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USD/CAD

  • #8,541
  • Dec 16, 2015 8:56am Dec 16, 2015 8:56am
Quoting Duce
{quote} Now that's wishful thinking.
No. it is a joke (but again, who knows?)
As Above, So Below
  • #8,542
  • Dec 16, 2015 8:58am Dec 16, 2015 8:58am
bought 1.3800
  • #8,543
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:11am Dec 16, 2015 9:11am
For USDCAD 0.95-1.38, Oil $120 --> $35, but oil industry is only 2% of GDP, US Canada long yield spread goes positive(esp. 10Y bond), I am not sure FX market has over exaggerated these fundamental changes, but it feels that USDCAD move is a bit excessive at the moment, especially when it correlates to oil price too much.
  • #8,544
  • Dec 16, 2015 9:31am Dec 16, 2015 9:31am
Quoting Darkforce
For USDCAD 0.95-1.38, Oil $120 --> $35, but oil industry is only 2% of GDP, US Canada long yield spread goes positive(esp. 10Y bond), I am not sure FX market has over exaggerated these fundamental changes, but it feels that USDCAD move is a bit excessive at the moment, especially when it correlates to oil price too much.
Agreed Darkforce. I am expecting reversal soon. Just waiting for signs.
  • #8,545
  • Dec 16, 2015 10:13am Dec 16, 2015 10:13am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} maybe 1.60 next year?
Lol your guess is as good as mine. Maybe USD turns around and does more QE?
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #8,546
  • Dec 16, 2015 3:43pm Dec 16, 2015 3:43pm
Quoting bladerogers
{quote} Agreed Darkforce. I am expecting reversal soon. Just waiting for signs.
Get in line....... I think we may have seen the top today at 1.3850 region....... but it's gonna take a miracle to call this top correctly.... then 1.2822 in a fast way...
  • #8,547
  • Dec 16, 2015 4:42pm Dec 16, 2015 4:42pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Get in line....... I think we may have seen the top today at 1.3850 region....... but it's gonna take a miracle to call this top correctly.... then 1.2822 in a fast way...
yep. just keep moving my sell stops so i can try and catch the fall. gl!
  • #8,548
  • Dec 16, 2015 4:59pm Dec 16, 2015 4:59pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Get in line....... I think we may have seen the top today at 1.3850 region....... but it's gonna take a miracle to call this top correctly.... then 1.2822 in a fast way...

​This should help the CAD:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/repor...35/?cmpid=rss1

I like short NZD/CAD in particular; it's at very frothy levels and I expect Kiwi weakness soon due to El Nino.
  • #8,549
  • Dec 16, 2015 5:28pm Dec 16, 2015 5:28pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Get in line....... I think we may have seen the top today at 1.3850 region....... but it's gonna take a miracle to call this top correctly.... then 1.2822 in a fast way...
To be fair, USDCAD has behaving like a real good boy with respect to these levels, so I expect something to happen here. Too early to call a full-on reversal to this bull trend, but we really need a rest.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADFXFMonthly.png Size: 46 KB
  • #8,550
  • Dec 17, 2015 6:34am Dec 17, 2015 6:34am
A Big spike with no news? What gives?
  • #8,551
  • Dec 17, 2015 6:35am Dec 17, 2015 6:35am
bought some, target 1.400
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcad4.png Size: 40 KB
  • #8,552
  • Dec 17, 2015 6:46am Dec 17, 2015 6:46am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCAD_4.gif Size: 232 KB
  • #8,553
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:04am Dec 17, 2015 7:04am
Quoting Mr.Boris
bought some, target 1.400 {image}
out +170 pips
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cad7.png Size: 35 KB
  • #8,554
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:06am Dec 17, 2015 7:06am
Quoting Dano12
{image}
Hi Dano, high on my chart is 1.3942, price may targeting 1.4003, but with oil price so soft, who knows?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADFXFDaily.png Size: 48 KB
  • #8,555
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:10am Dec 17, 2015 7:10am
Quoting Dano12
{image}
I don't quite follow what you are trying to convey here Dano, please explain?
  • #8,556
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:21am Dec 17, 2015 7:21am
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Lol your guess is as good as mine. Maybe USD turns around and does more QE?
only 2000 something more pips and we are at 1.60
what a crazy pair.
As Above, So Below
  • #8,557
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:34am Dec 17, 2015 7:34am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} only 2000 something more pips and we are at 1.60 what a crazy pair.
The more crazy part is its straightlineness in its rise and fall, very determined to crash anyone and anything on its way!
  • #8,558
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:40am Dec 17, 2015 7:40am
Quoting PipVip
A Big spike with no news? What gives?
Dollar strength all around. USD/CAD will flush out all of the shorts before it crashes. It'll be tied into some oil spike.

Prediction is we'll either just get shy of 1.40 and leave many longs just shy of cashing in profits, only to see them go poof as it never does, or we'll blow passed it to maybe 1.4030 and then just go down. Don't see it to constantly keep climbing into the 1.40's without a back test to 1.3750 or so.
  • #8,559
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:49am Dec 17, 2015 7:49am
monthly chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ucadm.png Size: 56 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #8,560
  • Dec 17, 2015 7:56am Dec 17, 2015 7:56am
Quoting Darkforce
{quote} Hi Dano, high on my chart is 1.3942, price may targeting 1.4003, but with oil price so soft, who knows? {image}
Yep olil price
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCAD_W.gif Size: 227 KB
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