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  • #1,045,621
  • Dec 17, 2015 9:20pm Dec 17, 2015 9:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
1.2470
why are you posting this number by itself
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,045,622
  • Dec 17, 2015 9:25pm Dec 17, 2015 9:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} many countless times it went to norm. this time we had a fed raise. it makes 1086 less likely. its not costing me a dime to wait for 1086 or 1115.. those setups like 1.2470 have one of the most accurate indicated moves of all. i have spent thousands of hours studying them. i dont discount them lightly. it wasn't so long ago i was stubborn for 1465. no sense giving up w/o a fight this time. norm has made me lots of money, i owe him respect. anyone see any fundamental reason to go to 1086? i dont either. a HH after a raise makes no sense....
funda doesn't always dictate price. okay maybe it does. but what about FUTURE fundies, when current fundies are already priced in?

what was once seen as "wow FED will be starting hike cycle soon!" is now being seen as "rates will rise very slowly, and they won't move very far"

a dovish rate rise cycle.

also what was once seen as "draghi bazooka" is now more like, draghi water pistol. the divergence is smaller than market currently has priced in, thus price should readjust to the new paradigm

not to mention, in the past 4 rate hike cycles, after "liftoff" (and these were more hawkish cycles than we have now), the USD was always weaker 100 trading days after liftoff. if USD weakened even during expected "hawkish" cycles, how much weaker could it get when this time around the market expects a more dovish cycle?

4/4 is good odds. and then we have the most dovish cycle in FED history... so my bet is USD short until at least March 2016.
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,045,623
  • Dec 17, 2015 9:35pm Dec 17, 2015 9:35pm
Alright- good talk 'gents. Be back in 7 hours, going to sleep.

1.0944 looks to be a good short for EU if it gets there today
  • #1,045,624
  • Dec 17, 2015 9:52pm Dec 17, 2015 9:52pm
buy gu on correction on crude , SL 1.4913 , TP 1.5120
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  • #1,045,625
  • Edited 10:12pm Dec 17, 2015 9:56pm | Edited 10:12pm
SHORT EU
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,045,626
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:24pm Dec 17, 2015 10:24pm
Quoting ill_be_back
SHORT EU {image}
S/O
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,045,627
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:41pm Dec 17, 2015 10:41pm
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Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,045,628
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:44pm Dec 17, 2015 10:44pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} still short this pig, have taken some decent heat on the buggers...anyway, topping off the position on the 4hr bell, will risk the highs of this 4hr candle....and thats that..looks like a decent spinner...
try for last months low again, seems pretty far away right now, but its early..think I'll leave everything else alone today, its friday after all...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,045,629
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:45pm Dec 17, 2015 10:45pm
EU is above the pivot for some time and it tried Weekly Mid S2.
I think, it is not a good time to short at the moment.
  • #1,045,630
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:52pm Dec 17, 2015 10:52pm
Quoting sgkrishn
{image}
Have another at
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,045,631
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:53pm Dec 17, 2015 10:53pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} ..think I'll leave everything else alone today, its friday after all... {image}
that said, 121.12 looks rather interesting in the yen, should the bastards make it down there, might have to lay some cheese on it...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,045,632
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:56pm Dec 17, 2015 10:56pm
raise interest rate is good for USD . isnt it ?
  • #1,045,633
  • Dec 17, 2015 10:57pm Dec 17, 2015 10:57pm
Short EU 1.0862
SL 1.0920
TP 1.0730
  • #1,045,634
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:05pm Dec 17, 2015 11:05pm
USDCAD.. OUT @3922

could drop like a rock to 3860 but i don't care, happy with these pips, could just as easily go to 4050 and that would be no fun

stacked some sell limits up there for sleep time if we see a final spike.
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,045,635
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:07pm Dec 17, 2015 11:07pm
Quoting countdown
UsdCad heading 1,36786 if it keep staying below this level we still have chance to see 34562 again.. If not and keep going our main target is 39010. GL
whats next ?
41234 ?
or back to 36786 ? Lets see if UCAD can handle with 39010..
simple.
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #1,045,636
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:09pm Dec 17, 2015 11:09pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
USDCAD.. OUT @3922 could drop like a rock to 3860 but i don't care, happy with these pips, could just as easily go to 4050 and that would be no fun stacked some sell limits up there for sleep time if we see a final spike. {image}

left a tiny one in play

small orders waiting in semi-grid fashion, if we spike while im asleep (doesn't seem likely, this UCAD should be done for, at least until we get a major drop)
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,045,637
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:18pm Dec 17, 2015 11:18pm
whats the all time high in the canuk I wonder? 1.60+?

seems like 1.6196 or so, since 1950 anyway
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,045,638
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:25pm Dec 17, 2015 11:25pm
I'll try to pick a top in the CAD. I'll take the low of this move up, .9406, and multipy it by 150%....1.4109...


good luck with it, its off my screen til the new year....I'll be a hero elsewhere...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,045,639
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:39pm Dec 17, 2015 11:39pm
Quoting tankokjian
raise interest rate is good for USD . isnt it ?
that's what mainstream wants you to believe, however, history says tightening cycles are bearish for the USD

back on NY schedule for now, no London today

goodnight
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #1,045,640
  • Dec 17, 2015 11:50pm Dec 17, 2015 11:50pm
the two pairs I'm rather interested in today....was looking for a clue, but now I'm more confused than when I started...
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