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EURUSD

  • #1,046,021
  • Dec 20, 2015 1:55pm Dec 20, 2015 1:55pm
last gold chart, weekly

everytime we make fresh lows we bounce back above them before going to fresh lows again,

doubt this time will be different, especially because the tech. support is even stronger than any previous bounces (1180, 1132, 1072)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: lastgoldchart.png Size: 57 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,046,022
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:02pm Dec 20, 2015 2:02pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
hmmmm, buying opportunity. {image}

COT report with gold i don't like it

Its a mess

Swaps dealers are playing a different game with gold
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,046,023
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:05pm Dec 20, 2015 2:05pm
EURUSD is going down...
  • #1,046,024
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:12pm Dec 20, 2015 2:12pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
last gold chart, weekly everytime we make fresh lows we bounce back above them before going to fresh lows again, doubt this time will be different, especially because the tech. support is even stronger than any previous bounces (1180, 1132, 1072) {image}
i still believe its going to touch 200EMA on the monthly before you get the bull run you expecting..its really close and the slope is very favourable so why not a quick run to it and then sharp move back up
  • #1,046,025
  • Edited 2:34pm Dec 20, 2015 2:14pm | Edited 2:34pm
Quoting beejay
{quote} i still believe its going to touch 200EMA on the monthly before you get the bull run you expecting..its really close and the slope is very favourable so why not a quick run to it and then sharp move back up
it could go lower eventually, sure it could. but we already have double bottom with hidden divergence on daily and regular divergence on weekly (and monthly) and tech support level 1045 with trendlines and 610 week fibonacci EMA sitting at 1048 (can't ask for anything more than that). so i'll just let it run.

if stops out, no big deal, i'll try again.

Quoting kuroro001
{quote} COT report with gold i don't like it Its a mess Swaps dealers are playing a different game with gold
i'm a contrarian

will be looking for EU long (assuming 1.08 holds) with target around 0970

and UC short on strength this week (no target idea yet, probably 3865 first, then 3700ish if 3850 breaks)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurdaily.png Size: 78 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,046,026
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:36pm Dec 20, 2015 2:36pm
Can someone tell me how, if, i can change the currency the lot size is based on, so i know the exact volume in GBP
  • #1,046,027
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:52pm Dec 20, 2015 2:52pm
perfect
  • #1,046,028
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:54pm Dec 20, 2015 2:54pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} it could go lower eventually, sure it could. but we already have double bottom with hidden divergence on daily and regular divergence on weekly (and monthly) and tech support level 1045 with trendlines and 610 week fibonacci EMA sitting at 1048 (can't ask for anything more than that). so i'll just let it run. if
we already have a sustained daily close below the low of july 20th and price is forming squeezes around that region a recipe for continuation most times...the divergence is too extended from my on POV and on the 4hr we just av a 61.8fib hit without a close above it which fortunately coincide with 55EMA putting more pressure on the price.

surely money could be made both ways, i wish i have ur kind of liver to hold on to long for now but i dont
  • #1,046,029
  • Dec 20, 2015 2:57pm Dec 20, 2015 2:57pm
confident UCAD will spike into this range and make a weekly doji.. probably 1.4150ish then a big sell off (200-300 pips)

like i said, plan is to sell strength this week

i may start my selling before 1.41, just depends on price action on the 4 hour chart
Attached Image
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,046,030
  • Dec 20, 2015 3:12pm Dec 20, 2015 3:12pm
Quoting beejay
{quote} we already have a sustained daily close below the low of july 20th and price is forming squeezes around that region a recipe for continuation most times...the divergence is too extended from my on POV and on the 4hr we just av a 61.8fib hit without a close above it which fortunately coincide with 55EMA putting more pressure on the price. surely money could be made both ways, i wish i have ur kind of liver to hold on to long for now but i dont
we had sustained daily close below 1180 at 1132, and it bounced back much higher than 1180

we had sustained daily close below 1132 at 1072, and it bounced back much higher than 1132

now we have sustained daily close below 1072 at 1045 low, and i'm just playing a bounce back much higher than 1072



i'm not holding onto longs from higher up prices, i bought near the bottom (1055), and damn near got 1051 as my price but hesitated.
as long as you keep the risks small (good entry, tight stop), it's okay to lose a few times before the big move comes.

are you shorting?? or just not long?
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,046,031
  • Dec 20, 2015 3:14pm Dec 20, 2015 3:14pm
EURUSD
Looking for PA around 1.0911-30 to see whether we resume downtrend to 1.05, lower range of this area for shorts includes Bfly H1 1.618 + WPP + MR1 and Fib Resistance. Price hasn't completed AB-CD 1.618 Ext at 1.0760.
On weekly chart as long we are below 1.1060 the way is down, last week's candle cancels upward continuation and created clear direction, taking out of the lows either to wash them out or to continue to parity. There will be few signs that this may not be the case, the first one is acceleration up, the second reestablishing move above the mentioned pivots, but up to 1.1060 there is still room to turn down, and that is why if this first level gets broken I will reavaluate situation and look for other reversal patterns.
H1 chart attached.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd h1 bfly.png Size: 48 KB
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  • #1,046,032
  • Dec 20, 2015 3:39pm Dec 20, 2015 3:39pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} COT report with gold i don't like it Its a mess Swaps dealers are playing a different game with gold
just have to play the probabilities..

history says bounces happen when COT looks like it does now

the spread is as thin as it has been in a decade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cotdata.png Size: 120 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,046,033
  • Dec 20, 2015 3:43pm Dec 20, 2015 3:43pm
Quoting pedro319
EURUSD Looking for PA around 1.0911-30 to see whether we resume downtrend to 1.05, lower range of this area for shorts includes Bfly H1 1.618 + WPP + MR1 and Fib Resistance. Price hasn't completed AB-CD 1.618 Ext at 1.0760. On weekly chart as long we are below 1.1060 the way is down, last week's candle cancels upward continuation and created clear direction, taking out of the lows either to wash them out or to continue to parity. There will be few signs that this may not be the case, the first one is acceleration up, the second reestablishing move...

i can only see a max of 9597 for EU before downward resumption
  • #1,046,034
  • Dec 20, 2015 4:04pm Dec 20, 2015 4:04pm
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Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,046,035
  • Edited 4:33pm Dec 20, 2015 4:08pm | Edited 4:33pm
opend with gap down placed buy hoping to fill gap

closed now sell
Happy trading
  • #1,046,036
  • Dec 20, 2015 4:21pm Dec 20, 2015 4:21pm
The 4 hours chart shows that the 20 SMA heads lower and converges with the mentioned Fibonacci resistance, while the technical indicators are turning south below their mid-lines, following a corrective movement from oversold readings, supporting further declines. Nevertheless, it would take a break through 1.0790 to confirm some steadier downward momentum during the upcoming days."
Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,046,037
  • Edited Dec 21, 2015 1:56pm Dec 20, 2015 4:26pm | Edited Dec 21, 2015 1:56pm
Quoting sgkrishn
The 4 hours chart shows that the 20 SMA heads lower and converges with the mentioned Fibonacci resistance, while the technical indicators are turning south below their mid-lines, following a corrective movement from oversold readings, supporting further declines. Nevertheless, it would take a break through 1.0790 to confirm some steadier downward momentum during the upcoming days."

Always say from which "expert" you are coping and pasting from...

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...a-0fd1fca1b302

edit...will take a short from 1.1041.....
  • #1,046,038
  • Dec 20, 2015 4:28pm Dec 20, 2015 4:28pm
Quoting cspip
{quote} Always say from which "expert" you are coping and pasting from... http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...a-0fd1fca1b302 .
sure
thanks
Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,046,039
  • Edited 5:51pm Dec 20, 2015 5:39pm | Edited 5:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
possible chance to short 0930ish.. if 0868 is tagged.. with a close above 0848 is a positive sign for 0930. if long is in ones r/r the retrace after 0868, but before 0930, at 0835/0802 may be a spot. at the end of the day/week a close above 0848 should help. {image}
0868 was tagged since post. possible long 0835/02 on retrace now. target would be 0930 or more. the atm Resistance in the 25% mark in chart toward 1.1086.

if one in bearish it may be best to wait for 0930/33 or more..

since she still looks to follow 1086 levels.. breaking toward 0930 may still be bullish and following 1.1086 path. closing above 0848/61 75, is probable not bearish. since 0835 happens most times before 0930. once 0835 is touched, then those closes above mentioned are more likely. to turn bullish toward 0930
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...44#post8653844
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,046,040
  • Dec 20, 2015 5:49pm Dec 20, 2015 5:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0868 was tagged since post. possible long 0835/02 on retrace now. target would be 0930 or more. the atm Resistance in the 25% mark in chart toward 1.1086. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...44#post8653844 {image}
yeah I'm long for 0970ish

alternatively on break of 0800 I think it'll go monthly pivot 0724.
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