birdie?
little birdie's can just see up to 300-400 pips movement..they trade with huge leverage by keeping 300-400 pips for margin call!

I'm just saying be alert..serious volatility is ahead.. 300-400 pips for margin call is not enough from here...
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
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