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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #1,801
  • Dec 2, 2015 3:45am Dec 2, 2015 3:45am
Quoting vvFish
{quote} Probability of success autoclicker. But I do not give a recommendation to trade autoclicker. Brokers understand that you are working autoclicker and will put plug-in to your account at the plug you will often come late and soon you will have to change the broker. All this is completed by me, because I give free advice enter a market order.
Thanks vvFish, great work as always
'Stability breeds Instability' Hyman Minsky
  • #1,802
  • Dec 2, 2015 3:46am Dec 2, 2015 3:46am
during PMI
GBP AUD M5
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And falling's just another way to fly...
  • #1,803
  • Dec 2, 2015 4:06am Dec 2, 2015 4:06am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,804
  • Dec 2, 2015 4:07am Dec 2, 2015 4:07am
Quoting davood13
during PMI GBP AUD M5 {image}
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,805
  • Dec 2, 2015 4:09am Dec 2, 2015 4:09am
Quoting vvFish
At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories. Check expected number a couple of minutes before the data comes out . Read this article to get some statistics: ******************************************************************* Analysts Expect Crude-Oil Stocks to Decline in Weekly EIA Report Published: Dec 01, 2015 By Timothy Puko U.S. crude-oil stocks are expected to decrease in data due Wednesday from the Department of Energy, according to a survey of analysts by The Wall Street Journal. Estimates from 10 analysts surveyed showed that...
So will you be trading USOIL or USDCAD.. ??
  • #1,806
  • Dec 2, 2015 4:52am Dec 2, 2015 4:52am
Quoting pulke
{quote} So will you be trading USOIL or USDCAD.. ??
I am always at this time near the monitor, but if present, it will definitely look the price.
If I see good conditions for entry into the market, then yes.

Believe only the price chart
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,807
  • Dec 2, 2015 7:39am Dec 2, 2015 7:39am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,808
  • Dec 2, 2015 9:06am Dec 2, 2015 9:06am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,809
  • Dec 2, 2015 9:54am Dec 2, 2015 9:54am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,810
  • Dec 2, 2015 10:36am Dec 2, 2015 10:36am
Thursday
11:30
03/12/15
GB The index of activity in the services sector
(GB Services PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Thursday
14:45
03/12/15
EU minimum interest rate of the Central Bank
(EU Minimum Bid Rate), the EU, EURUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 45.00 points in the first minute after the release.
5% probability trades.

Thoughts on "smart traders"

Event risky than it may seem in fact: the best soil for the spike.
More than is written in the article "The ECB will lower rates if" no longer say - the theme has been discussed, as well as, and often we have received confirmation from both analysts and the part of the European Central Bank. I would like to pay more attention to the art of the publication and release of the ins and outs.
The markets have digested all the possible steps the ECB on Thursday, it is expected that the central bank will lower the deposit interest rates (which are now at the level of negative values), as well as expanding the scope and timing of the program QE (at least six months).
The risk of publishing lies in the complexity of the event, and that if at least one of the parameters of publication nedotyanet to market expectations - we can visit the spike in volatility at this point, and as long as the following Mario Draghi will not give additional explanations at a press conference.
For example, let us assume that the ECB will cut rates says that will extend the incentive program, but the amount of leave it unchanged - nedotyagivaet to expectations, ambiguous response. Somehow or similar variations (eg, volume QE). Also, the markets have already discussed, the alleged actions of the ECB may not be possible, or they may be ill-timed, which is also a risk factor.
In summary, we note: Publication of excessive risk-taking, the amount expected not related to the digital data can cause extra excitement, the ECB has already taken into account, and the complexity of their variation makes publishing unattractive.
Wednesday's inflation further convinces us of the proposed action by the regulator (0.1% vs. 0.2% forecast).
Current expectations:
1 / Decrease in deposit interest rate to 0.4% (currently 0.2%)
2 / Expansion QE program from 60 to 75 billion.
3 / Renewals QE program for another six months.
Technically list:
Deposit Facility Rate
Interest Rate
Marginal Landing FR
In the first paragraph we are talking about reducing the Deposit Facility Rate, the main rate is projected Interest Rate remains unchanged.

Oh, and do not forget the publication of the ECB is often not punctual, sometimes with a delay.

Thursday
17:30
03/12/15
US Natural Gas Reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
35% probability trades.

For breakfast, for the gas industry.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,811
  • Dec 3, 2015 7:17am Dec 3, 2015 7:17am
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,812
  • Dec 3, 2015 7:18am Dec 3, 2015 7:18am
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crazy day.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,813
  • Dec 3, 2015 7:49am Dec 3, 2015 7:49am
Continue rally
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,814
  • Dec 3, 2015 9:10am Dec 3, 2015 9:10am
Continued
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,815
  • Dec 3, 2015 9:58am Dec 3, 2015 9:58am
I had so many problems with my broker. I was up 300 $ and went out of the trade manually, and then instead of +300 I had -20$ for that trade ??? and 2 other trades like that during the high volitility.
I don't understand, but I think they are messing with me.
  • #1,816
  • Dec 3, 2015 10:50am Dec 3, 2015 10:50am
.......no words.
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,817
  • Dec 3, 2015 11:05am Dec 3, 2015 11:05am
Friday
15:30
04/12/15
US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% chance of trading.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,818
  • Dec 3, 2015 11:12am Dec 3, 2015 11:12am
Have a look at my broker- fxcm: one of their servers gave the worng feed! look at the time and compare it with your graphs. I went short at 14:47 and thought I was winning about 100 pips. [from 14:44]
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  • #1,819
  • Dec 3, 2015 6:45pm Dec 3, 2015 6:45pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #1,820
  • Dec 3, 2015 7:16pm Dec 3, 2015 7:16pm
Hello everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
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