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  • #1,045,201
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:27pm Dec 16, 2015 7:27pm
Quoting Patient1
I didn't trade the event today, never do the big ones like this, I see a lot of traders talk about big risk big reward on the day....I disagree. I'm in the camp of lower risk bigger reward on the money positioning that takes place afterwards. I am a firm believer in the idea that during certain periods the market is manipulated from a to b all action in between is noise...My system is based on key volume points and then pattern formed on that day.....I then try to explain the action fundamentally as to why I have the signal I have. Today I"v got...
Thanks for sharing. I'd simply like to know if you have "proof" of the trades you have placed in the past that have "hit" your targets.

Thanks in advance.
  • #1,045,202
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:30pm Dec 16, 2015 7:30pm
plot the points I've given and see what happens......I will never tell u anymore. I' m not here to show off or flaunt...and if u think I'm not worth listening too, then don't. Your the captain of your own ship. I think that euro will bump back to 1.0893 area, can't see london going down without a good fill, but it does happen
  • #1,045,203
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:30pm Dec 16, 2015 7:30pm
no "such" movement after the hike, but I kept my short :nerd:
  • #1,045,204
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:39pm Dec 16, 2015 7:39pm
Hi, what do u think about 1100 billions of options next friday?
  • #1,045,205
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:42pm Dec 16, 2015 7:42pm
All major looking towards the major resistance and supprots. Looking for signals for breaking or fakeouts reenter
  • #1,045,206
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:46pm Dec 16, 2015 7:46pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: longyeu.PNG Size: 148 KB

As per rules I am now long in EU.

Sl is a close at or below 1.08558 on 5m. In which you must reverse your order (take a sell) for a bigger lot then the buy which you took.
  • #1,045,207
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:55pm Dec 16, 2015 7:55pm
Quoting damonl
{quote} Yes.... that could be....... 100, 200, and yes can I have a drum roll please... a lower channel line right in that area where you speak of...... {image}
one thing i have learned to expect. its never a sure thing. 1.2470 is valid. along with 1086 or 1115 being a normal retrace. before a LL 1.2470 is valid. and many black boxes and large traders have played longs for 1.2470. so i assumed we would end up a minimal 1086.
along those lines 1.0847 i am watching atm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 18 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,045,208
  • Dec 16, 2015 7:57pm Dec 16, 2015 7:57pm
Quoting NoobPie
{image} As per rules I am now long in EU. Sl is a close at or below 1.08558 on 5m. In which you must reverse your order (take a sell) for a bigger lot then the buy which you took.

Above you see the candle which closed across the sl level, and now i have the hard sl set at the low of that candle.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: longyeusl.PNG Size: 72 KB


I will now take a sell as per rule. I should take the sell right away, but i will wait for a retrace as this is asia and the runs are very small moving, so i can get some extra pips to the sell side.
tp1 for sell 1.08452
tp2 for sell 1.08313
  • #1,045,209
  • Dec 16, 2015 8:02pm Dec 16, 2015 8:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one thing i have learned to expect. its never a sure thing. 1.2470 is valid. along with 1086 or 1115 being a normal retrace. before a LL 1.2470 is valid. and many black boxes and large traders have played longs for 1.2470. so i assumed we would end up a minimal 1086. along those lines 1.0847 i am watching atm {image}

I've got 1.20500 as a sure thing (likely), but recent moves tell me lower first.....I've watched this thread for a while and sometimes end up at the same targets that u have. but I y think lower here first....To be honest, I was surprised I saw 1.0600 as a target today, actually 1.0540 but, I tp before the major spot just in case. We'll see... I respect ur views gator, you're on way more than off, lets see what happens
  • #1,045,210
  • Dec 16, 2015 8:22pm Dec 16, 2015 8:22pm
g/u is giving 1.4480.......7-14 days after today. I'm looking to short this during london open spike as well
  • #1,045,211
  • Edited 9:10pm Dec 16, 2015 8:44pm | Edited 9:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one thing i have learned to expect. its never a sure thing. 1.2470 is valid. along with 1086 or 1115 being a normal retrace. before a LL 1.2470 is valid. and many black boxes and large traders have played longs for 1.2470. so i assumed we would end up a minimal 1086. along those lines 1.0847 i am watching atm {image}
Play your charts and you can't go wrong! I enjoy your analysis.. you can't be right all the time. I always see how your analysis lines up with my charts, but I will always play my charts. Being wrong is how we learn. I have plenty of reason this still could go back up. I have even charted this go a bit higher as well. Give the market time to absorb this new info, and lets play our charts.

BTW...... did they raise interest rates?
"Keep your eyes on the helpers" - Mr. Rogers
  • #1,045,212
  • Dec 16, 2015 8:50pm Dec 16, 2015 8:50pm
Quoting NoobPie
{quote} Above you see the candle which closed across the sl level, and now i have the hard sl set at the low of that candle. {image} I will now take a sell as per rule. I should take the sell right away, but i will wait for a retrace as this is asia and the runs are very small moving, so i can get some extra pips to the sell side. tp1 for sell 1.08452 tp2 for sell 1.08313
Stand down and wait for euro open.......if we going down euro banks will not get a bad fill...................selling down here prob ok given the action but higher prices will come after asia.. know what time it is....euro and us....not going to get a bad fill. You need to consider euro closed before us announced rates. It usually goes full cycle before a big selloff
  • #1,045,213
  • Dec 16, 2015 8:52pm Dec 16, 2015 8:52pm
Quoting Patient1
g/u is giving 1.4480.......7-14 days after today. I'm looking to short this during london open spike as well
What if London falls straight down?
"Keep your eyes on the helpers" - Mr. Rogers
  • #1,045,214
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:04pm Dec 16, 2015 9:04pm
Quoting damonl
{quote} What if London falls straight down?
It might!! I scale in...so once I get sure signal the more it pulls back, the harder I hit it.... have small positions in e/u and g/u right now. The official signal i have depends on 0:00 close....needs to close.... around the lows of today can be above slightly or below...can't close in the middle of todays action. as soon as that seemed unlikely I started to build small position short. will be watching london open, if it spikes I will be adding
  • #1,045,215
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:08pm Dec 16, 2015 9:08pm
interesting uj chart....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily.png Size: 104 KB
"Keep your eyes on the helpers" - Mr. Rogers
  • #1,045,216
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:12pm Dec 16, 2015 9:12pm
Quoting damonl
{quote} What if London falls straight down?
typically with this pattern their isn't much pull back, I am certainly not expecting price to reach 1.0940 and I expect london to make new lows followed by new lows in us....my ass is on the line....hahaha but i will go ahead and say it, this pattern is not wrong very often, in fact, haven't seen this particular one wrong at all this year except for missing the long target by 20 pips on two occasions. with similar volume as high as today haven't seen it miss yet this year
  • #1,045,217
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:12pm Dec 16, 2015 9:12pm
Quoting Patient1
{quote} It might!! I scale in...so once I get sure signal the more it pulls back, the harder I hit it.... have small positions in e/u and g/u right now. The official signal i have depends on 0:00 close....needs to close.... around the lows of today can be above slightly or below...can't close in the middle of todays action. as soon as that seemed unlikely I started to build small position short. will be watching london open, if it spikes I will be adding
.. that sounds like a pretty accurate system.
"Keep your eyes on the helpers" - Mr. Rogers
  • #1,045,218
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:21pm Dec 16, 2015 9:21pm
Quoting damonl
{quote}

lol, I don't mean to sound arrogant....ask my wife I'm nothing of the sort! just watched for a long time, today what happened in the way it did was significant! (to me) I would not recommend trading this way to anyone else, but for me.....this has been awhile in the making, let me be exited without trying to exploit me. If you do not agree, your welcome to trade against.
  • #1,045,219
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:26pm Dec 16, 2015 9:26pm
Very possible eu scenario........

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 95 KB


add in the weekly

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 95 KB


and this could very well be the bottom of a bull channel.......al depends on how the week ends!
"Keep your eyes on the helpers" - Mr. Rogers
  • #1,045,220
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:27pm Dec 16, 2015 9:27pm
Quoting Patient1
{quote} lol, I don't mean to sound arrogant....ask my wife I'm nothing of the sort! just watched for a long time, today what happened in the way it did was significant! (to me) I would not recommend trading this way to anyone else, but for me.....this has been awhile in the making, let me be exited without trying to exploit me. If you do not agree, your welcome to trade against.
@ Patient1, i have been reading and you have interesting analysis, so your saying your looking at lower lows in the london session, and the US session from your charts. in your opinion what is your TP for the low?
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